Ticker Options Intelligence

CNTY options intelligence

Century Casinos Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 28 Market data through 17 Sep 2026 Checked 18 Sep 2026 11:02 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

CNTY currently carries mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 121.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 121.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 51

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -5.0%

RS -33.2

Expected move 121.3%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 9.70
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 1.15
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 30

Research Brief

CNTY has a mixed chain read with 28/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.00–2.55; The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range0.00–2.55
Call concentration2.50
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 18 Sep

Options imply 0.00 to 2.55. Max pain at 2.50 sits inside that range, 117.4% above spot. The theoretical downside extends below zero, so the displayed lower bound is floored at 0.00.

Spot Max pain
0.001.15 ± 1.402.55
Confirmation level

A close beyond 2.55 or below 0.00 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 28/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 × 42%
+5.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement51 × 26%
+13.1

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score27.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
2.50117.4%
351
0
5.00334.8%
75
0
7.50552.2%
205
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$233Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak2.50+$216
Negative peak-No negative strike
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50117.4%
+$216
5.00334.8%
+$17
7.50552.2%
+$1
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

7.80× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

9.70 18 Sep 1d
2.63 16 Oct 29d
1.93 20 Nov 64d
1.54 18 Dec 92d
1.24 19 Mar 183d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

12 matured · 0 directional

12 stored transitions are available, but none had a directional bullish or bearish label.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move4.6%
19 Aug Volatility · 55 -0.8% through expiry 39.8% priced · v2.0
14 Aug Mixed · 28 -0.8% through expiry 103.5% priced · v2.0
13 Aug Mixed · 27 5.0% through expiry 105.4% priced · v2.0
12 Aug Mixed · 27 5.0% through expiry 109.5% priced · v2.0
10 Aug Volatility · 52 5.0% through expiry 111.6% priced · v2.0
7 Aug Mixed · 27 5.0% through expiry 113.6% priced · v2.0
6 Aug Volatility · 55 5.0% through expiry 48.1% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Volatility · 52 5.0% through expiry 109.5% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Volatility · 56 5.0% through expiry 43.8% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Mixed · 28 5.0% through expiry 126.0% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Mixed · 28 5.0% through expiry 117.8% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Mixed · 27 8.5% through expiry 121.8% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
17 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
30 / 30
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

28/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+12
1W price-5.0%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 51/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

65

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Baseline: 21 completed sessions

Volume rank48th
Volume/OI rank48th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1.15
1W-5.0%
RS-33.2
Fair value-54.6%
Options pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit51

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 121.3% history building
30d avg - · 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 21/60 sessions -
IV 9.70 history building
30d avg - · 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 21/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 21/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:49 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 76.6%
29 Jul 23:16 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 29.2%
31 Jul 10:12 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 121.8%
31 Jul 17:28 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 31.5%
2 Aug 10:19 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 117.8%
4 Aug 10:23 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 126.0%
4 Aug 16:20 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 43.8%
6 Aug 10:20 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 109.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 351
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 75
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 205
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV9.70
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV2.63
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.93
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.54
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.24
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV8.20
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.52
Put IV-
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.02
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Dec 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.84
Put IV-
Skew-
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.60
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCNTY260918C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI351
IV8.20
ContractCNTY261218C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI263
IV0.84
ContractCNTY260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI205
IV10.00
ContractCNTY261218C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI101
IV1.38
ContractCNTY270319C00002500
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI100
IV0.60
ContractCNTY260918C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI75
IV10.00
ContractCNTY260918P00002500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI1
IV10.00
ContractCNTY261218C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI1
IV1.66

Evidence context