- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
MBH
ASX
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Maggie Beer Holdings Limited · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
0.061 AUD
8.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 10.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
23
out of 100
Latest Close
0.061 AUD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
8.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.9%.
Indicator stack
23/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.75%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 10.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.9% over four weeks, -21.8% over 12 weeks, and 1.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 78%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength38/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Value43/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum43/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Growth44/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -11.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 48.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -5.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -4.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -10.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -0.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -18.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -18.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher9 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+8.9%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks6
Modest losses2
Sharp losses9
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.8% / -6.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Defensive
4-week rank11 / 59
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth28.8%
Trend28.8%active weekly trend signals
MD61.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Packaged Foods
4-week rank6 / 24
Group average1.8%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.3%positive activity pressure
RS25.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape19/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.75%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.75% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 19; Buyback Yield rank 89 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.061 AUD | 8.9% | 0.07 AUD | 0.0718 AUD | -0.67 | -21.02 | 83.8K | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.056 AUD | -6.7% | 0.0707 AUD | 0.072 AUD | -0.75 | -27.15 | 131.6K | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.06 AUD | 9.1% | 0.0716 AUD | 0.0723 AUD | -0.88 | -21.78 | 1.1M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.055 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0723 AUD | 0.0726 AUD | -1.13 | -28.81 | 1.6M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.055 AUD | 3.8% | 0.0732 AUD | 0.0729 AUD | -1.27 | -29.01 | 1.3M | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.053 AUD | -7.0% | 0.0739 AUD | 0.0732 AUD | -1.32 | -33.70 | 0 | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.057 AUD | -9.5% | 0.0748 AUD | 0.0737 AUD | -1.32 | -29.58 | 71.2K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.063 AUD | -7.4% | 0.0759 AUD | 0.0741 AUD | -1.31 | -22.03 | 0 | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.068 AUD | 9.7% | 0.077 AUD | 0.0747 AUD | -1.12 | -16.28 | 19 | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.062 AUD | -10.1% | 0.0778 AUD | 0.0752 AUD | -0.84 | -24.67 | 0 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.069 AUD | -5.5% | 0.0788 AUD | 0.0757 AUD | -0.65 | -13.51 | 18 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.073 AUD | -6.4% | 0.0797 AUD | 0.0763 AUD | -0.55 | -6.31 | 150.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.078 AUD | 9.9% | 0.0805 AUD | 0.0768 AUD | -0.67 | 0.06 | 15.9K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.071 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0808 AUD | 0.0773 AUD | -0.96 | -8.71 | 118.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.