NYSE · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

BP

BP PLC ADR

US · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

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EMD SCORE71/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Strongly constructive

The latest completed-week readings are broadly supportive. Conditions are positive and have strengthened over the latest four completed weeks.

Constructive build100% directional agreement100/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 9 Oct 2026
Latest close: USD 46.25
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change+0.5 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price+0.3%

completed closing prices

Current directional run6 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency11/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

5 supportive · 0 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

20 Oct 2023–9 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 92%Current EMD +42.84-week EMD change +0.5Full saved history price range USD 24.84–46.60

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · USD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-20	34.11	42.66	71	60	83
2023-10-27	33.28	43.06	72	60	83
2023-11-03	31.18	10.03	55	20	83
2023-11-10	30.59	7.07	54	50	100
2023-11-17	31.05	-12.46	44	60	100
2023-11-24	31.24	-11.61	44	33	100
2023-12-01	31.38	-15.1	42	60	100
2023-12-08	30.78	-13.09	43	50	100
2023-12-15	30.36	-22.25	39	60	100
2023-12-22	30.81	-18.55	41	50	100
2023-12-29	30.87	-22.27	39	60	100
2024-01-05	31.42	-12.12	44	20	100
2024-01-12	30.40	-24.07	38	60	100
2024-01-19	29.52	-33.78	33	67	100
2024-01-26	31.07	-12.83	44	20	100
2024-02-02	30.21	-33.61	33	67	100
2024-02-09	31.71	-5.55	47	0	100
2024-02-16	31.29	-12.33	44	20	100
2024-02-23	31.23	-14.93	43	33	100
2024-03-01	31.46	-6.07	47	33	100
2024-03-08	32.14	-2.72	49	33	100
2024-03-15	33.09	8.97	54	60	100
2024-03-22	33.37	10.45	55	50	100
2024-03-29	33.26	10.24	55	50	100
2024-04-05	34.13	24.01	62	60	100
2024-04-12	34.82	37.26	69	60	100
2024-04-19	34.00	32.88	66	33	100
2024-04-26	34.84	46.89	73	67	100
2024-05-03	34.16	35.37	68	60	100
2024-05-10	33.40	22.92	61	33	100
2024-05-17	33.48	30.02	65	67	100
2024-05-24	32.80	14.96	57	33	100
2024-05-31	33.55	25.27	63	67	100
2024-06-07	31.49	-3.0	48	0	100
2024-06-14	31.16	-19.41	40	60	100
2024-06-21	31.71	-12.49	44	50	100
2024-06-28	32.24	-11.31	44	50	100
2024-07-05	33.09	-3.21	48	20	100
2024-07-12	31.43	-20.08	40	60	100
2024-07-19	31.60	-12.24	44	20	100
2024-07-26	31.48	-14.91	43	20	100
2024-08-02	30.44	-34.27	33	67	100
2024-08-09	30.13	-20.18	40	33	100
2024-08-16	30.90	-19.79	40	20	100
2024-08-23	30.90	-24.48	38	50	100
2024-08-30	30.77	-29.23	35	60	100
2024-09-06	28.90	-40.5	30	67	100
2024-09-13	28.85	-27.58	36	33	100
2024-09-20	29.57	-34.21	33	60	100
2024-09-27	28.47	-41.86	29	67	100
2024-10-04	29.79	-20.28	40	20	100
2024-10-11	29.09	-34.39	33	60	100
2024-10-18	28.39	-37.27	31	60	100
2024-10-25	28.56	-32.42	34	50	100
2024-11-01	26.48	-51.7	24	67	100
2024-11-08	26.65	-46.99	27	67	100
2024-11-15	26.69	-31.4	34	33	100
2024-11-22	27.37	-25.66	37	33	100
2024-11-29	27.00	-33.52	33	50	100
2024-12-06	26.43	-42.16	29	60	100
2024-12-13	27.61	-28.55	36	20	100
2024-12-20	26.34	-40.09	30	67	100
2024-12-27	26.67	-31.43	34	50	100
2025-01-03	28.06	-15.67	42	0	100
2025-01-10	28.82	-13.66	43	20	100
2025-01-17	29.19	-3.52	48	33	100
2025-01-24	28.97	-2.86	49	20	100
2025-01-31	28.61	-5.34	47	0	100
2025-02-07	29.72	14.61	57	60	100
2025-02-14	32.24	28.55	64	67	100
2025-02-21	31.66	19.09	60	33	100
2025-02-28	30.94	24.14	62	60	100
2025-03-07	29.96	29.33	65	60	100
2025-03-14	31.19	50.33	75	100	100
2025-03-21	32.27	61.97	81	100	100
2025-03-28	31.63	45.13	73	67	100
2025-04-04	26.51	5.42	53	33	100
2025-04-11	24.84	-13.8	43	20	100
2025-04-18	26.45	-10.21	45	33	100
2025-04-25	27.27	-12.23	44	33	100
2025-05-02	26.27	-21.07	39	50	100
2025-05-09	27.81	1.87	51	0	100
2025-05-16	28.25	-8.39	46	20	100
2025-05-23	27.61	-13.5	43	50	100
2025-05-30	27.62	-12.67	44	20	100
2025-06-06	27.80	-17.34	41	50	100
2025-06-13	30.11	8.29	54	50	100
2025-06-20	29.66	0.73	50	0	100
2025-06-27	28.80	-10.75	45	20	100
2025-07-04	29.36	5.65	53	20	100
2025-07-11	30.98	28.0	64	100	100
2025-07-18	30.36	14.33	57	50	100
2025-07-25	30.56	17.38	59	50	100
2025-08-01	30.14	14.63	57	20	100
2025-08-08	32.40	55.07	78	100	100
2025-08-15	33.06	58.98	79	100	100
2025-08-22	33.45	64.41	82	100	100
2025-08-29	33.92	67.71	84	100	100
2025-09-05	32.67	44.02	72	67	100
2025-09-12	32.63	38.79	69	60	100
2025-09-19	32.86	39.03	70	60	100
2025-09-26	34.37	63.2	82	100	100
2025-10-03	32.89	38.68	69	60	100
2025-10-10	32.25	31.9	66	60	100
2025-10-17	31.90	25.55	63	33	100
2025-10-24	33.26	39.66	70	100	100
2025-10-31	33.83	43.64	72	100	100
2025-11-07	35.22	62.39	81	100	100
2025-11-14	35.66	58.75	79	100	100
2025-11-21	35.12	49.38	75	67	100
2025-11-28	35.24	53.78	77	100	100
2025-12-05	34.97	34.89	67	67	100
2025-12-12	34.42	31.1	66	60	100
2025-12-19	33.13	15.4	58	20	100
2025-12-26	33.45	14.14	57	33	100
2026-01-02	34.97	32.81	66	60	100
2026-01-09	33.47	7.49	54	0	100
2026-01-16	34.53	25.82	63	50	100
2026-01-23	35.66	43.96	72	100	100
2026-01-30	36.97	51.51	76	100	100
2026-02-06	38.08	65.91	83	100	100
2026-02-13	36.76	54.68	77	100	100
2026-02-20	37.76	61.78	81	100	100
2026-02-27	38.43	67.62	84	100	100
2026-03-06	39.99	77.97	89	100	100
2026-03-13	42.20	85.46	93	100	100
2026-03-20	44.28	78.11	89	100	100
2026-03-27	46.16	92.16	96	100	100
2026-04-03	46.60	79.81	90	100	100
2026-04-10	45.92	78.07	89	100	100
2026-04-17	44.09	60.46	80	67	100
2026-04-24	45.74	71.55	86	100	100
2026-05-01	45.89	58.88	79	67	100
2026-05-08	42.86	46.0	73	67	100
2026-05-15	44.35	63.35	82	100	100
2026-05-22	44.36	46.72	73	67	100
2026-05-29	41.87	33.78	67	100	100
2026-06-05	42.97	41.91	71	100	100
2026-06-12	42.78	30.58	65	60	100
2026-06-19	39.10	-1.06	49	33	100
2026-06-26	37.13	-24.53	38	67	100
2026-07-03	37.40	-13.58	43	33	100
2026-07-10	38.73	-10.48	45	33	100
2026-07-17	41.39	11.21	56	33	100
2026-07-24	43.29	21.14	61	60	100
2026-07-31	44.67	32.1	66	67	100
2026-08-07	41.13	-2.99	49	33	100
2026-08-14	42.53	10.24	55	50	100
2026-08-21	44.76	42.44	71	100	100
2026-08-28	42.15	-0.07	50	0	100
2026-09-04	43.81	26.04	63	100	100
2026-09-11	46.10	42.33	71	100	100
2026-09-18	44.58	20.44	60	60	100
2026-09-25	44.15	28.43	64	60	100
2026-10-02	44.79	37.18	69	100	100
2026-10-09	46.25	42.83	71	100	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct	9 Oct
Trend	99	100	100	97	98	98	90	93	91	60	9	10	19	42	53	58	30	41	90	33	46	58	48	43	47	55
Momentum	78	78	76	63	78	71	58	70	59	40	36	35	38	65	72	75	66	61	67	52	73	80	71	82	79	76
Underlying pressure	95	93	91	85	77	69	55	50	44	36	31	28	24	23	26	35	42	48	57	57	63	70	73	77	77	80
Price & volume	41	56	41	36	58	42	48	45	47	37	29	68	67	68	59	74	34	59	63	34	57	60	28	52	61	62
Relative strength	95	97	96	81	88	85	60	77	73	34	24	20	26	57	75	80	35	47	72	46	61	80	68	59	64	71
Modeled Trend	91	91	91	91	91	90	90	90	90	89	89	89	88	87	86	84	82	80	79	79	79	80	81	83	84	85

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

85/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Trend

55/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Look for the current direction to hold across trend, pressure and relative strength. A rising price with weaker EMD is a less convincing continuation.

Change of direction

Watch for loss of support

If price keeps rising while EMD falls, inspect which readings are weakening. Broad deterioration matters more than a single soft week.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER+2.1%

Median price return · 10 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -20.4% to +14.8%
Positive returns: 60%
All-period comparison: +1.9% median

13 WEEKS LATER+6.7%

Median price return · 4 non-overlapping examples

Observed range: -12.4% to +24.1%
Positive returns: 75%
All-period comparison: +3.1% median

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

19 Dec 2025Down-cycle confirmedUSD 33.13

10 Oct 2025Down-cycle confirmedUSD 32.25

15 Aug 2025Upper cycle zone confirmedUSD 33.06

13 Jun 2025Up-cycle confirmedUSD 30.11

10 Jan 2025Up-cycle confirmedUSD 28.82

9 Aug 2024Lower cycle zone confirmedUSD 30.13

10 May 2024Down-cycle confirmedUSD 33.40

12 Apr 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedUSD 34.82

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS