Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
STO ยท ETF ยท Sweden
XNAS
Xtrackers NASDAQ 100 UCITS ETF 1C
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Nasdaq Stockholm ยท STO
Sector
Not classified
Industry
Not classified
Currency
SEK
Market capitalisation
Not available
Fair value reference
561.86
Next-week expectancy
Positive ยท 71.43%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, XNAS fell 1.22%, moving from 650.00 to 642.10. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 3.24 and has remained broadly mixed across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.22 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 71.43% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
642.10
12-Week Change
-1.22%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 71.43%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
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Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationDeclining structure with weak close
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range. Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Full context ยท Unstable
Current structureDeclining structure
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
Trend relationshipAbove a rising trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference and that reference is rising.
Support and resistanceSupport 533.30 ยท Resistance 642.50
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-2.92%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly low
The close finished at 8% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are progressing lower on both sides of the range.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above a rising trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history95% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-4.4%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+994.8%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.7ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
3 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
9 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
19 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove accepted value
52-week position
94.9%
Low to high
Accepted price
527.32
Latest versus accepted: 21.77%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.43% per week
Range pressure
62/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Expanding
1.44ร normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support508.00
From price
-20.9%
Evidence
84/100
Touches
5
Support531.15
From price
-17.3%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
6
Support623.36
From price
-2.9%
Evidence
75/100
Touches
4
Resistance665.40
From price
3.6%
Evidence
62/100
Touches
3
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove accepted value
Price is at 94.9% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.43% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 62/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level665.40
Resistance is 3.6% from the latest close with 62/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSupport is under active pressure
The current Smart Money structure carries a recent reversal warning, so confirmation matters more than momentum alone.
Momentum 0.78 ยท Holding steady
Trend qualityStrong alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 24 completed weeks; visible confirmation is strong alignment.
Momentum pathStrong ยท Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsElevated
A reversal danger marker appeared 1 completed week ago; confirmation needs close attention.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
A reversal danger marker appeared 1 completed week ago; confirmation needs close attention.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
1 week ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
2 weeks ago
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
8 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
14 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readPositive pressure is established and holding steady
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position. The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
+14.28% ยท Positive ยท Holding steady
Market positionPositive
Price is holding a constructive market-perception position.
Pressure directionHolding steady
The latest completed readings are broadly stable.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
Price remains in positive market-perception territory.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is holding steady with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is limited record.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionUpper 29% of history
The latest reading is stronger than 71% of completed observations.
State persistence20 completed weeks
The current positive state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyLimited record
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a dependable historical summary.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure began cooling
Strength remained positive, but the completed path became less forceful.
5 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
17 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
20 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
21 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
26 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
27 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlBuyers firmly in control
Price is above the core VWAP, which is rising. 100% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
81/100 pressure
ControlBuyers firmly in control
Pressure 81/100 and +9.8 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack5 of 6 below price
3 references converge near 576.34: High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 52-week VWAP.
Acceptance100% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+1.1% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +2.9 pts.
Stretch2.5 normal ranges above
Price is +8.0% from the core VWAP.
Persistence20 completed weeks
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
53 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 ยท contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Buyer control, but extended
Buyer control, but extended
The VWAP structure is constructive, but price is stretched far enough above the core level to reduce early-entry quality.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
3 references converge near 576.34: High-activity anchor, Year VWAP, 52-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation645.55
A completed close above 13-week VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area639.67
Swing low at 639.67, 0.4% below the latest close.
Weakening level639.67
A completed close below Swing low with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Swing low639.67
-0.38% from close
13-week VWAP645.55
+0.54% from close
26-week VWAP594.27
-7.45% from close
High-activity anchor582.01
-9.36% from close
Year VWAP576.93
-10.15% from close
52-week VWAP570.08
-11.22% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 82%Above price 19%
20%near price
Most recent weighted activity is below price, leaving a larger estimated cushion beneath the market.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท ^OMXBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +0.0 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 81/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
2
Median 4w
+6.14%
Median 13w
+22.36%
Typical best
+23.03%
Typical worst
+0.03%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss0% favourable
Events
1
Median 4w
+7.99%
Median 13w
+28.69%
Typical best
+28.69%
Typical worst
-2.03%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states3 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Buyer pressure established
The completed control reading moved into positive territory.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains strong, but its path has softened
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.89 ยท Strong
Current stateStrong ยท 0.89
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
10 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.89 ยท Strong
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Historical context is still developing
There are not yet enough comparable completed observations for a responsible outcome summary.
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
642.10
12-Week Change
-1.22%
Trend Signal
Active
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 71.43%
Signal Weeks
12 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
3.24
Market Dynamics
-0.22
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, XNAS fell 1.22%, moving from 650.00 to 642.10. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is active on the latest week and was active in 12 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 3.24 and has remained broadly mixed across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.22 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is positive at 71.43% based on similar historical setup states.
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