MTCH NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Match Group Inc · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

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Latest close 39.41 USD
4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 39.41 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 4.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.5%. Indicator stack 72/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 41/100 conviction; expected move 11.7%. News sentiment 53/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 4.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.5% over four weeks, 6.6% over 12 weeks, and 19.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.0%
4W4.5%
12W6.6%
26W27.3%
52W19.4%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change330.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth77/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
73.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
27.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
32.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
28.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
21.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
28.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
7.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MTCH shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.35, expected move of 11.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction41/100
Expected move11.7%
Put/call volume1.35
Pressure-9
Speculation17
Volatility80
Trend agreement98
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

14 positive · 36 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape65/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis75/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.85; No reversal markers Factors75/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 8; Small Cap Core rank 23 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

MTCH shows mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.35, expected move of 11.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 11.7% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

Match Group Inc (MTCH) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202639.41 USD4.0%34.12 USD33.32 USD0.565.9310.7MOn
24 Jul 202637.91 USD-3.2%33.85 USD33.34 USD0.682.3710.8MOn
17 Jul 202639.15 USD0.8%33.66 USD33.38 USD0.903.8515.3MOn
10 Jul 202638.85 USD3.0%33.44 USD33.40 USD0.77-1.2616.1MOn
3 Jul 202637.71 USD2.0%33.24 USD33.45 USD0.64-2.5716.0MOn
26 Jun 202636.98 USD4.9%33.12 USD33.47 USD0.51-3.7924.2MOn
19 Jun 202635.27 USD1.6%32.98 USD33.49 USD0.45-12.4616.7MOn
12 Jun 202634.71 USD1.4%32.87 USD33.52 USD0.58-11.8313.8MOn
5 Jun 202634.25 USD-5.2%32.77 USD33.56 USD0.69-11.2614.0MOn
29 May 202636.13 USD0.9%32.71 USD33.60 USD0.95-10.9210.2MOn
22 May 202635.80 USD1.1%32.58 USD33.61 USD1.09-9.4216.0MOn
15 May 202635.40 USD-4.2%32.46 USD33.59 USD1.19-9.5416.6MOn
8 May 202636.96 USD-4.4%32.34 USD33.56 USD1.27-6.0329.6MOn
1 May 202638.67 USD5.2%32.15 USD33.51 USD1.073.6414.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.