- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CWD
NASDAQ
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
CaliberCos Inc. Class A Common Stock · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
0.5131 USD
-9.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.8%, after a 0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 32d.
Setup score
23
out of 100
Latest Close
0.5131 USD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-9.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-33.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.83% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.6%.
Indicator stack
0/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 35.83%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
32d
Next report is scheduled for 12 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.8%, after a 0.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.19
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.6% over four weeks, -33.7% over 12 weeks, and -87.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.65Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change533.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-64.58Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 70%
Model confidence 69%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value60/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Quality57/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Momentum59/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Growth60/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -8.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- -9.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -141.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -117.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -10.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -61.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -2273.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -7.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings32dNext report is scheduled for 12 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-87.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+98.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-43.9%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-9.8%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol13.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.5% / -11.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-4.4%
Trend breadth54.0%
Trend54.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS24.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Asset Management
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth42.0%
Trend42.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.0%positive activity pressure
RS16.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.83%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.83% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
CaliberCos Launches Note Exchange to Restructure Debt Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings32dNext report is scheduled for 12 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 0.5131 USD | -9.8% | 0.7909 USD | 9.78 USD | 0.65 | -64.58 | 929.8K | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 0.5688 USD | -8.9% | 0.8208 USD | 9.96 USD | 0.67 | -62.94 | 2.0M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.6242 USD | 28.6% | 0.8461 USD | 10.14 USD | 0.47 | -61.54 | 107.8M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.4854 USD | -4.8% | 0.866 USD | 10.31 USD | 0.20 | -71.16 | 623.3K | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.51 USD | 0.4% | 0.8905 USD | 10.47 USD | 0.10 | -71.90 | 540.5K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.5082 USD | -5.5% | 0.9152 USD | 10.66 USD | 0.00 | -74.55 | 700.6K | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.5378 USD | 2.8% | 0.9366 USD | 10.86 USD | -0.07 | -73.51 | 1.7M | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.5229 USD | -0.4% | 0.9593 USD | 11.05 USD | -0.17 | -75.04 | 1.3M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.525 USD | 0.8% | 0.9885 USD | 11.22 USD | -0.20 | -75.92 | 2.4M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.5209 USD | 9.1% | 1.02 USD | 11.38 USD | -0.05 | -76.23 | 1.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.4776 USD | -15.5% | 1.04 USD | 11.58 USD | 0.11 | -77.64 | 1.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.565 USD | -27.0% | 1.07 USD | 11.83 USD | 0.56 | -74.13 | 1.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.7742 USD | 12.2% | 1.11 USD | 12.08 USD | 0.53 | -65.87 | 1.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.6899 USD | -43.9% | 1.13 USD | 12.32 USD | 0.36 | -71.54 | 14.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.