Ticker Options Intelligence

D options intelligence

Dominion Energy Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 36 Market data through 18 Sep 2026 Checked 19 Sep 2026 03:03 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

D currently carries mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 2.3%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.04

Balanced tape

Trend fit 83

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -2.2%

RS -5.6

Expected move 2.3%
Put-call volume 1.04
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.38
Max pain 65.00
Underlying 64.36
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 488

Research Brief

D has a mixed chain read with 36/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 62.86โ€“65.86; The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 62.50. The most active strike by current volume is 65.00.

Priced range62.86โ€“65.86
Call concentration70.00
Put concentration62.50
Max pain reference65.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 62.86 to 65.86. Max pain at 65.00 sits inside that range, 1.0% above spot.

Spot Max pain
62.8664.36 ยฑ 1.5065.86
Confirmation level

A close beyond 65.86 or below 62.86 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 36/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 4/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure4 ร— 42%
+1.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation40 ร— 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement83 ร— 26%
+21.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility36 ร— 10%
+3.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score36.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 62.50. The most active strike by current volume is 65.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
32
40.00-37.8%
0
89
45.00-30.1%
0
172
47.50-26.2%
0
263
50.00-22.3%
0
296
52.50-18.4%
1
261
55.00-14.5%
1
491
57.50-10.7%
1
805
60.00-6.8%
16
3262
62.50-2.9%
10
597
65.001.0%
410
215
67.504.9%
2838
19
70.008.8%
6909
2
72.5012.6%
1374
0
75.0016.5%
1078
0
77.5020.4%
240
0
80.0024.3%
111
0
90.0039.8%
134
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Balanced gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks ยท 98% coverage

Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.

Net profile+$1.9MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak67.50+$1.9M
Negative peak62.50-$1.8M
Nearest balance65.28Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
35.00-45.6%
-$250
37.50-41.7%
-$481
40.00-37.8%
-$2,970
42.50-34.0%
-$1,245
45.00-30.1%
-$10,537
47.50-26.2%
-$21,134
50.00-22.3%
-$45,036
52.50-18.4%
-$35,387
55.00-14.5%
-$42,717
57.50-10.7%
-$144,466
60.00-6.8%
-$286,706
62.50-2.9%
-$1.8M
65.001.0%
-$245,768
67.504.9%
+$1.9M
70.008.8%
+$887,224
72.5012.6%
+$1.3M
75.0016.5%
+$368,823
77.5020.4%
+$39,226
80.0024.3%
+$69,131
85.0032.1%
+$6,640
90.0039.8%
+$6,670
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.98ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.38 18 Sep 0d
0.22 16 Oct 28d
0.23 20 Nov 63d
0.22 18 Dec 91d
0.22 15 Jan 119d
0.22 19 Mar 182d
0.22 16 Apr 210d
0.22 17 Jun 272d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

53
55
58
60
63
65
68
70
73
75
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

16 matured ยท 12 directional

Across 12 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 25% of the time.

Directional follow-through25%
Moves contained by pricing44%
Average expiry move3.8%
20 Aug Mixed ยท 35 -4.1% through expiry 3.6% priced ยท v2.0
19 Aug Bullish ยท 34 -4.1% through expiry 2.5% priced ยท v2.0
18 Aug Mixed ยท 31 -4.1% through expiry 2.0% priced ยท v2.0
17 Aug Mixed ยท 35 -4.1% through expiry 2.3% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Bullish ยท 44 -2.2% through expiry 2.8% priced ยท v2.0
13 Aug Bearish ยท 38 -2.2% through expiry 3.1% priced ยท v2.0
12 Aug Mixed ยท 31 -2.2% through expiry 3.3% priced ยท v2.0
11 Aug Bullish ยท 37 -2.2% through expiry 2.9% priced ยท v2.0
10 Aug Bullish ยท 37 -2.2% through expiry 2.6% priced ยท v2.0
7 Aug Bearish ยท 50 -2.2% through expiry 3.4% priced ยท v2.0
6 Aug Bullish ยท 35 -4.7% through expiry 5.3% priced ยท v2.0
5 Aug Bullish ยท 49 -4.7% through expiry 4.3% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
18 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
488 / 488
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

72/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $153,410 of estimated gross traded notional, puts ยท 91+ days ยท otm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+4
1W price-2.2%
Call premium43%
Put premium57%
Notional split C 43% / P 57% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 83/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts ยท 91+ days ยท OTM
Puts ยท 91+ days ยท OTM puts cluster with 232 contracts traded, $37,748 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$37,748
Puts ยท 91+ days ยท ATM puts cluster with 41 contracts traded, $15,170 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$15,170
Calls ยท 22-45 days ยท ATM calls cluster with 145 contracts traded, $13,412 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$13,412
Puts ยท 0-7 days ยท ATM puts cluster with 92 contracts traded, $13,340 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$13,340
Calls ยท 46-90 days ยท ATM calls cluster with 66 contracts traded, $12,828 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$12,828

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

70

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Baseline: 30 completed sessions

Volume rank57th
Volume/OI rank57th
IV rank97th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close64.36
1W-2.2%
RS-5.6
Fair value+20.6%
Options pressure4
Speculation40
Volatility36
Trend fit83

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.3% muted
30d avg 3.4% ยท 14 sessions 14th
90d avg 3.5% ยท 30 sessions 13th
180d avg - ยท 30/60 sessions -
IV 0.38 elevated
30d avg 0.24 ยท 14 sessions 93th
90d avg 0.23 ยท 30 sessions 97th
180d avg - ยท 30/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.04 near normal
30d avg 1.00 ยท 14 sessions 64th
90d avg 1.11 ยท 30 sessions 67th
180d avg - ยท 30/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 near normal
30d avg 0.02 ยท 14 sessions 79th
90d avg 0.02 ยท 30 sessions 57th
180d avg - ยท 30/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
4 Aug 10:03 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 3.8%
5 Aug 10:05 Bullish
Pressure 66
Move 3.9%
6 Aug 10:03 Bullish
Pressure 78
Move 4.3%
7 Aug 10:24 Bullish
Pressure 23
Move 5.3%
10 Aug 10:22 Bearish
Pressure -60
Move 3.4%
11 Aug 10:25 Bullish
Pressure 61
Move 2.6%
11 Aug 13:36 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 2.8%
12 Aug 06:54 Bullish
Pressure 55
Move 2.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike30.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike32.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 3
Strike37.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 1
Strike40.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 32
Strike42.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 25
Strike45.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 89
Strike47.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 172

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts52
Avg IV0.38
Put-call1.73
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.22
Put-call0.54
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.23
Put-call0.07
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.22
Put-call1.04
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts48
Avg IV0.22
Put-call1.50

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.19
Skew-0.04
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.23
Skew0.03
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.22
Skew-0.01
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.20
Put IV0.24
Skew0.04
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.21
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractD261016C00065000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike65.00
Volume145
OI479
IV0.21
ContractD261016C00067500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike67.50
Volume143
OI1125
IV0.20
ContractD261016C00070000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike70.00
Volume102
OI962
IV0.22
ContractD260918P00065000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike65.00
Volume92
OI597
IV0.30
ContractD260918P00062500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike62.50
Volume86
OI3262
IV0.19
ContractD261016P00060000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike60.00
Volume86
OI355
IV0.23
ContractD261016P00057500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike57.50
Volume64
OI176
IV0.27
ContractD261120C00065000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike65.00
Volume59
OI1
IV0.23

Evidence context