Sharemaestro company report · Lowest valuation group · LSE

FirstGroup plc

FGP · Value leads; growth needs scrutiny

1 of 3 available weekly market readings are positive.

Latest completed factor comparison: 2 Oct 2026. Chart evidence is dated separately; price updates do not recalculate this factor edition.

The selected research question · Lowest valuation group

Is the discount supported by the company?

A place in the lowest valuation group is the beginning of the question. Business strength, cash backing and market confirmation determine how complete the case is.

Value, with the business behind it

Value leads; growth needs scrutiny

2 of 3 measured focus pillars have standing of at least 65. Compare the weaker readings with their own history before treating the case as complete.

Latest change: 0 improving, 0 weakening and 3 unchanged across the 3 comparable focus pillars since the previous edition.

2/3 strong
Focus pillars with standing ≥65. This is a breadth check, not a new combined score.
Value
98/100

+4.0 points vs screen median

Strong in 100% of 17 observed editions
Business strength
89/100

+72.0 points vs screen median

Strong in 100% of 17 observed editions
Growth
5/100

-14.0 points vs screen median

Strong in 0% of 17 observed editions

The comparison uses companies qualifying for this screen in the same universe and edition. Medians require at least five companies. Historical strength counts actual factor observations; it does not claim historical screen membership.

01 · The company in perspective

The shape of the evidence

Higher means stronger relative standing.
Value98/100
+58.0 points vs Industrials median
Business strength89/100
+41.0 points vs Industrials median
Price strength5/100
-43.0 points vs Industrials median
Growth5/100
-43.0 points vs Industrials median
Capital return91/100
+55.0 points vs Industrials median

Vertical marks show the peer median · 161 company records in the comparison.

Current research reading

Strength awaiting recognition

Business strength ranks well; price strength remains in the lower group.

Look for stabilisation in trend and relative strength before calling a recovery.

Strongest pillar

Value

98/100 standing

Weakest pillar

Price strength

5/100 standing

The strongest and weakest pillars describe this profile, not changes in company performance. The history below shows whether the readings are improving.

Beneath the factor profile

How well does the business support the score?

Derived from the saved company inputs · 2 Oct 2026
Cash value100/100
Cash backing70/100
Business durability64/100
Financial resilience40/100
Capital discipline73/100
Price support21/100

These established Sharemaestro cash-research scores summarise cash backing, durability, resilience and capital discipline. Higher is stronger on the available tests. They are separate from universe ranks and are not percentiles or probabilities. Missing components remain unavailable.

02 · Market confirmation

Is the price supporting the case?

Full chart terminal ↗
Trend SignalPositivelatest completed chart observation
Market DynamicsNot positivelatest completed chart observation
Relative StrengthNot positivelatest completed chart observation
Price / Fair Value+3.1%positive is above the reference

03 · What is changing

A strong reading matters more when it lasts.

7 Jun 2026 – 2 Oct 2026
Factor standing, one edition at a time

Read across for persistence. Read down for breadth. Each cell is an actual published observation.

80–9965–7940–640–39No reading
Company factor history. Higher scores mean stronger standing in the comparison universe.
Factor7 Jun202614 Jun202621 Jun202628 Jun20265 Jul202612 Jul202619 Jul202626 Jul20262 Aug20269 Aug202616 Aug202628 Aug20264 Sep202611 Sep202618 Sep202625 Sep20262 Oct2026LatestChange
CombinedFocus850.0points
ValueFocus980.0points
Business strengthFocus890.0points
GrowthFocus50.0points
Price strengthFurther context50.0points
Capital returnFurther context91-1.0points

Hover or focus a cell to inspect its dated reading. Arrow keys move between factors and editions. Scroll across for more dates.

Changes since the previous edition
Capital return-1.0 pts92 → 91
Value0.0 pts98 → 98
Business strength0.0 pts89 → 89
Price strength0.0 pts5 → 5
Growth0.0 pts5 → 5

Changes compare 25 Sep 2026 with 2 Oct 2026. The underlying company period did not change between these editions. Prices, peer rankings and other inputs can still move the scores. Changes in a relative score do not, by themselves, identify a cause.

04 · Competitive position

Company strength, in its peer context

Explore Industrials ↗

Value and Business strength

FGP is highlighted against companies in the Lowest valuation group screen. Select a point to compare the same research angle. Up to 250 companies shown.

Has price kept pace?

Price returns to 2 Oct 2026. The comparison is the median of companies in the same sector with a reading, not a traded portfolio.

3 monthsFGP-1.8%Sector median1.5%Difference-3.3 pp
6 monthsFGP+5.8%Sector median8.9%Difference-3.1 pp
12 monthsFGP-17.2%Sector median-0.9%Difference-16.3 pp

Relative standing is the useful comparison.

A rising share price can still trail its peers. A company with falling prices can still outperform a weaker sector. Compare the return gap with the factor profile before drawing a conclusion.

At least five sector observations are required to display a median. Returns exclude dividends. These are completed historical returns, not forward estimates.

05 · Staying power and price risk

Separate company standing from the ride.

Strong factor evidence does not remove price risk.
Value · strong editions100%score ≥65 in 17 observed editions
Annualised volatility23.6%stored one-year daily measure · factor date
Input coverage97%available factor inputs, not certainty

Drawdown measures the weekly close below its running high within the displayed price history. It starts at zero and is not an all-time drawdown. Persistence counts observed editions only; missing weeks are not filled in.

06 · Research playbook

What would strengthen — or weaken — this reading?

Conditions to monitor, not a trade instruction.
Build the Lowest valuation group case

The discount has stronger company support

Watch business strength, cash backing and growth alongside the next completed market readings.

1 of 3 available weekly market readings are positive.

Challenge the case

Value stays high while business strength deteriorates

Growth is the weakest measured focus pillar at 5/100. Check whether it is recovering, stable or deteriorating in the history above.

A loss of screen qualification, lower coverage or deterioration across several readings would require a fresh review.

Compare the alternatives

Keep the research question consistent

Compare FGP with other companies selected by Lowest valuation group. A stronger overall score does not necessarily mean stronger evidence for this particular approach.

Open this screen →

Screen membership

Where FGP qualifies

The same selection rules used by the Company Screener.

A traceable Sharemaestro report

Built from the record we have.

This report uses published Sharemaestro factor snapshots and stored completed weekly prices and indicators. Company inputs are translated into comparable standing, change and context. The page does not fetch live accounts or infer missing company results.

Scores use the established higher-is-stronger Sharemaestro display convention and are relative to United Kingdom - GBP / GBX. Sector medians compare those same universe scores; they do not re-rank the company. Peer medians exclude missing readings.

The company period is the period end used in the factor edition, not its filing date. Stored history is an observation record, not a claim of a point-in-time investable backtest. None of these scores is a probability or expected return.

Historical price series may reflect provider adjustments. The combined score is a summary, not a substitute for the distinct strengths, weaknesses and data coverage shown above.

Evidence context