Ticker Options Intelligence

APLE options intelligence

Apple Hospitality REIT Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 19:29 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

APLE currently carries bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 7.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.05

Call-side skew

Trend fit 3

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -1.1%

RS 20.0

Expected move 7.0%
Put-call volume 0.05
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.38
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 16.51
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 88

Research Brief

APLE has a bullish chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 15.36–17.66; The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50.

Priced range15.36–17.66
Call concentration17.50
Put concentration15.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 15.36 to 17.66. Max pain at 15.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
15.3616.51 ± 1.1517.66
Confirmation level

A close beyond 17.66 or below 15.36 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 97/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure97 × 42%
+40.7

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement3 × 26%
+0.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility54 × 10%
+5.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score48.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-84.9%
0
0
5.00-69.7%
0
0
7.50-54.6%
0
0
10.00-39.4%
0
1
12.50-24.3%
0
65
15.00-9.1%
13
4
17.506.0%
404
1
20.0021.1%
5
0
22.5036.3%
1
0
25.0051.4%
0
0
30.0081.7%
1
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.59× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.38 21 Aug 21d
0.31 18 Sep 49d
0.23 16 Oct 77d
0.24 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

15
18
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
88 / 88
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

77/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1697 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+97
1W price-1.1%
Call premium97%
Put premium3%
Notional split C 97% / P 3% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 3/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $650 estimated gross traded notional, and 38% of visible notional.
$650
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 15 contracts traded, $500 estimated gross traded notional, and 29% of visible notional.
$500
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 6 contracts traded, $210 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$210
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $178 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$178
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $117 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$117

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close16.51
1W-1.1%
RS20.0
Fair value+29.2%
Options pressure97
Speculation8
Volatility54
Trend fit3

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.0% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.38 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:51 Bullish
Pressure 97
Move 6.9%
30 Jul 10:42 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 6.9%
31 Jul 10:26 Bullish
Pressure 97
Move 7.5%
1 Aug 18:29 Bullish
Pressure 97
Move 7.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike15.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 13
Puts · V 1 · OI 65
Strike17.50
Calls · V 10 · OI 404
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.38
Put-call0.06
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.31
Put-call1.00
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.23
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.22
Skew-0.04
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.34
Skew0.10
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.32
Skew0.10
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.29
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAPLE260821C00017500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume10
OI404
IV0.26
ContractAPLE270115C00020000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike20.00
Volume10
OI367
IV0.22
ContractAPLE261016C00017500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike17.50
Volume6
OI881
IV0.22
ContractAPLE270115C00017500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike17.50
Volume5
OI632
IV0.22
ContractAPLE260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume4
OI13
IV0.35
ContractAPLE260821P00015000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume1
OI65
IV0.22
ContractAPLE260918P00015000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike15.00
Volume1
OI20
IV0.34
ContractAPLE260821C00030000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike30.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.99