UNI ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Universal Store Holdings Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Latest close 7.80 AUD
7.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.0%, after a 2.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 7.80 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 7.0% latest completed week
4W Return 2.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.0%, after a 2.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.0% over four weeks, 17.5% over 12 weeks, and -3.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.0%
4W2.0%
12W17.5%
26W-6.8%
52W-3.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.55Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change529.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-57.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 43%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework77/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
25.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
61.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
18.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
15.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-32.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
13.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

1 positive · 18 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+7.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20267.80 AUD7.0%7.66 AUD6.39 AUD0.55-6.31411.9KOff
31 Jul 20267.29 AUD4.1%7.67 AUD6.36 AUD0.57-9.78561.2KOff
24 Jul 20267.00 AUD-6.3%7.68 AUD6.33 AUD0.52-11.58835.2KOff
17 Jul 20267.47 AUD-2.4%7.71 AUD6.31 AUD0.43-6.11966.4KOff
10 Jul 20267.65 AUD-0.5%7.73 AUD6.28 AUD0.09-4.02619.2KOff
3 Jul 20267.69 AUD-0.1%7.73 AUD6.25 AUD-0.41-3.98114.6KOff
26 Jun 20267.70 AUD3.9%7.75 AUD6.22 AUD-0.85-3.03169.3KOff
19 Jun 20267.41 AUD8.7%7.78 AUD6.18 AUD-1.18-7.3186.8KOff
12 Jun 20266.82 AUD6.6%7.80 AUD6.15 AUD-1.37-14.43114.8KOff
5 Jun 20266.40 AUD-5.6%7.83 AUD6.12 AUD-1.37-18.12195.7KOff
29 May 20266.78 AUD4.5%7.90 AUD6.10 AUD-1.24-14.56799.9KOff
22 May 20266.49 AUD-2.3%7.96 AUD6.07 AUD-1.24-17.69793.8KOff
15 May 20266.64 AUD-5.0%8.03 AUD6.04 AUD-1.20-15.75978.9KOff
8 May 20266.99 AUD-6.2%8.08 AUD6.03 AUD-1.05-12.801.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context