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TAI · Equity · completed-week research

2901 Technicals

Shin Shin Co Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical Department Stores

Week ending14 August 2026
-2.1%
Open
23.90
High
24.15
Low
23.50
Close
23.50 TWD
Price-technical state Aligned downward Price structure only · 260 completed observations · through 2026-08-14
Price structureAligned downwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum45.4Negative
Risk pressure4.2%Normal
Trend quality24.2Range-led

Market Dynamics

What is happening beneath the price?

Price shows the result. Market Dynamics shows whether the underlying support is strengthening or weakening.

Market Dynamics Report
Countertrend conflict

Improving Market Dynamics is challenging the downward price structure

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains downward.

What it means

This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.

Current tape relationshipPositive support is weakening

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

Price locationBetween zones

Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.

Latest positioning markerNone in view

Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.

Market Dynamics confirmationWeakening

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

Chart readingPrice is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.

Weekly close Supportive Market Dynamics Cautious Market Dynamics Accumulation zone Distribution zone Positioning recovery Distribution rollover Price / pressure gap

What it means for 2901

The current reading in four steps

Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.

1
NowEasier this week

Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive.

2
Recent directionWeakened over four weeks

Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.

3
Price responsePrice remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive

The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure.

4
Previous casesRecord building
What strengthens this viewThis is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.What would change itReassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.

What happened before

How this ticker behaved in similar conditions

Zone visits are counted once and followed through completed weekly closes. Open cases remain separate.

Price relationship Meaningful relationship
Same-week correlation
0.29
Direction agreed
42.9%
Completed comparisons
245
After accumulation2 distinct visits
4 weeks50.0% higher2 outcomes 12 weeks100.0% higher2 outcomes 26 weeksRecord building0 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 1.5 weeks.

After distribution5 distinct visits
4 weeks80.0% lower5 outcomes 12 weeks80.0% lower5 outcomes 26 weeks100.0% lower5 outcomes

Average time before leaving the zone: 1.2 weeks.

When the two readings agreed or differed

What usually happened next

These cases compare price direction with Market Dynamics and show how large disagreements were resolved.

Price higher · Market Dynamics positive 37.5% were higher

Average 12-week move: -1.4% from 16 completed cases.

Price lower · Market Dynamics negative 48.3% were lower

Average 12-week move: 0.4% from 29 completed cases.

Price higher · Market Dynamics cautious Average pullback 3.6%

53.6% were lower after 12 weeks. The deepest pullback arrived after 6.5 weeks on average.

Price cautious · Market Dynamics positive Average recovery 4.6%

50.0% were higher after 12 weeks. The strongest recovery arrived after 4.9 weeks on average.

How to use the reading

Strategy observations from this ticker's own record

The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.

Zone positioning
Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case

After distribution, 80.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.

ApproachReview long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.

Review the case whenA sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup.

Disagreement playbook
Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline

Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.6% across 28 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.5 weeks on average.

ApproachAvoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.

Review the case whenThe warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way.

Historical outcomes describe this ticker's completed record. They do not make the next move certain and are not trading instructions.

Adaptive evidence set

The charts that matter to this tape now

This is not a fixed indicator wall. The price anchor is retained for context; the remaining panels are selected dynamically according to the conditions visible in this ticker.

104 observations displayed
6 views selected
Price structureAligned downwardcompleted-week alignment
Momentum45.4Negative
Risk pressure4.2%Normal
Trend quality24.2Range-led
Range position41%location inside observed range
Adaptive set6 viewsselected for the current tape

Price architecture

Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope

Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.

Why this view is active

Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.

Relative leadership

Strength versus the research benchmark

Relative performance is separated from absolute price direction to reveal leadership and lagging pressure.

Why this view is active

Selected because benchmark-relative leadership is strengthening, fading or diverging from price.

Participation

Activity pressure and cumulative balance

Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.

Why this view is active

Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.

Price impulse

Acceleration, deceleration and rollover

The impulse path separates directional acceleration from a loss of momentum.

Why this view is active

Selected because the latest impulse is unusually active or is approaching a change of direction.

Path risk

Drawdown and recovery pressure

Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.

Why this view is active

Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.

Trend quality

Directional strength and control

Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.

Why this view is active

Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.

Sharemaestro tape intelligence

What the gauges support now

One assessment resolves price structure and Market Dynamics. The supporting views show the control, force, direction and confidence behind it.

100/100 evidence depth
observed participation included
Price structure has stronger support The gauges support the price-technical view

Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.

SM Consensus Gauge-31.6

Price structure has stronger support

SM Control Gauge-38.1

Seller control supports the view

SM Force Gauge-38.6

Downward commitment

SM Direction Gauge-19.1

Downward follow-through

SM Confirmation Gauge45/100

Qualified support

SM consensus path · Market Dynamics display window

SM Consensus Gauge against price

The bars show the direction and strength of the resolved assessment. Completed price is retained as context.

Latest -31.6
Price structure has stronger support
Supportive consensus Cautious consensus Weekly close Neutral

Control

SM Control Gauge

Shows whether buyer or seller control supports the current assessment and whether that support is strengthening or easing.

Current controlSeller control supports the viewRecent pathControl support is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Buyer controlSeller controlBalanced

Commitment

SM Force Gauge

Shows the strength of market commitment behind the current assessment.

Current forceDownward commitmentRecent pathCommitment is strengtheningLatest 12 months
Positive forceNegative forceActivity intensity

Direction and follow-through

SM Direction Gauge

Shows the directional follow-through behind the current assessment and whether it is established or still developing.

Current directionDownward follow-throughFollow-throughUnsettledLatest 12 months
Advancing directionDeclining directionFollow-through

Assessment strength

SM Confirmation Gauge

Shows how firmly the current assessment is supported. Greater assessment risk reduces the weight of the conclusion.

ConfirmationQualified supportAssessment riskContainedLatest 12 months
SM Confirmation GaugeAssessment risk
Interpretation boundary

These charts describe completed market observations and can lag or reverse. The SM gauges provide one confirmation layer; differences in the underlying evidence reduce confirmation rather than create another competing view. Market Dynamics is proprietary Sharemaestro output: this page presents only its published values and plain-language context. Its construction and inputs remain private.

Evidence context