8766 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Latest close 7,939 JPY
-2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a 4.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 44/100.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 7,939 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.2% latest completed week
4W Return 4.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a 4.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7112-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.3% over four weeks, 4.9% over 12 weeks, and 31.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.2%
4W4.3%
12W4.9%
26W33.4%
52W31.2%
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change374.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change124.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

2 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-5.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20267,939 JPY-2.2%6,916 JPY5,294 JPY0.631.9219.7MOn
31 Jul 20268,114 JPY-0.0%6,847 JPY5,261 JPY0.525.7825.7MOn
24 Jul 20268,116 JPY7.8%6,768 JPY5,227 JPY0.165.0519.9MOn
17 Jul 20267,526 JPY-1.1%6,688 JPY5,194 JPY-0.23-2.1520.2MOn
10 Jul 20267,609 JPY0.3%6,632 JPY5,164 JPY-0.23-7.8229.8MOn
3 Jul 20267,584 JPY9.9%6,568 JPY5,134 JPY-0.23-10.125.0MOn
26 Jun 20266,903 JPY-4.0%6,497 JPY5,104 JPY-0.15-18.196.2MOn
19 Jun 20267,194 JPY-1.8%6,447 JPY5,079 JPY0.15-17.628.7MOn
12 Jun 20267,325 JPY4.7%6,390 JPY5,053 JPY0.43-10.118.0MOn
5 Jun 20266,996 JPY-1.6%6,340 JPY5,025 JPY0.70-15.405.7MOn
29 May 20267,111 JPY-3.7%6,298 JPY4,999 JPY0.91-14.3932.9MOn
22 May 20267,381 JPY-2.5%6,251 JPY4,972 JPY0.99-7.6440.1MOn
15 May 20267,568 JPY7.7%6,200 JPY4,943 JPY1.00-2.8128.0MOn
8 May 20267,030 JPY-0.9%6,144 JPY4,911 JPY0.95-11.9814.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context