- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ECL
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Excelsior Capital Limited · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Latest close
0.94 AUD
-0.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
0.94 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.6%.
Indicator stack
32/77
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 5.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.03
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.6% over four weeks, 4.4% over 12 weeks, and -16.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change235.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change5.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 55%
Model confidence 16%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength61/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Value56/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Quality55/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Momentum56/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Growth56/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 0.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 29.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 392.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -17.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 67.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
0 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-36.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks3
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank29 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Electrical Equipment & Parts
4-week rank3 / 9
Group average4.3%
Trend breadth22.2%
Trend22.2%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape28/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis20/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors56/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 32 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Excelsior Capital (ASX:ECL): What Its Wind-Up and Proposed Capital Return Mean for Shareholders Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.94 AUD | -0.5% | 1.06 AUD | 1.08 AUD | 0.43 | -23.02 | 9.6K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.94 AUD | 0.5% | 1.08 AUD | 1.08 AUD | 0.40 | -20.45 | 19.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.94 AUD | 1.1% | 1.10 AUD | 1.08 AUD | 0.30 | -19.30 | 77.8K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.93 AUD | 4.5% | 1.12 AUD | 1.08 AUD | 0.22 | -20.70 | 149.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.89 AUD | -1.1% | 1.14 AUD | 1.07 AUD | 0.13 | -24.40 | 168.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.90 AUD | 1.7% | 1.16 AUD | 1.07 AUD | 0.06 | -24.15 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.89 AUD | -2.2% | 1.18 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.10 | -24.99 | 220.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.91 AUD | 0.0% | 1.20 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.31 | -24.12 | 135.0K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.91 AUD | 4.6% | 1.23 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.55 | -24.21 | 170.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.86 AUD | -3.4% | 1.23 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.76 | -26.36 | 34.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.90 AUD | -0.6% | 1.24 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.84 | -25.03 | 73.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.90 AUD | 0.0% | 1.25 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.90 | -24.27 | 6.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.90 AUD | -4.8% | 1.26 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.95 | -24.36 | 288.8K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.94 AUD | 0.5% | 1.27 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -1.01 | -21.93 | 40.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.