Ticker Options Intelligence

ALGN options intelligence

Align Technology Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 38 Market data through 12 Aug 2026 Checked 13 Aug 2026 11:05 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ALGN currently carries bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 3.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 3.4%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.25

Call-side skew

Trend fit 13

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +2.7%

RS -5.9

Expected move 3.4%
Put-call volume 0.25
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.42
Max pain 172.50
Underlying 173.66
Nearest expiry 14 Aug 2026
Contracts 1020

Research Brief

ALGN has a bullish chain read with 38/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 167.81–179.51; The largest call open-interest concentration is 177.50; the largest put concentration is 152.50. The most active strike by current volume is 180.00.

Priced range167.81–179.51
Call concentration177.50
Put concentration152.50
Max pain reference172.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 14 Aug

Options imply 167.81 to 179.51. Max pain at 172.50 sits inside that range, 0.7% below spot.

Spot Max pain
167.81173.66 ± 5.85179.51
Confirmation level

A close beyond 179.51 or below 167.81 at the 14 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 38/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 62/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure62 × 42%
+26.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation20 × 22%
+4.5

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement13 × 26%
+3.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility43 × 10%
+4.3

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score38.1Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 177.50; the largest put concentration is 152.50. The most active strike by current volume is 180.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
21
150.00-13.6%
0
106
152.50-12.2%
0
41
155.00-10.7%
0
37
157.50-9.3%
0
62
160.00-7.9%
0
22
165.00-5.0%
0
34
167.50-3.5%
2
37
170.00-2.1%
11
19
172.50-0.7%
30
11
175.000.8%
62
4
177.502.2%
101
20
180.003.7%
88
0
182.505.1%
13
3
185.006.5%
98
0
187.508.0%
13
0
195.0012.3%
40
0
200.0015.2%
31
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported + model-estimated Greeks · 98% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$1.2MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak220.00+$488,583
Negative peak170.00-$276,493
Nearest balance172.08Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
150.00-13.6%
+$74,742
152.50-12.2%
-$3,974
155.00-10.7%
-$54,834
157.50-9.3%
-$4,984
160.00-7.9%
-$83,617
162.50-6.4%
-$3,817
165.00-5.0%
-$188,128
167.50-3.5%
-$76,651
170.00-2.1%
-$276,493
172.50-0.7%
+$56,373
175.000.8%
+$232,483
177.502.2%
+$58,690
180.003.7%
+$188,703
182.505.1%
+$157,999
185.006.5%
+$143,129
187.508.0%
+$3,510
190.009.4%
+$286,360
192.5010.8%
+$7,378
195.0012.3%
+$14,595
197.5013.7%
+$128
200.0015.2%
+$136,719
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.90× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.42 14 Aug 2d
0.33 21 Aug 9d
0.38 28 Aug 16d
0.36 4 Sep 23d
0.36 11 Sep 30d
0.39 18 Sep 37d
0.38 25 Sep 44d
0.38 16 Oct 65d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

139
141
142
144
146
147
149
153
155
160
163
168
173
175
180
185
188
193
198
200
205
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

6 matured · 4 directional

Across 4 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 50% of the time.

Directional follow-through50%
Moves contained by pricing83%
Average expiry move2.4%
6 Aug Bullish · 37 2.7% through expiry 2.0% priced · v2.0
5 Aug Mixed · 34 2.7% through expiry 3.9% priced · v2.0
4 Aug Bearish · 49 2.7% through expiry 3.5% priced · v2.0
3 Aug Bullish · 46 2.7% through expiry 4.4% priced · v2.0
31 Jul Bearish · 50 2.7% through expiry 4.3% priced · v2.0
30 Jul Volatility · 50 1.3% through expiry 4.8% priced · v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
12 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1020 / 1020
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Short-dated OTM call concentration

71/100
Primary intent Short-dated OTM call concentration

Call activity is concentrated in upside and shorter-dated contracts; trade direction remains unconfirmed without aggressor data.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Short-dated OTM call concentration matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $229,470 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+62
1W price+2.7%
Call premium92%
Put premium8%
Notional split C 92% / P 8% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 13/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 50 contracts traded, $85,850 estimated gross traded notional, and 37% of visible notional.
$85,850
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 8 contracts traded, $41,830 estimated gross traded notional, and 18% of visible notional.
$41,830
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 16 contracts traded, $21,030 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$21,030
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $18,010 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$18,010
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $10,950 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$10,950

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Quiet tape

15

Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 11 completed sessions

Volume rank9th
Volume/OI rank9th
IV rank27th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close173.66
1W+2.7%
RS-5.9
Fair value-18.3%
Options pressure62
Speculation20
Volatility43
Trend fit13

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 3.4% muted
30d avg 5.6% · 11 sessions 9th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
IV 0.42 near normal
30d avg 0.73 · 11 sessions 27th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.25 muted
30d avg 1.26 · 11 sessions 18th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 muted
30d avg 0.06 · 11 sessions 9th
90d avg - · 11/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 11/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:25 Volatility
Pressure -21
Move 12.3%
30 Jul 10:21 Volatility
Pressure 16
Move 13.3%
31 Jul 10:11 Volatility
Pressure -50
Move 4.8%
2 Aug 18:29 Bearish
Pressure -27
Move 4.3%
4 Aug 10:06 Bullish
Pressure 74
Move 4.4%
5 Aug 10:14 Bearish
Pressure -23
Move 3.5%
6 Aug 10:13 Mixed
Pressure -2
Move 3.9%
7 Aug 11:18 Bullish
Pressure 43
Move 2.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 1
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike115.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike120.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike123.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike124.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts130
Avg IV0.42
Put-call0.04
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts90
Avg IV0.33
Put-call0.52
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts82
Avg IV0.38
Put-call-
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-
Expiry11 Sep 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV0.36
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.39
Put IV0.48
Skew0.10
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.72
Put IV0.39
Skew-0.33
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.55
Put IV0.57
Skew0.02
4 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.43
Put IV0.38
Skew-0.06
11 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.50
Skew0.13

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractALGN260814C00180000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike180.00
Volume61
OI88
IV0.39
ContractALGN260821P00170000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike170.00
Volume40
OI95
IV0.30
ContractALGN260814C00175000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike175.00
Volume32
OI62
IV0.36
ContractALGN260821C00182500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike182.50
Volume22
OI178
IV0.36
ContractALGN260828C00160000
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike160.00
Volume15
OI22
IV0.37
ContractALGN260828C00155000
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike155.00
Volume15
OI-
IV0.42
ContractALGN260821C00175000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike175.00
Volume12
OI23
IV0.37
ContractALGN260821C00155000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike155.00
Volume10
OI-
IV0.01

Evidence context