Ticker Options Intelligence

QTWO options intelligence

Q2 Holdings options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 35 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 21:31 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

QTWO currently carries bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 7.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.18.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 7.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.18

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.61

Call-side skew

Trend fit 50

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.2%

RS -7.9

Expected move 7.0%
Put-call volume 0.61
Volume / OI 0.18
Reference IV 0.71
Max pain 60.00
Underlying 62.81
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 76

Research Brief

QTWO has a bullish chain read with 35/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 58.38–67.24; The largest call open-interest concentration is 65.00; the largest put concentration is 60.00. The most active strike by current volume is 70.00.

Priced range58.38–67.24
Call concentration65.00
Put concentration60.00
Max pain reference60.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 58.38 to 67.24. Max pain at 60.00 sits inside that range, 4.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
58.3862.81 ± 4.4367.24
Confirmation level

A close beyond 67.24 or below 58.38 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 35/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 24/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure24 × 42%
+10.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation20 × 22%
+4.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement50 × 26%
+13.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility78 × 10%
+7.8

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score35.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 65.00; the largest put concentration is 60.00. The most active strike by current volume is 70.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
3
22.50-64.2%
0
3
25.00-60.2%
8
11
30.00-52.2%
0
93
35.00-44.3%
0
103
40.00-36.3%
0
13
45.00-28.4%
12
122
50.00-20.4%
36
46
55.00-12.4%
38
510
60.00-4.5%
107
5
65.003.5%
113
44
70.0011.4%
85
0
75.0019.4%
23
0
80.0027.4%
8
0
85.0035.3%
0
0
90.0043.3%
0
0
100.0059.2%
22
0
110.0075.1%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Balanced gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 98% coverage

Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.

Net profile-$38,221Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak65.00+$32,553
Negative peak60.00-$100,597
Nearest balance63.78Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
22.50-64.2%
-$57
25.00-60.2%
-$289
30.00-52.2%
-$429
35.00-44.3%
-$1,059
40.00-36.3%
-$2,011
45.00-28.4%
-$970
50.00-20.4%
+$1,659
55.00-12.4%
-$695
60.00-4.5%
-$100,597
65.003.5%
+$32,553
70.0011.4%
+$15,959
75.0019.4%
+$9,948
80.0027.4%
+$2,347
85.0035.3%
+$436
90.0043.3%
+$4,155
95.0051.2%
+$35
100.0059.2%
+$768
105.0067.2%
+$27
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.18× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.71 21 Aug 9d
0.61 18 Sep 37d
0.47 20 Nov 100d
0.56 19 Feb 191d
0.61 17 Dec 492d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

55
60
65
70
75
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A96/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
76 / 76
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

64/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $229,803 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+24
1W price+3.2%
Call premium65%
Put premium35%
Notional split C 65% / P 35% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.18 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 50/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 117 contracts traded, $67,215 estimated gross traded notional, and 29% of visible notional.
$67,215
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 32 contracts traded, $46,670 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$46,670
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 47 contracts traded, $39,685 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional.
$39,685
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 43 contracts traded, $33,540 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$33,540
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 11 contracts traded, $16,440 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$16,440

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

83

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Baseline: 10 completed sessions

Volume rank90th
Volume/OI rank90th
IV rank70th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close62.81
1W+3.2%
RS-7.9
Fair value-3.1%
Options pressure24
Speculation20
Volatility78
Trend fit50

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 7.0% muted
30d avg 11.3% · 10 sessions 10th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
IV 0.71 near normal
30d avg 0.61 · 10 sessions 70th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.61 near normal
30d avg 15.89 · 10 sessions 50th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.18 elevated
30d avg 0.11 · 10 sessions 90th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:55 Bullish
Pressure 28
Move 17.2%
30 Jul 10:45 Volatility
Pressure -32
Move 16.4%
31 Jul 11:07 Volatility
Pressure -95
Move 15.0%
1 Aug 13:22 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 14.3%
2 Aug 20:01 Bullish
Pressure 50
Move 9.8%
3 Aug 16:42 Bullish
Pressure 63
Move 10.6%
3 Aug 23:54 Bullish
Pressure 61
Move 10.5%
5 Aug 10:07 Volatility
Pressure 57
Move 10.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike25.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 8
Puts · V 1 · OI 3
Strike30.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 11
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 93
Strike40.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 103
Strike45.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 12
Puts · V 1 · OI 13
Strike50.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 36
Puts · V 1 · OI 122
Strike55.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 38
Puts · V 3 · OI 46

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.71
Put-call1.17
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV0.61
Put-call0.37
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts21
Avg IV0.47
Put-call4.62
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts13
Avg IV0.56
Put-call0.04
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV0.61
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.58
Put IV0.57
Skew-0.01
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.58
Skew0.06
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.02
Skew-0.52
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.54
Skew-0.02
17 Dec 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.60
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractQTWO271217C00080000
SideCall
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI28
IV0.60
ContractQTWO261120P00075000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI18
IV0.53
ContractQTWO271217C00085000
SideCall
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Strike85.00
Volume-
OI9
IV0.60
ContractQTWO271217C00075000
SideCall
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI9
IV0.61
ContractQTWO271217C00070000
SideCall
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI7
IV0.60
ContractQTWO260821P00022500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI3
IV4.31
ContractQTWO260821C00105000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike105.00
Volume-
OI1
IV2.02
ContractQTWO260821C00095000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike95.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.71

Evidence context