Ticker Options Intelligence

HAFN options intelligence

Hafnia Limited options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 40 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 12:59 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

HAFN currently carries mixed options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 9.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.56

Put-side skew

Trend fit 88

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.5%

RS 10.3

Expected move 9.8%
Put-call volume 1.56
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.86
Max pain 7.50
Underlying 7.69
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 50

Research Brief

HAFN has a mixed chain read with 40/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 6.94–8.44; The largest call open-interest concentration is 7.50; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50.

Priced range6.94–8.44
Call concentration7.50
Put concentration7.50
Max pain reference7.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 6.94 to 8.44. Max pain at 7.50 sits inside that range, 2.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
6.947.69 ± 0.758.44
Confirmation level

A close beyond 8.44 or below 6.94 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 40/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 17/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure17 × 42%
+7.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.1

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement88 × 26%
+22.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility95 × 10%
+9.5

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score39.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 7.50; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-67.5%
0
100
5.00-35.0%
23
1664
7.50-2.5%
1535
122
10.0030.0%
318
42
12.5062.5%
0
101
15.0095.1%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.14× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.86 21 Aug 21d
0.43 18 Sep 49d
0.50 16 Oct 77d
0.40 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

8
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
50 / 50
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

65/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2500 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-17
1W price+0.5%
Call premium44%
Put premium56%
Notional split C 44% / P 56% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 88/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ATM
Puts · 8-21 days · ATM puts cluster with 38 contracts traded, $1140 estimated gross traded notional, and 46% of visible notional.
$1140
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 23 contracts traded, $1035 estimated gross traded notional, and 41% of visible notional.
$1035
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $265 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$265
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $55 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$55
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $5 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$5

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close7.69
1W+0.5%
RS10.3
Fair value+49.8%
Options pressure-17
Speculation0
Volatility95
Trend fit88

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.8% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.86 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.56 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:45 Mixed
Pressure 8
Move 10.8%
30 Jul 10:41 Bullish
Pressure 42
Move 10.1%
31 Jul 12:56 Bearish
Pressure -44
Move 10.1%
31 Jul 14:24 Mixed
Pressure 15
Move 9.8%
31 Jul 15:40 Mixed
Pressure 10
Move 9.8%
2 Aug 11:59 Mixed
Pressure -17
Move 9.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 23
Puts · V 0 · OI 100
Strike7.50
Calls · V 23 · OI 1535
Puts · V 38 · OI 1664
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 318
Puts · V 1 · OI 122
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 42
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 101

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.86
Put-call1.70
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.43
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.50
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts14
Avg IV0.40
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.54
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.06
Skew-0.29
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.90
Skew0.62
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.57
Skew0.25

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractHAFN260821P00007500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume38
OI1664
IV0.54
ContractHAFN260821C00007500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume23
OI1535
IV0.46
ContractHAFN261016C00007500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume1
OI1065
IV0.30
ContractHAFN261016C00010000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume1
OI777
IV0.28
ContractHAFN260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume1
OI122
IV1.39
ContractHAFN270115C00007500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI648
IV0.23
ContractHAFN261016P00007500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI592
IV0.90
ContractHAFN270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI497
IV0.32