3447 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Shinwa Co., Ltd. · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Latest close 1,050 JPY
5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.6%, after a 10.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 1,050 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.6% latest completed week
4W Return 10.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 76.9% 40 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.39% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.6%, after a 10.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3412-week average 0.36

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.1% over four weeks, 14.4% over 12 weeks, and 29.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.6%
4W10.1%
12W14.4%
26W9.8%
52W29.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year40
Trend breadth76.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change156.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change68.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.

1 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+5.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261,050 JPY5.6%973.9 JPY776.5 JPY0.48-6.18198.1KOff
31 Jul 2026994.0 JPY1.2%970.0 JPY774.2 JPY0.10-9.8188.8KOff
24 Jul 2026982.0 JPY-0.7%967.0 JPY772.2 JPY-0.15-11.56106.6KOff
17 Jul 2026989.0 JPY3.7%964.1 JPY770.4 JPY-0.45-10.53274.2KOff
10 Jul 2026954.0 JPY-0.5%960.5 JPY768.5 JPY-0.84-19.5193.3KOff
3 Jul 2026959.0 JPY3.1%957.9 JPY766.7 JPY-1.05-20.8612.9KOff
26 Jun 2026930.0 JPY1.2%956.1 JPY764.9 JPY-1.20-23.2149.8KOff
19 Jun 2026919.0 JPY3.1%957.2 JPY763.3 JPY-1.24-26.499.3KOff
12 Jun 2026891.0 JPY-2.1%955.4 JPY761.6 JPY-1.21-23.5612.6KOff
5 Jun 2026910.0 JPY1.9%955.0 JPY760.1 JPY-1.13-23.0655.9KOff
29 May 2026893.0 JPY-1.3%953.4 JPY758.4 JPY-1.07-24.73155.7KOff
22 May 2026905.0 JPY-1.4%950.8 JPY756.8 JPY-1.00-20.63260.0KOff
15 May 2026918.0 JPY-5.6%948.6 JPY755.2 JPY-0.95-17.39439.2KOn
8 May 2026972.0 JPY0.7%945.1 JPY753.5 JPY-0.76-14.6888.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context