- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
MBH
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Maggie Beer Holdings Limited · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
0.06 AUD
-10.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.1%, after a -12.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
16
out of 100
Latest Close
0.06 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-10.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-12.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-22.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-10.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -12.7%.
Indicator stack
26/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.99%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.1%, after a -12.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -12.7% over four weeks, -22.5% over 12 weeks, and 3.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change18.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-183.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 36%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value43/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum43/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Growth43/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -4.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -8.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -1.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -13.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -15.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
0 positive · 14 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-48.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-12.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week-10.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains5
Flat weeks7
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Defensive
4-week rank55 / 60
Group average3.1%
Trend breadth21.7%
Trend21.7%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS23.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Packaged Foods
4-week rank22 / 25
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth16.0%
Trend16.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape20/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.99%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.99% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors41/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 25; Buyback Yield rank 38 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
Insiders At Maggie Beer Holdings See Good Returns After Buying Stock Worth AU$3.39m Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.06 AUD | -10.1% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.75 | -24.67 | 86.3K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | -5.5% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.55 | -13.51 | 158.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | -6.4% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.46 | -6.31 | 302.3K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.08 AUD | 9.9% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.61 | 0.06 | 132.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 0.0% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.92 | -8.71 | 280.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 1.4% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.93 | -8.98 | 52.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 0.0% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.95 | -9.37 | 48.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 0.0% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.79 | -9.99 | 23.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.07 AUD | 0.0% | 0.08 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.66 | -9.84 | 1.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.07 AUD | -10.3% | 0.09 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.58 | -7.93 | 497.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.08 AUD | 5.4% | 0.09 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.51 | 1.68 | 67.5K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.07 AUD | -7.5% | 0.09 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.57 | -2.18 | 563.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.08 AUD | 0.0% | 0.09 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.56 | 6.53 | 81.0K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.08 AUD | -0.6% | 0.09 AUD | 0.08 AUD | -0.67 | 5.58 | 13.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.