Ticker Options Intelligence

APLE options intelligence

Apple Hospitality REIT Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 58 Market data through 16 Sep 2026 Checked 17 Sep 2026 13:47 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

APLE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.2%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.2%

RS 9.2

Expected move 5.2%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.71
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 15.55
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 88

Research Brief

APLE has a bullish chain read with 58/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 14.74–16.36; The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range14.74–16.36
Call concentration17.50
Put concentration15.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 18 Sep

Options imply 14.74 to 16.36. Max pain at 15.00 sits inside that range, 3.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
14.7415.55 ± 0.8116.36
Confirmation level

A close beyond 16.36 or below 14.74 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 58/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation40 × 22%
+8.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility70 × 10%
+7.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score57.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
2
2.50-83.9%
1
0
5.00-67.8%
2
0
7.50-51.8%
0
2
10.00-35.7%
1
3
12.50-19.6%
1
50
15.00-3.5%
5
2
17.5012.5%
824
0
20.0028.6%
1
0
22.5044.7%
0
0
25.0060.8%
0
0
30.0092.9%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 78% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$232,069Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak15.00+$167,402
Negative peak10.00-$4,352
Nearest balance12.54Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50-83.9%
-$0
5.00-67.8%
+$1
7.50-51.8%
-$3
10.00-35.7%
-$4,352
12.50-19.6%
-$3,003
15.00-3.5%
+$167,402
17.5012.5%
+$69,636
20.0028.6%
+$2,387
30.0092.9%
+$1
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

3.13× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.71 18 Sep 2d
0.30 16 Oct 30d
0.24 15 Jan 121d
0.23 16 Apr 212d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

13
15
18
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

25 matured · 16 directional

Across 16 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 75% of the time.

Directional follow-through75%
Moves contained by pricing96%
Average expiry move2.2%
16 Sep Bullish · 58 0.2% through expiry 5.2% priced · v2.0
15 Sep Volatility · 55 0.2% through expiry 4.2% priced · v2.0
14 Sep Bullish · 48 0.2% through expiry 6.7% priced · v2.0
11 Sep Bullish · 50 0.2% through expiry 6.3% priced · v2.0
10 Sep Mixed · 36 -0.1% through expiry 4.8% priced · v2.0
9 Sep Mixed · 34 -0.1% through expiry 4.2% priced · v2.0
4 Sep Bullish · 49 -0.1% through expiry 8.4% priced · v2.0
3 Sep Bearish · 44 -5.9% through expiry 11.0% priced · v2.0
1 Sep Bullish · 44 -5.9% through expiry 11.3% priced · v2.0
28 Aug Mixed · 42 -5.9% through expiry 7.3% priced · v2.0
24 Aug Volatility · 56 -6.5% through expiry 9.3% priced · v2.0
21 Aug Bearish · 46 -6.5% through expiry 6.4% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
16 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
88 / 88
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

58/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $22,352 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+0.2%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 86 contracts traded, $22,168 estimated gross traded notional, and 99% of visible notional.
$22,168
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $120 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$120
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $65 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$65

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

62

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 26 completed sessions

Volume rank50th
Volume/OI rank50th
IV rank85th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close15.58
1W+0.2%
RS9.2
Fair value+20.5%
Options pressure100
Speculation40
Volatility70
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.2% near normal
30d avg 7.3% · 13 sessions 23th
90d avg - · 26/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 26/60 sessions -
IV 0.71 near normal
30d avg 0.65 · 13 sessions 69th
90d avg - · 26/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 26/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 muted
30d avg 1.01 · 13 sessions 8th
90d avg - · 26/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 26/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 near normal
30d avg 0.03 · 13 sessions 38th
90d avg - · 26/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 26/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
30 Jul 10:42 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.9%
31 Jul 10:26 Bullish
Pressure 97
Move 7.5%
3 Aug 13:21 Bullish
Pressure 97
Move 7.0%
3 Aug 15:36 Bullish
Pressure 92
Move 6.5%
3 Aug 22:17 Bullish
Pressure 98
Move 6.7%
5 Aug 00:08 Bullish
Pressure 95
Move 7.1%
6 Aug 10:25 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.7%
7 Aug 11:50 Bullish
Pressure 60
Move 7.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 50
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 824
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.71
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.23
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.86
Put IV0.27
Skew-0.60
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.26
Skew0.04
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.28
Skew0.06
16 Apr 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.18
Put IV0.35
Skew0.17

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAPLE270416C00012500
SideCall
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Strike12.50
Volume63
OI6
IV0.01
ContractAPLE270115C00015000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike15.00
Volume22
OI698
IV0.19
ContractAPLE270115C00017500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike17.50
Volume3
OI879
IV0.22
ContractAPLE270416C00017500
SideCall
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Strike17.50
Volume2
OI355
IV0.18
ContractAPLE261016C00015000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike15.00
Volume1
OI1655
IV0.21
ContractAPLE270416C00015000
SideCall
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Strike15.00
Volume1
OI663
IV0.18
ContractAPLE261016P00010000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI2097
IV0.68
ContractAPLE261016C00017500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI938
IV0.22

Evidence context