Ticker Options Intelligence

KMB options intelligence

Kimberly-Clark Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 45 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 15:05 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

KMB currently carries bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 4.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 2.15

Put-side skew

Trend fit 69

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -0.4%

RS -6.3

Expected move 4.7%
Put-call volume 2.15
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.43
Max pain 109.00
Underlying 109.31
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 916

Research Brief

KMB has a bearish chain read with 45/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 104.19–114.43; The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 109.00. The most active strike by current volume is 107.00.

Priced range104.19–114.43
Call concentration120.00
Put concentration109.00
Max pain reference109.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 104.19 to 114.43. Max pain at 109.00 sits inside that range, 0.3% below spot.

Spot Max pain
104.19109.31 ± 5.12114.43
Confirmation level

A close beyond 114.43 or below 104.19 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 45/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 31/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure31 × 42%
+12.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement69 × 26%
+17.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility49 × 10%
+4.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score44.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 109.00. The most active strike by current volume is 107.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
7
60.00-45.1%
0
47
102.00-6.7%
7
25
103.00-5.8%
10
33
105.00-3.9%
34
24
106.00-3.0%
22
54
107.00-2.1%
73
70
108.00-1.2%
14
261
109.00-0.3%
404
95
110.000.6%
138
40
111.001.5%
66
29
112.002.5%
168
22
113.003.4%
104
15
114.004.3%
52
9
115.005.2%
132
10
116.006.1%
58
0
117.007.0%
77
0
120.009.8%
2026
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.52× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.43 7 Aug 7d
0.34 14 Aug 14d
0.33 21 Aug 21d
0.29 28 Aug 28d
0.31 4 Sep 35d
0.29 11 Sep 42d
0.31 18 Sep 49d
0.29 16 Oct 77d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

90
94
96
97
99
101
102
104
106
108
110
111
113
115
116
118
120
122
124
125
130
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
916 / 916
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

79/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $478546 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 0-7 days · atm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-31
1W price-0.4%
Call premium49%
Put premium51%
Notional split C 49% / P 51% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 69/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 0-7 days · ATM
Puts · 0-7 days · ATM puts cluster with 1057 contracts traded, $162688 estimated gross traded notional, and 34% of visible notional.
$162688
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 59 contracts traded, $75810 estimated gross traded notional, and 16% of visible notional.
$75810
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 209 contracts traded, $30982 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$30982
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 57 contracts traded, $28960 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$28960
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 36 contracts traded, $22155 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$22155

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close109.31
1W-0.4%
RS-6.3
Fair value-6.1%
Options pressure-31
Speculation41
Volatility49
Trend fit69

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.43 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 2.15 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:13 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 4.5%
30 Jul 08:49 Bullish
Pressure 19
Move 1.1%
31 Jul 03:56 Bullish
Pressure 37
Move 1.8%
31 Jul 13:15 Bullish
Pressure 36
Move 1.8%
31 Jul 23:28 Mixed
Pressure 2
Move 0.7%
1 Aug 05:58 Bearish
Pressure -31
Move 4.8%
1 Aug 14:05 Bearish
Pressure -31
Move 4.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 98 · OI 7
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 5
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike93.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts90
Avg IV0.43
Put-call3.22
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts100
Avg IV0.34
Put-call0.52
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts94
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.78
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.29
Put-call0.40
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts84
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.41
Put IV0.42
Skew0.01
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.36
Skew0.04
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.39
Put IV0.41
Skew0.02
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.39
Put IV0.37
Skew-0.02
4 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.36
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractKMB260807P00107000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike107.00
Volume1013
OI54
IV0.42
ContractKMB260918P00100000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike100.00
Volume169
OI1479
IV0.32
ContractKMB260807C00116000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike116.00
Volume144
OI58
IV0.48
ContractKMB260807P00060000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike60.00
Volume98
OI7
IV1.51
ContractKMB260821P00100000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike100.00
Volume68
OI1376
IV0.37
ContractKMB260814C00106000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike106.00
Volume53
OI5
IV0.36
ContractKMB260807C00110000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike110.00
Volume48
OI138
IV0.45
ContractKMB260807C00115000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike115.00
Volume48
OI132
IV0.41