US Equity ยท NASDAQ ยท Earnings Dossier

CWD earnings intelligence

CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock

Financial Services ยท Asset Management ยท USD reporting basis

Current earnings profile Delivery under pressure

Estimate misses and negative next-close reactions have appeared together often enough to warrant caution.

Evidence92/100 ยท Deep

Next scheduled catalyst

Thursday 12 November 2026

Time unconfirmed ยท Fiscal period ending 30 Sep 2026

61event risk

Elevated

Countdown33 dayscalendar proximity
EPS estimate-provider consensus
Estimate growth-versus comparable year-ago actual
Historical movement7.3%average absolute next weekly close

Three-year earnings transmission

Delivered earnings power versus market price

Three-year relationship unavailable

Earnings power is too stale at the start of the three-year window.

Beat rate10.0%1 beats in 10 measured quarters
Average surprise-992.1%median -195.8%
Delivery streak99 consecutive misses
Average response-4.7%12 measured reactions
Result-price confirmation75%same directional sign
Surprise variability2265.3 ptspopulation dispersion

Estimate delivery

Actual EPS versus consensus

Actual and estimated EPS are displayed in reported currency on the same quarterly basis.

Price acceptance

Surprise and next weekly close

The response uses the first completed weekly close after the public report against the prior completed weekly close.

Fundamental delivery

Quarterly revenue and net income

Reported financial statements provide scale and earnings quality context around the headline EPS result.

Transmission matrix

Does price confirm delivery?

Upper right and lower left observations confirm the sign of delivery. The other quadrants expose expectation or resilience effects.

Current business context

Growth, quality and valuation

As of 2 Oct 2026
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue growth-61.9%year on year
Average surprise-189.1%latest four quarters
SUE-0.94standardised surprise
Net margin-154.9%trailing basis
Cash conversion0.76xcash flow / net income
P/E-current snapshot
Data completeness71%alphavantage

Market context

Positioning into the event

Week ending 9 Oct 2026
Weekly close0.5131 USDcompleted week
13-week return-25.6%price momentum
Fair-value gap-94.8%price versus current fair value
Relative strength-64.6exchange benchmark
Trend signalInactiveweekly architecture
Next-week stateNegative35.8%

Market context describes the setup surrounding the report. It does not convert the earnings event into a directional forecast.

Reported evidence ledger

Quarter-by-quarter delivery and acceptance

Each row preserves the reported estimate, public date, statement context and conservative weekly reaction measurement.

12 quarters
Reported / periodEPS actual / estimateSurpriseEPS growthRevenue / growthNext close / four weeksRead
Reported / period13 Aug 202630 Jun 2026 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.39 / -0.18USD
Surprise-116.7%Miss
EPS growth+90.6%year on year
Revenue / growth4111000-19.0% ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+0.8% / -2.4%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 May 202631 Mar 2026 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.52 / -0.08USD
Surprise-546.2%Miss
EPS growth+86.6%year on year
Revenue / growth4294000-40.9% ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+0.1% / -15.8%completed weekly closes
ReadContainedresult versus price sign
Reported / period25 Mar 202631 Dec 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.25 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth+87.7%year on year
Revenue / growth266000-96.9% ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-4.3% / +6.0%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Nov 202530 Sep 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-1.20 / -0.32USD
Surprise-275.0%Miss
EPS growth+62.5%year on year
Revenue / growth3636000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-20.7% / -38.3%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period13 Aug 202530 Jun 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-4.15 / -0.94USD
Surprise-341.5%Miss
EPS growth+5.7%year on year
Revenue / growth5073000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-28.1% / -20.0%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period15 May 202531 Mar 2025 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-3.85 / -0.46USD
Surprise-7.4%Miss
EPS growth-6.9%year on year
Revenue / growth7261000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-2.5% / -9.1%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period31 Mar 202531 Dec 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-10.20 / -0.13USD
Surprise-7746.2%Miss
EPS growth-9172.7%year on year
Revenue / growth8687000- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-7.0% / -58.2%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Nov 202430 Sep 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-3.20 / -2.60USD
Surprise-23.1%Miss
EPS growth0.0%year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-3.9% / -16.6%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period12 Aug 202430 Jun 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-4.40 / -2.20USD
Surprise-100.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+13.5% / +22.1%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 May 202431 Mar 2024 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-3.60 / -0.40USD
Surprise-800.0%Miss
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-1.2% / +20.5%completed weekly closes
ReadConfirmedresult versus price sign
Reported / period21 Mar 202431 Dec 2023 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-0.11 / -0.17USD
Surprise+35.3%Beat
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks-4.3% / -20.0%completed weekly closes
ReadDivergedresult versus price sign
Reported / period9 Nov 202330 Sep 2023 ยท exact
EPS actual / estimate-3.20 / -USD
Surprise-Unavailable
EPS growth-year on year
Revenue / growth-- ยท USD
Next close / four weeks+0.7% / +7.1%completed weekly closes
ReadUnavailableresult versus price sign

Reproducible method

How the earnings dossier is measured

Descriptive, not predictive
Estimate delivery

Reported diluted EPS is compared with the stored estimate for the same fiscal period. Moves within ยฑ0.5% are classified as in-line.

Price response

The first completed weekly close after the public date is compared with the prior completed weekly close. Four-week response uses the first close at least 21 days later.

Event risk

Risk combines proximity, average absolute price movement, surprise variability, estimate availability and timing certainty. It does not score direction.

Data discipline

Exact public dates are used when stored. Missing estimates, timing and statement fields remain missing. No result or reaction is filled from a future observation.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, forecast, target or execution instruction.

Evidence context