- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.78% based on similar historical setup states.
BOX
JNB
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Boxer Retail Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Latest close
78.30 ZAC
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -77.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -1.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
78.30 ZAC
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
78.8%
41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.4%.
Indicator stack
43/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.78%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
57/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -77.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -1.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2512-week average 0.49
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.4% over four weeks, -9.5% over 12 weeks, and 17.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-36.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-67.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
10 positive · 10 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-99.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2554.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9579.8%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-99.1%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2554.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1315.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew333.4% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorZA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank20 / 35
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryZA Department Stores
4-week rank3 / 6
Group average-2.2%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis28/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.25; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.78%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.78% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
General Merchandise Retail Stocks Q1 Recap: Benchmarking Macy's (NYSE:M) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 78.30 ZAC | 0.4% | 353.1 ZAC | 164.2 ZAC | -0.43 | -67.77 | 4.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 78.02 ZAC | 3.4% | 352.9 ZAC | 165.2 ZAC | -0.43 | -66.15 | 5.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 75.48 ZAC | -2.9% | 352.6 ZAC | 166.2 ZAC | -0.41 | -66.63 | 3.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 77.70 ZAC | -2.1% | 352.5 ZAC | 167.3 ZAC | -0.38 | -65.70 | 1.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 79.40 ZAC | -5.6% | 352.3 ZAC | 168.3 ZAC | -0.32 | -65.19 | 3.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 84.08 ZAC | 0.8% | 352.0 ZAC | 169.4 ZAC | -0.24 | -63.53 | 666.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 83.41 ZAC | -2.3% | 351.6 ZAC | 170.4 ZAC | -0.13 | -63.39 | 2.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 85.40 ZAC | 7.4% | 351.2 ZAC | 171.5 ZAC | -0.01 | -63.29 | 4.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 79.50 ZAC | 2.5% | 350.7 ZAC | 172.5 ZAC | 0.35 | -65.84 | 395.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 77.55 ZAC | -2.3% | 350.6 ZAC | 173.7 ZAC | 0.68 | -66.23 | 5.3M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 79.38 ZAC | -99.1% | 350.5 ZAC | 174.9 ZAC | 0.89 | -66.44 | 1.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 8,374 ZAC | 9579.8% | 350.4 ZAC | 176.1 ZAC | 1.20 | 3484.76 | 94.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 86.51 ZAC | 8.8% | 73.86 ZAC | 69.68 ZAC | 1.08 | 15.50 | 2.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 79.49 ZAC | -0.2% | 73.56 ZAC | 69.46 ZAC | 0.80 | 3.34 | 1.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.