TAI · EQUITY · ENHANCED MARKET DYNAMICS

8411

Kingcan Holdings Limited

TW · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

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EMD SCORE47/100

CURRENT COMPLETED-WEEK READ

Balanced

Constructive and cautious evidence are close enough to require confirmation. Conditions are cautious and have weakened over the latest four completed weeks.

Deterioration20% directional agreement74/100 evidence quality6/6 sources available

Completed week: 9 Oct 2026
Latest close: TWD 11.75
Evidence: 156 weeks

Four-week EMD change-30.0 pts

signed chart scale −100 to +100

Four-week price-9.6%

completed closing prices

Current directional run2 weeks

on the same side of EMD zero

Recent consistency11/13

recent readings above zero

COMPLETED-WEEK OVERVIEW

Price and market conditions over time

2 supportive · 3 cautious

Enhanced Market Dynamics and the price cycle156 completed weeks · bars use the left EMD axis; price uses the right axis.

6 Oct 2023–9 Oct 2026

Constructive EMDCautious EMDCompleted-week priceUp-cycle confirmationDown-cycle confirmation

Confirmation markers describe price-zone departures within this saved history. Earlier markers can change as the history changes; they are not a record of signals available in real time.

Cycle position 13%Current EMD -6.44-week EMD change -30.0Full saved history price range TWD 11.60–14.94

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close · TWD	EMD −100 to +100	Score /100	Agreement %	Coverage %
2023-10-06	13.96	-30.65	35	50	67
2023-10-13	13.81	-55.48	22	100	67
2023-10-20	13.76	-50.67	25	100	67
2023-10-27	13.51	-36.52	32	60	83
2023-11-03	13.71	-37.79	31	100	83
2023-11-10	13.81	-40.76	30	100	83
2023-11-17	13.96	-33.33	33	60	83
2023-11-24	14.05	-17.58	41	20	83
2023-12-01	14.05	-22.06	39	60	83
2023-12-08	14.25	-7.36	46	33	83
2023-12-15	14.94	20.33	60	50	83
2023-12-22	14.89	16.68	58	50	83
2023-12-29	14.94	31.65	66	50	83
2024-01-05	14.94	19.25	60	50	83
2024-01-12	14.64	4.06	52	20	83
2024-01-19	14.30	-6.9	47	50	83
2024-01-26	14.20	-10.42	45	50	83
2024-02-02	13.96	-22.35	39	50	83
2024-02-09	13.96	-23.11	38	100	83
2024-02-16	14.20	-18.34	41	50	83
2024-02-23	14.25	-8.06	46	20	83
2024-03-01	14.25	-0.81	50	20	83
2024-03-08	14.20	-4.66	48	0	83
2024-03-15	13.76	-38.57	31	100	83
2024-03-22	13.51	-46.11	27	100	83
2024-03-29	13.51	-43.86	28	100	83
2024-04-05	13.22	-54.11	23	100	83
2024-04-12	13.37	-32.95	34	50	83
2024-04-19	13.37	-36.07	32	50	83
2024-04-26	13.32	-49.09	25	100	83
2024-05-03	13.22	-53.03	23	100	83
2024-05-10	14.01	-18.98	41	20	83
2024-05-17	13.66	-38.28	31	60	83
2024-05-24	13.56	-30.25	35	50	83
2024-05-31	13.81	-12.23	44	20	83
2024-06-07	13.86	-28.17	36	100	83
2024-06-14	13.81	-23.09	38	50	83
2024-06-21	13.86	-14.48	43	0	83
2024-06-28	13.86	-13.31	43	0	83
2024-07-05	14.50	6.73	53	50	83
2024-07-12	14.55	3.73	52	33	83
2024-07-19	14.45	5.49	53	33	83
2024-07-26	14.33	8.21	54	20	83
2024-08-02	14.23	12.98	56	50	83
2024-08-09	13.94	10.84	55	50	83
2024-08-16	14.08	8.85	54	60	83
2024-08-23	14.18	9.69	55	60	83
2024-08-30	14.13	4.87	52	60	83
2024-09-06	13.89	-1.15	49	33	83
2024-09-13	13.89	0.58	50	50	83
2024-09-20	13.94	-0.67	50	20	83
2024-09-27	13.94	0.94	50	20	83
2024-10-04	14.23	5.91	53	50	83
2024-10-11	13.84	-19.41	40	0	83
2024-10-18	13.74	-5.95	47	33	83
2024-10-25	13.69	-40.69	30	100	83
2024-11-01	13.94	-17.91	41	50	83
2024-11-08	13.79	-34.32	33	60	83
2024-11-15	13.34	-49.48	25	100	83
2024-11-22	13.24	-49.66	25	100	83
2024-11-29	13.10	-54.3	23	100	83
2024-12-06	13.19	-49.67	25	100	83
2024-12-13	13.00	-55.13	22	100	83
2024-12-20	12.50	-60.3	20	100	83
2024-12-27	12.95	-44.63	28	60	83
2025-01-03	12.95	-50.83	25	100	83
2025-01-10	13.00	-48.36	26	100	83
2025-01-17	13.05	-34.13	33	50	83
2025-01-24	13.00	-44.5	28	100	83
2025-02-07	13.10	-45.72	27	100	83
2025-02-14	13.24	-32.99	34	100	83
2025-02-21	13.29	-30.28	35	100	83
2025-02-28	13.34	-14.22	43	50	83
2025-03-07	13.24	-9.23	45	0	83
2025-03-14	13.29	-1.31	49	0	83
2025-03-21	13.19	-6.97	47	33	83
2025-03-28	12.95	-15.57	42	100	83
2025-04-04	12.95	-4.38	48	0	83
2025-04-11	12.01	-6.65	47	50	83
2025-04-18	12.75	9.64	55	0	83
2025-04-25	12.85	-8.12	46	50	83
2025-05-02	13.00	-5.96	47	0	83
2025-05-09	13.24	9.04	55	20	83
2025-05-16	12.85	-16.04	42	100	83
2025-05-23	12.95	-10.24	45	100	83
2025-05-30	13.05	0.36	50	33	83
2025-06-06	12.75	-20.0	40	100	83
2025-06-13	12.85	-11.4	44	50	83
2025-06-20	12.80	-18.3	41	100	83
2025-06-27	12.60	-31.99	34	100	83
2025-07-04	12.90	-4.75	48	20	83
2025-07-11	12.85	-9.65	45	33	83
2025-07-18	13.05	4.08	52	20	83
2025-07-25	12.85	-19.99	40	20	83
2025-08-01	12.85	-7.88	46	33	83
2025-08-08	12.85	-12.65	44	33	83
2025-08-15	12.85	-13.72	43	33	83
2025-08-22	12.75	-18.45	41	100	83
2025-08-29	12.70	-26.48	37	100	83
2025-09-05	12.75	-15.71	42	33	83
2025-09-12	12.90	-8.79	46	0	83
2025-09-19	12.90	-8.04	46	0	83
2025-09-26	12.70	-14.64	43	0	83
2025-10-03	12.70	-13.88	43	0	83
2025-10-10	12.60	-28.45	36	100	83
2025-10-17	12.50	-42.27	29	100	83
2025-10-24	12.65	-26.48	37	50	83
2025-10-31	12.60	-25.95	37	50	83
2025-11-07	12.45	-31.26	34	50	83
2025-11-14	12.45	-30.03	35	50	83
2025-11-21	12.50	-29.84	35	50	83
2025-11-28	12.30	-34.65	33	50	83
2025-12-05	11.96	-63.5	18	100	83
2025-12-12	12.15	-39.54	30	50	83
2025-12-19	12.10	-39.58	30	50	83
2025-12-26	12.10	-52.49	24	100	83
2026-01-02	12.30	-24.54	38	20	83
2026-01-09	12.10	-45.18	27	100	83
2026-01-16	11.96	-35.77	32	50	83
2026-01-23	12.00	-25.98	37	50	83
2026-01-30	12.00	-32.87	34	50	83
2026-02-06	11.86	-52.79	24	100	83
2026-02-13	12.40	-21.02	39	20	83
2026-02-27	12.40	-23.86	38	50	83
2026-03-06	12.05	-35.26	32	100	83
2026-03-13	12.00	-21.51	39	33	83
2026-03-20	12.15	-20.18	40	33	83
2026-03-27	12.15	-14.58	43	33	83
2026-04-03	12.15	-14.48	43	20	83
2026-04-10	12.25	-10.93	45	20	83
2026-04-17	12.25	-10.69	45	20	83
2026-04-24	12.05	-16.56	42	0	83
2026-05-01	12.15	-13.89	43	20	83
2026-05-08	12.15	-12.99	44	20	83
2026-05-15	12.10	-16.86	42	0	83
2026-05-22	11.91	-26.36	37	100	83
2026-05-29	12.10	-9.17	45	33	83
2026-06-05	12.00	-16.98	42	33	83
2026-06-12	12.10	-7.1	46	0	83
2026-06-19	12.05	-14.59	43	20	83
2026-06-26	11.76	-39.29	30	100	83
2026-07-03	12.25	-5.62	47	0	83
2026-07-10	12.30	-16.08	42	0	67
2026-07-17	12.40	3.15	52	50	83
2026-07-24	13.10	24.88	62	67	100
2026-07-31	13.30	27.57	64	67	100
2026-08-07	12.80	20.4	60	60	100
2026-08-14	12.95	24.02	62	60	100
2026-08-21	12.80	19.49	60	60	100
2026-08-28	12.95	21.61	61	60	100
2026-09-04	13.00	25.55	63	60	100
2026-09-11	13.00	23.58	62	60	100
2026-09-18	12.60	10.05	55	33	100
2026-09-25	12.10	2.74	51	33	100
2026-10-02	11.60	-25.16	37	20	100
2026-10-09	11.75	-6.44	47	20	100

SIX SOURCES · LAST 26 OBSERVATIONS

Is support broadening or thinning?

Green is supportive, rose is cautious.
Grey means the reading is unavailable.

Reading	17 Apr	24 Apr	1 May	8 May	15 May	22 May	29 May	5 Jun	12 Jun	19 Jun	26 Jun	3 Jul	10 Jul	17 Jul	24 Jul	31 Jul	7 Aug	14 Aug	21 Aug	28 Aug	4 Sep	11 Sep	18 Sep	25 Sep	2 Oct	9 Oct
Trend	31	26	29	30	29	23	30	28	31	30	21	38	39	77	92	94	85	88	84	86	87	86	75	59	12	15
Momentum	59	56	58	57	56	52	54	54	57	58	49	60	60	63	79	78	71	74	64	64	72	70	65	56	46	47
Underlying pressure	63	60	59	61	59	56	56	49	50	57	46	53	57	69	85	87	89	89	87	86	86	86	84	75	57	38
Price & volume	61	50	58	60	47	53	82	67	86	58	35	79	—	50	57	57	47	51	49	53	56	50	25	31	0	87
Relative strength	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	2	1	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1
Modeled Trend	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	68	72	75	78	80	82	84	86	87	88	88	88

Each cell is a finished component score from 0–100. Components can disagree even when the combined reading stays positive.

STRONGEST CURRENT SOURCE

Modeled Trend

88/100

LEAST SUPPORTIVE SOURCE

Relative strength

1/100

WHAT WOULD CHANGE THE READ?

Three paths to keep in view

Conditional research scenarios.
No assumed price target or timing.

Continuation

Price and evidence stay together

Further price weakness alongside cautious trend, pressure and relative strength would support the current defensive read.

Change of direction

Repair needs follow-through

Improving EMD while price still falls is an early observation. A turn in price and broader agreement would strengthen a repair case.

Cycle context

A range extreme is a location

An upper zone can persist during a strong advance; a lower zone can persist during a decline. Use departures, EMD direction and the related price charts together.

EARLIER COMPARABLE READINGS

What followed similar conditions?

Same ticker · similar score and direction of change.
Returns exclude costs and dividends.

4 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

13 WEEKS LATER

Too few comparisons

0 non-overlapping examples. At least three are needed to display a summary.

How these comparisons are selected

Earlier observations must have the same constructive/fading/repair/deterioration condition, a score within ten points of today’s score and at least the same component coverage. The first 30 observations are omitted for warm-up; examples are spaced by the forward horizon to avoid overlap. Gapped return windows are excluded. The all-period comparison uses the same available history and spacing, without matching the current state. These are reconstructed observations, not a point-in-time strategy backtest or a forecast.

RECENT CYCLE HISTORY

How the current reading developed

17 Jul 2026Up-cycle confirmedTWD 12.40

18 Jul 2025Up-cycle confirmedTWD 13.05

9 May 2025Up-cycle confirmedTWD 13.24

28 Feb 2025Up-cycle confirmedTWD 13.34

15 Nov 2024Lower cycle zone confirmedTWD 13.34

30 Aug 2024Down-cycle confirmedTWD 14.13

12 Jul 2024Upper cycle zone confirmedTWD 14.55

10 May 2024Up-cycle confirmedTWD 14.01

THE FULL PRICE CYCLE

Follow the journey from one zone to the other

Cycle states use trailing completed-week observations.

Lower zone

Price establishes residence near the bottom of its long-cycle range. Improving EMD separates early repair from continued deterioration.

Upward journey

Price leaves the lower zone while EMD confirms improving participation. The objective is the broader move toward the upper zone, not a short weekly trade.

Upper zone

Price establishes residence near the top of its long-cycle range. A high range position can persist. Watch EMD for exhaustion and loss of support before interpreting it as a turn.

Downward journey

Price leaves the upper zone while EMD weakens. The reverse cycle remains active until lower-zone residence is confirmed again.

CURRENT READINGS