TAI · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

1468

Chang-Ho Fibre Corporation

TW · Consumer Cyclical · Textile Manufacturing

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EMD SCORE62/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Constructive

The balance of evidence is supportive, with some confirmation still incomplete. Conditions remain positive, but momentum has eased.

Constructive fade60% directional agreement87/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 2 Oct 2026
Latest close: TWD 13.20
Evidence: 156 weeks

This report uses 2 Oct 2026. The latest completed calendar week is 9 Oct 2026; newer evidence has not yet reached this listing.

Four-week EMD change-2.6 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price+1.5%

completed closing prices

Current directional run12 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency12/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

4 supportive · 1 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

29 Sep 2023–2 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 48%Current EMD +23.24-week EMD change -2.6Full saved history price range TWD 11.30–15.45

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · TWD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-09-29	13.20	-41.88	29	50	67
2023-10-06	13.00	-61.15	19	100	67
2023-10-13	12.90	-49.8	25	50	67
2023-10-20	12.50	-34.99	33	50	83
2023-10-27	12.50	-37.6	31	50	83
2023-11-03	13.05	-21.8	39	20	83
2023-11-10	12.95	-28.59	36	50	83
2023-11-17	13.70	-4.37	48	0	83
2023-11-24	14.20	3.77	52	20	83
2023-12-01	14.30	6.82	53	20	83
2023-12-08	14.55	21.16	61	50	83
2023-12-15	14.85	25.11	63	50	83
2023-12-22	15.25	25.06	63	50	83
2023-12-29	15.45	30.53	65	60	83
2024-01-05	15.30	32.17	66	100	83
2024-01-12	15.05	24.12	62	60	83
2024-01-19	13.35	-7.96	46	33	83
2024-01-26	13.55	0.93	50	33	83
2024-02-02	15.10	38.64	69	60	83
2024-02-09	14.80	20.69	60	50	83
2024-02-16	14.40	14.3	57	50	83
2024-02-23	14.45	18.38	59	60	83
2024-03-01	14.50	10.48	55	50	83
2024-03-08	14.60	4.62	52	50	83
2024-03-15	14.75	9.27	55	50	83
2024-03-22	13.60	-14.75	43	0	83
2024-03-29	13.75	-10.6	45	0	83
2024-04-05	13.80	-30.38	35	100	83
2024-04-12	13.60	-43.56	28	100	83
2024-04-19	11.85	-62.46	19	100	83
2024-04-26	12.15	-54.54	23	100	83
2024-05-03	13.35	-28.61	36	50	83
2024-05-10	13.70	-34.93	33	100	83
2024-05-17	13.85	-22.62	39	50	83
2024-05-24	14.40	-7.72	46	20	83
2024-05-31	14.40	-5.44	47	0	83
2024-06-07	14.55	-2.8	49	20	83
2024-06-14	14.65	1.05	51	50	83
2024-06-21	15.10	8.59	54	50	83
2024-06-28	15.00	5.11	53	33	83
2024-07-05	15.25	11.91	56	50	83
2024-07-12	15.15	9.38	55	50	83
2024-07-19	14.55	-4.66	48	20	83
2024-07-26	14.35	7.88	54	50	83
2024-08-02	14.70	14.69	57	50	83
2024-08-09	14.40	14.08	57	60	83
2024-08-16	14.45	9.94	55	60	83
2024-08-23	14.55	6.51	53	50	83
2024-08-30	14.30	-4.81	48	33	83
2024-09-06	13.70	-31.87	34	100	83
2024-09-13	13.65	-24.82	38	50	83
2024-09-20	14.00	-23.7	38	50	83
2024-09-27	14.50	-10.43	45	20	83
2024-10-04	14.40	-2.22	49	0	83
2024-10-11	14.30	-6.01	47	0	83
2024-10-18	14.45	-1.71	49	0	83
2024-10-25	14.55	3.44	52	50	83
2024-11-01	14.45	0.76	50	33	83
2024-11-08	14.70	14.39	57	60	83
2024-11-15	14.55	6.18	53	50	83
2024-11-22	14.75	6.8	53	20	83
2024-11-29	14.50	-3.53	48	20	83
2024-12-06	14.60	-1.11	49	0	83
2024-12-13	14.05	-16.77	42	20	83
2024-12-20	12.90	-45.11	27	100	83
2024-12-27	13.70	-25.69	37	50	83
2025-01-03	13.05	-51.67	24	100	83
2025-01-10	12.95	-55.88	22	100	83
2025-01-17	12.75	-54.08	23	100	83
2025-01-24	12.75	-58.37	21	100	83
2025-02-07	12.90	-38.88	31	50	83
2025-02-14	13.05	-38.53	31	50	83
2025-02-21	13.30	-29.9	35	50	83
2025-02-28	14.55	5.93	53	33	83
2025-03-07	14.25	0.07	50	33	83
2025-03-14	14.05	5.76	53	33	83
2025-03-21	14.20	13.92	57	50	83
2025-03-28	13.90	4.46	52	0	83
2025-04-04	13.60	0.0	50	33	83
2025-04-11	12.70	-3.67	48	0	83
2025-04-18	13.20	-3.22	48	0	83
2025-04-25	13.20	-5.94	47	33	83
2025-05-02	13.60	4.76	52	20	83
2025-05-09	14.10	20.28	60	50	83
2025-05-16	14.20	17.26	59	100	83
2025-05-23	14.20	22.49	61	100	83
2025-05-30	14.30	26.25	63	100	83
2025-06-06	14.45	32.85	66	100	83
2025-06-13	14.30	30.04	65	60	83
2025-06-20	14.15	31.0	65	100	83
2025-06-27	14.35	42.19	71	100	83
2025-07-04	14.50	43.56	72	100	83
2025-07-11	14.20	33.68	67	100	83
2025-07-18	14.40	36.22	68	60	83
2025-07-25	14.50	39.91	70	100	83
2025-08-01	14.35	27.04	64	50	83
2025-08-08	14.25	23.43	62	60	83
2025-08-15	14.30	20.14	60	60	83
2025-08-22	13.70	-3.23	48	0	83
2025-08-29	13.50	-30.04	35	100	83
2025-09-05	13.85	-11.14	44	50	83
2025-09-12	13.75	-28.66	36	100	83
2025-09-19	13.60	-22.45	39	20	83
2025-09-26	12.65	-51.07	24	100	83
2025-10-03	12.15	-61.92	19	100	83
2025-10-10	12.35	-54.52	23	100	83
2025-10-17	11.90	-69.05	15	100	83
2025-10-24	11.35	-66.06	17	100	83
2025-10-31	11.65	-50.9	25	60	83
2025-11-07	11.45	-63.01	18	100	83
2025-11-14	11.40	-64.07	18	100	83
2025-11-21	11.30	-62.15	19	100	83
2025-11-28	11.85	-40.64	30	50	83
2025-12-05	11.85	-42.24	29	50	83
2025-12-12	12.00	-39.38	30	50	83
2025-12-19	11.80	-36.58	32	50	83
2025-12-26	11.80	-49.02	25	100	83
2026-01-02	11.70	-53.43	23	100	83
2026-01-09	11.70	-53.12	23	100	83
2026-01-16	12.00	-21.6	39	20	83
2026-01-23	13.20	3.13	52	33	83
2026-01-30	12.90	-17.46	41	20	83
2026-02-06	12.70	-4.39	48	0	83
2026-02-13	13.00	9.21	55	50	83
2026-02-27	13.50	16.13	58	50	83
2026-03-06	13.15	3.82	52	33	83
2026-03-13	12.20	-15.21	42	20	83
2026-03-20	12.00	-19.61	40	50	83
2026-03-27	11.80	-24.26	38	33	83
2026-04-03	11.60	-36.48	32	100	83
2026-04-10	12.40	-8.22	46	0	83
2026-04-17	12.10	-19.41	40	33	83
2026-04-24	12.25	-17.47	41	33	83
2026-05-01	12.05	-9.9	45	33	83
2026-05-08	12.45	-0.6	50	33	83
2026-05-15	12.10	-15.59	42	33	83
2026-05-22	12.05	-8.57	46	0	83
2026-05-29	12.05	-22.62	39	50	83
2026-06-05	12.05	-26.9	37	60	83
2026-06-12	11.90	-24.68	38	50	83
2026-06-19	12.00	-23.42	38	50	83
2026-06-26	11.85	-35.75	32	100	83
2026-07-03	12.25	-12.75	44	20	83
2026-07-10	12.20	-23.59	38	33	67
2026-07-17	13.60	7.18	54	50	83
2026-07-24	13.10	9.59	55	50	100
2026-07-31	14.05	30.25	65	60	100
2026-08-07	13.55	28.42	64	60	100
2026-08-14	13.30	21.53	61	60	100
2026-08-21	13.25	26.24	63	67	100
2026-08-28	13.30	25.31	63	67	100
2026-09-04	13.00	25.79	63	67	100
2026-09-11	13.15	22.39	61	60	100
2026-09-18	13.25	37.46	69	67	100
2026-09-25	13.20	34.02	67	67	100
2026-10-02	13.20	23.22	62	60	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	10 Apr	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct
Trend	38	30	37	66	78	67	65	30	29	24	27	21	34	32	61	54	98	93	89	87	88	81	84	86	85	85
Momentum	67	63	67	58	55	52	47	47	43	50	55	53	63	59	81	77	86	81	64	71	61	62	69	71	70	72
Underlying pressure	45	45	46	48	48	44	43	43	40	37	38	36	43	51	72	83	86	88	86	85	83	82	82	83	82	79
Price & volume	70	51	47	48	66	38	65	64	61	67	63	50	69	—	55	48	54	54	51	59	65	71	50	92	83	50
Relative strength	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	5	3	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3
Modeled Trend	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	70	74	78	81	83	85	87	88	89	89	90

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

90/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Relative strength

3/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Look for the current direction to hold across trend, pressure and relative strength. A rising price with weaker EMD is a less convincing continuation.

Change of direction

Watch for loss of support

If price keeps rising while EMD falls, inspect which readings are weakening. Broad deterioration matters more than a single soft week.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

1 non-overlapping example. At least three are needed to display a summary.

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

3 Jul 2026Up-cycle confirmedTWD 12.25

13 Feb 2026Up-cycle confirmedTWD 13.00

23 Jan 2026Up-cycle confirmedTWD 13.20

9 May 2025Up-cycle confirmedTWD 14.10

21 Feb 2025Up-cycle confirmedTWD 13.30

20 Dec 2024Lower cycle zone confirmedTWD 12.90

19 Jul 2024Down-cycle confirmedTWD 14.55

21 Jun 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedTWD 15.10

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS