Ticker Options Intelligence

ABVC options intelligence

ABVC Biopharma Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 27 Market data through 18 Sep 2026 Checked 20 Sep 2026 09:39 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

ABVC currently carries mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 72.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 72.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 47

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +18.4%

RS -40.6

Expected move 72.0%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 2.60
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 1.16
Nearest expiry 16 Oct 2026
Contracts 24

Research Brief

ABVC has a mixed chain read with 27/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.3246โ€“2.00; The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range0.3246โ€“2.00
Call concentration2.50
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 16 Oct

Options imply 0.3246 to 2.00. Max pain at 2.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
0.321.16 ยฑ 0.842.00
Confirmation level

A close beyond 2.00 or below 0.3246 at the 16 Oct expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 27/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 ร— 42%
+5.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 ร— 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement47 ร— 26%
+12.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 ร— 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score26.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50115.5%
0
0
5.00331.0%
0
0
7.50546.6%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 100% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$0Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak2.50+$0
Negative peak-No negative strike
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50115.5%
+$0
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.97ร— front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

2.60 16 Oct 28d
1.79 20 Nov 63d
1.22 19 Feb 154d
2.68 21 May 245d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

21 matured ยท 0 directional

21 stored transitions are available, but none had a directional bullish or bearish label.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing95%
Average expiry move19.5%
17 Sep Mixed ยท 26 18.4% through expiry 42.0% priced ยท v2.0
16 Sep Volatility ยท 54 18.4% through expiry 23.6% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep Mixed ยท 24 18.4% through expiry 70.6% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep Mixed ยท 24 20.8% through expiry 70.3% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Mixed ยท 24 20.8% through expiry 77.8% priced ยท v2.0
4 Sep Mixed ยท 23 39.8% through expiry 51.2% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Volatility ยท 53 39.8% through expiry 31.7% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Mixed ยท 23 39.8% through expiry 40.7% priced ยท v2.0
28 Aug Mixed ยท 23 39.8% through expiry 40.6% priced ยท v2.0
21 Aug Mixed ยท 31 30.4% through expiry 38.9% priced ยท v2.0
20 Aug Mixed ยท 24 -1.1% through expiry 26.2% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Mixed ยท 24 -1.1% through expiry 38.6% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
18 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
24 / 24
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

27/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+12
1W price+18.4%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 47/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

39

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 23 completed sessions

Volume rank52th
Volume/OI rank35th
IV rank30th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1.16
1W+18.4%
RS-40.6
Fair value-15.5%
Options pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit47

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 72.0% elevated
30d avg 46.7% ยท 11 sessions 91th
90d avg - ยท 23/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 23/60 sessions -
IV 2.60 near normal
30d avg 3.78 ยท 11 sessions 36th
90d avg - ยท 23/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 23/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - ยท 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - ยท 5/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 17/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 17/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:49 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 68.0%
30 Jul 11:26 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 224.3%
30 Jul 14:53 Volatility
Pressure -70
Move 368.3%
30 Jul 15:35 Volatility
Pressure -70
Move 368.3%
3 Aug 08:25 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 61.9%
3 Aug 14:14 Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 409.9%
3 Aug 20:48 Volatility
Pressure -62
Move 350.5%
5 Aug 11:35 Volatility
Pressure -94
Move 267.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV2.60
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.79
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.22
Put-call-
Expiry21 May 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV2.68
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.53
Put IV-
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.02
Put IV-
Skew-
19 Feb 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.64
Put IV-
Skew-
21 May 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.50
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractABVC270219C00002500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI1
IV0.64
ContractABVC261016P00002500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.01
ContractABVC261016C00005000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI-
IV2.49
ContractABVC261016P00005000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI-
IV4.20
ContractABVC261016C00007500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI-
IV3.01
ContractABVC261016P00007500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI-
IV4.36
ContractABVC261120C00002500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV1.02
ContractABVC261120P00002500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI-
IV0.01

Evidence context