- The trend backdrop is active with a 140-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
MAU
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Montage Gold Corp. · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
18.30 CAD
15.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.4%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
76
out of 100
Latest Close
18.30 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
15.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
22.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
15.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%.
Indicator stack
100/44
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.61%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 15.4%, after a 6.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.74
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 22.6% over 12 weeks, and 255.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 140 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak140 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-37.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership40.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-10.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 61%
Model confidence 57%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value46/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Quality47/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Momentum48/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Growth48/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -6.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -76.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
2 positive · 17 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.0%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+15.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains12
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.1% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank77 / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Gold
4-week rank55 / 66
Group average14.3%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD7.6%positive activity pressure
RS37.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape75/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 75/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis60/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.61%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.61% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors45/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 49; Small Cap Core rank 54 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Montage Gold (TSX:MAU) Confirms Bobosso Mineralization, Is It Still 24% Below Fair Value? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 18.30 CAD | 15.4% | 15.10 CAD | 5.25 CAD | -0.16 | 40.51 | 7.4M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15.86 CAD | -3.3% | 14.82 CAD | 5.13 CAD | -0.36 | 27.96 | 3.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 16.40 CAD | 7.9% | 14.62 CAD | 5.04 CAD | -0.30 | 33.90 | 2.6M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 15.20 CAD | -11.7% | 14.40 CAD | 4.93 CAD | -0.30 | 26.57 | 3.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 17.22 CAD | -0.5% | 14.22 CAD | 4.84 CAD | -0.12 | 45.42 | 3.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17.30 CAD | 8.6% | 13.94 CAD | 4.73 CAD | -0.28 | 49.03 | 551.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 15.93 CAD | -4.3% | 13.64 CAD | 4.63 CAD | -0.48 | 40.95 | 1.1M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 16.64 CAD | 4.5% | 13.40 CAD | 4.53 CAD | -0.50 | 49.89 | 13.4M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 15.92 CAD | 10.2% | 13.07 CAD | 4.43 CAD | -0.73 | 46.22 | 814.5K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 14.45 CAD | -13.7% | 12.77 CAD | 4.33 CAD | -0.74 | 37.15 | 1.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 16.75 CAD | 17.0% | 12.51 CAD | 4.24 CAD | -0.69 | 59.85 | 2.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 14.32 CAD | -4.1% | 12.18 CAD | 4.14 CAD | -0.79 | 40.61 | 2.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 14.93 CAD | 3.0% | 11.93 CAD | 4.05 CAD | -0.67 | 51.77 | 4.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 14.50 CAD | 7.5% | 11.67 CAD | 3.96 CAD | -0.38 | 49.22 | 2.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.