SML LSE Week ended 02 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Strategic Minerals Plc ยท Basic Materials ยท Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Latest close 0.0582 GBP
10.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 21.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.9%, after a 11.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 0.0582 GBP 2 Oct 2026
1W Return 10.9% latest completed week
4W Return 11.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 42.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 ยท Price action

Where price isโ€”and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 21.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.9%, after a 11.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 ยท Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.46

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 ยท Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistentโ€”and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.9% over four weeks, 42.0% over 12 weeks, and 1302.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.9%
4W11.9%
12W42.0%
26W49.2%
52W1302.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change2075.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership63.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 ยท Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying forโ€”and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 65%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength22/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth31/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-36.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
85.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-15.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-10.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-162.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-84.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-84.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 ยท Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

1 positive ยท 13 neutral ยท 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 ยท Catalysts and risk

What can move the sharesโ€”and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+39.7%Week of 14 Aug.
Worst week-17.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+10.9%Week of 2 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol12.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol20.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew19.3% / -9.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 ยท Sector and peer context

Is this stock leadingโ€”or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 ยท Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
2 Oct 20260.0582 GBP10.9%0.048 GBP0.0134 GBP0.6063.20132.4MOff
25 Sep 20260.0525 GBP2.9%0.0473 GBP0.013 GBP0.4648.2932.6MOff
18 Sep 20260.051 GBP2.0%0.0467 GBP0.0127 GBP0.4148.4362.5MOff
11 Sep 20260.05 GBP-3.8%0.0461 GBP0.0124 GBP0.2049.5749.1MOff
4 Sep 20260.052 GBP-3.7%0.0455 GBP0.0121 GBP0.0357.1597.5MOff
28 Aug 20260.054 GBP14.9%0.045 GBP0.0118 GBP-0.4167.9712.1MOff
21 Aug 20260.047 GBP-5.2%0.0439 GBP0.0114 GBP-0.7950.8313.8MOff
14 Aug 20260.0496 GBP39.7%0.0429 GBP0.0111 GBP-1.0164.6010.7MOff
7 Aug 20260.0355 GBP1.4%0.0417 GBP0.0108 GBP-1.2419.686.4MOff
31 Jul 20260.035 GBP-2.8%0.041 GBP0.0106 GBP-1.2220.834.8MOff
24 Jul 20260.036 GBP2.9%0.0403 GBP0.0104 GBP-1.1928.4710.5MOff
17 Jul 20260.035 GBP-14.6%0.0395 GBP0.0102 GBP-1.1829.3611.6MOn
10 Jul 20260.041 GBP-6.0%0.0388 GBP0.009962 GBP-1.0956.515.8MOn
3 Jul 20260.0436 GBP7.7%0.0379 GBP0.009709 GBP-1.0668.2011.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context