- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
TRX
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TRX Gold Corporation · Basic Materials · Gold
Latest close
1.44 CAD
30.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 29.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 30.9%, after a 28.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
1.44 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
30.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
28.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
76.9%
40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.43% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
30.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 28.6%.
Indicator stack
42/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.43%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 29.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 30.9%, after a 28.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.25
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 28.6% over four weeks, -7.1% over 12 weeks, and 182.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.81Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change77.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 May 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength70/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Value28/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework92/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 58.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 47.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 2.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 61.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 40.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 57.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.
2 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-61.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-19.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+30.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses10
Recent vol11.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.3% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth19.0%
Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS51.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Gold
4-week rank8 / 66
Group average14.3%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD7.6%positive activity pressure
RS37.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.43%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.43% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors69/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 66; Small Cap Core rank 85 SVQF92/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 24.0 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 9 relevant articles.
TRX Gold Corporation: Record Quarter Reinforces $2.40 Target as Buckreef’s Largest Expansion Moves From Plan to Execution Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.44 CAD | 30.9% | 1.69 CAD | 0.80 CAD | -0.87 | -4.81 | 850.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.10 CAD | 0.0% | 1.68 CAD | 0.79 CAD | -1.25 | -24.16 | 366.0K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.10 CAD | 10.0% | 1.68 CAD | 0.79 CAD | -1.30 | -23.98 | 717.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.00 CAD | -10.7% | 1.69 CAD | 0.78 CAD | -1.36 | -30.25 | 639.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.12 CAD | -10.4% | 1.70 CAD | 0.78 CAD | -1.41 | -21.55 | 619.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.25 CAD | 2.5% | 1.70 CAD | 0.78 CAD | -1.43 | -11.70 | 206.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.22 CAD | -2.4% | 1.70 CAD | 0.77 CAD | -1.45 | -12.37 | 160.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.25 CAD | -4.6% | 1.69 CAD | 0.77 CAD | -1.40 | -9.38 | 60.6K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.31 CAD | -3.0% | 1.68 CAD | 0.76 CAD | -1.33 | -4.08 | 71.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.35 CAD | -16.1% | 1.67 CAD | 0.76 CAD | -1.28 | 1.34 | 261.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.61 CAD | 7.3% | 1.65 CAD | 0.75 CAD | -1.20 | 20.90 | 601.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.50 CAD | -3.2% | 1.63 CAD | 0.75 CAD | -1.16 | 15.30 | 594.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.55 CAD | -9.9% | 1.61 CAD | 0.74 CAD | -1.10 | 23.05 | 911.9K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.72 CAD | 10.3% | 1.59 CAD | 0.74 CAD | -0.92 | 37.68 | 1.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.