Ticker Options Intelligence

TEVA options intelligence

Teva Pharma Industries Ltd ADR options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 11:21 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

TEVA currently carries bullish options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.1%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.09

Call-side skew

Trend fit 4

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.0%

RS 10.2

Expected move 4.1%
Put-call volume 0.09
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 0.49
Max pain 34.00
Underlying 35.36
Nearest expiry 14 Aug 2026
Contracts 660

Research Brief

TEVA has a bullish chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 33.92–36.80; The largest call open-interest concentration is 36.00; the largest put concentration is 32.00. The most active strike by current volume is 38.00.

Priced range33.92–36.80
Call concentration36.00
Put concentration32.00
Max pain reference34.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 14 Aug

Options imply 33.92 to 36.80. Max pain at 34.00 sits inside that range, 3.8% below spot.

Spot Max pain
33.9235.36 ± 1.4436.80
Confirmation level

A close beyond 36.80 or below 33.92 at the 14 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 91/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure91 × 42%
+38.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement4 × 26%
+1.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility51 × 10%
+5.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score53.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 36.00; the largest put concentration is 32.00. The most active strike by current volume is 38.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
20.00-43.4%
86
0
21.00-40.6%
89
12
27.00-23.6%
53
50
31.50-10.9%
5
214
32.00-9.5%
49
205
32.50-8.1%
4
92
33.00-6.7%
33
79
33.50-5.3%
8
117
34.00-3.8%
15
49
34.50-2.4%
80
121
35.00-1.0%
343
58
35.500.4%
150
42
36.001.8%
562
27
36.503.2%
131
10
37.004.6%
209
0
37.506.1%
8
4
38.007.5%
108
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 96% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$18.7MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak37.00+$5.1M
Negative peak27.00-$148,613
Nearest balance34.50Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
30.00-15.2%
+$1.1M
30.50-13.7%
-$145
31.00-12.3%
-$77,465
31.50-10.9%
+$1,869
32.00-9.5%
+$252,924
32.50-8.1%
-$3,019
33.00-6.7%
+$483,988
33.50-5.3%
-$3,975
34.00-3.8%
+$313,473
34.50-2.4%
-$11,495
35.00-1.0%
+$1.8M
35.500.4%
+$75,170
36.001.8%
+$672,047
36.503.2%
+$221,695
37.004.6%
+$5.1M
37.506.1%
+$13,477
38.007.5%
+$515,820
38.508.9%
+$335
39.0010.3%
+$426,135
40.0013.1%
+$1.5M
41.0016.0%
+$5.1M
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.23× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.49 14 Aug 2d
0.41 21 Aug 9d
0.34 28 Aug 16d
0.36 4 Sep 23d
0.33 11 Sep 30d
0.35 18 Sep 37d
0.35 25 Sep 44d
0.40 18 Dec 128d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

29
29
30
31
31
32
33
33
34
34
35
36
36
37
38
38
39
39
40
41
42
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured · 6 directional

Across 6 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 83% of the time.

Directional follow-through83%
Moves contained by pricing83%
Average expiry move3.1%
6 Aug Bullish · 45 1.0% through expiry 2.6% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Bullish · 44 1.0% through expiry 2.9% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Bullish · 50 1.0% through expiry 3.8% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Bullish · 49 1.0% through expiry 3.6% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Bullish · 46 1.0% through expiry 3.8% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Bearish · 59 13.6% through expiry 3.2% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
660 / 660
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

94/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $640,024 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+91
1W price+1.0%
Call premium73%
Put premium27%
Notional split C 73% / P 27% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 4/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 542 contracts traded, $142,284 estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$142,284
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 166 contracts traded, $107,680 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$107,680
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 293 contracts traded, $81,624 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$81,624
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM calls cluster with 11507 contracts traded, $70,937 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$70,937
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 236 contracts traded, $30,566 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$30,566

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

76

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank82th
Volume/OI rank82th
IV rank64th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close35.36
1W+1.0%
RS10.2
Fair value+80.5%
Options pressure91
Speculation41
Volatility51
Trend fit4

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.1% near normal
30d avg 4.6% · 11 sessions 73th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.49 near normal
30d avg 0.52 · 11 sessions 64th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.09 muted
30d avg 0.72 · 11 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 elevated
30d avg 0.03 · 11 sessions 82th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:11 Volatility
Pressure 86
Move 6.6%
30 Jul 10:06 Volatility
Pressure 83
Move 13.7%
31 Jul 10:03 Bearish
Pressure -60
Move 3.2%
1 Aug 13:48 Bullish
Pressure 48
Move 4.5%
2 Aug 16:34 Bearish
Pressure -58
Move 3.8%
2 Aug 23:56 Bullish
Pressure 48
Move 3.8%
4 Aug 10:10 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 3.6%
5 Aug 10:15 Bullish
Pressure 68
Move 3.8%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 86
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike21.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 89
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike22.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike23.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike24.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike26.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike27.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 53
Puts · V 0 · OI 12

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts78
Avg IV0.49
Put-call0.01
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts92
Avg IV0.41
Put-call0.63
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.34
Put-call1.32
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts52
Avg IV0.36
Put-call1.05
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.28

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.35
Put IV0.56
Skew0.21
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.41
Skew0.01
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.42
Put IV0.38
Skew-0.05
4 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.35
Skew-0.01
11 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.33
Put IV0.30
Skew-0.03

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractTEVA260814C00038000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike38.00
Volume11308
OI108
IV0.38
ContractTEVA260918P00033000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike33.00
Volume208
OI584
IV0.32
ContractTEVA261218P00032000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike32.00
Volume178
OI7311
IV0.40
ContractTEVA260814C00037500
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike37.50
Volume164
OI8
IV0.35
ContractTEVA261218C00045000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike45.00
Volume132
OI302
IV0.38
ContractTEVA280121C00045000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike45.00
Volume111
OI3400
IV0.40
ContractTEVA260918C00030000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike30.00
Volume106
OI35664
IV0.60
ContractTEVA261218P00035000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike35.00
Volume101
OI179
IV0.39

Evidence context