- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.80% based on similar historical setup states.
MDO
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
237.6 EUR
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -1.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
237.6 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
36.5%
19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.8%.
Indicator stack
20/58
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.80%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -1.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0812-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.8% over four weeks, 0.9% over 12 weeks, and -6.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change102.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-57.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 79%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth42/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 19.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 6.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 57.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 46.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 25.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 18.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 4.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 7.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+2.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses2
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.5% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank51 / 86
Group average0.1%
Trend breadth34.9%
Trend34.9%active weekly trend signals
MD59.3%positive activity pressure
RS25.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Restaurants
4-week rank2 / 5
Group average-5.2%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape45/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.80%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.80% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28 SVQF45/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 206.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 237.6 EUR | 1.5% | 253.7 EUR | 252.2 EUR | 0.02 | -14.17 | 31.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 234.0 EUR | 0.0% | 254.4 EUR | 252.3 EUR | -0.16 | -13.43 | 14.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 233.9 EUR | -2.1% | 255.1 EUR | 252.3 EUR | -0.29 | -11.92 | 12.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 238.8 EUR | -1.3% | 256.0 EUR | 252.4 EUR | -0.51 | -9.24 | 10.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 242.0 EUR | -0.9% | 257.0 EUR | 252.5 EUR | -0.77 | -8.99 | 9.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 244.1 EUR | 2.8% | 257.8 EUR | 252.5 EUR | -0.98 | -10.83 | 2.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 237.4 EUR | -2.9% | 258.4 EUR | 252.5 EUR | -1.17 | -9.50 | 2.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 244.5 EUR | -1.4% | 259.2 EUR | 252.6 EUR | -1.17 | -8.03 | 807 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 248.0 EUR | 2.8% | 259.9 EUR | 252.6 EUR | -1.10 | -5.50 | 1.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 241.2 EUR | 1.6% | 260.1 EUR | 252.6 EUR | -1.07 | -8.68 | 1.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 237.5 EUR | -1.3% | 260.6 EUR | 252.6 EUR | -0.95 | -11.49 | 8.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 240.7 EUR | 2.2% | 261.2 EUR | 252.7 EUR | -0.86 | -9.79 | 13.4K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 235.5 EUR | -0.5% | 261.7 EUR | 252.8 EUR | -0.93 | -8.54 | 18.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 236.8 EUR | -4.5% | 262.5 EUR | 252.8 EUR | -0.88 | -9.78 | 18.1K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.