Ticker Options Intelligence

RCON options intelligence

Recon Technology Ltd options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 47 Market data through 11 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 14:21 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

RCON currently carries volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6338.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 6338.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -91.9%

RS -97.5

Expected move 6338.0%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 5.01
Max pain 7.50
Underlying 0.04
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 24

Research Brief

RCON has a volatility chain read with 47/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.00–2.29; The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range0.00–2.29
Call concentration2.50
Put concentration7.50
Max pain reference7.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 0.00 to 2.29. Max pain at 7.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor. The theoretical downside extends below zero, so the displayed lower bound is floored at 0.00.

Spot Max pain
0.000.04 ± 2.252.29
Confirmation level

A close beyond 2.29 or below 0.00 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 47/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 88/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure88 × 42%
+37.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation2 × 22%
+0.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score46.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 7.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
14
2.506942.3%
37
28
5.0013984.5%
1
51
7.5021026.8%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 60% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$0Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak2.50+$0
Negative peak7.50-$0
Nearest balance4.96Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.506942.3%
+$0
5.0013984.5%
-$0
7.5021026.8%
-$0
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.69× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

5.01 21 Aug 10d
4.66 18 Sep 38d
8.20 16 Oct 66d
7.28 15 Jan 157d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
11 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
24 / 24
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

92/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $25 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+88
1W price-91.9%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $20 estimated gross traded notional, and 80% of visible notional.
$20
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $5 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$5

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

50

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 10 completed sessions

Volume rank50th
Volume/OI rank30th
IV rank70th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close0.04
1W-91.9%
RS-97.5
Fair value-98.5%
Options pressure88
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6338.0% elevated
30d avg 1157.7% · 10 sessions 90th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
IV 5.00 near normal
30d avg 4.22 · 10 sessions 70th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 near normal
30d avg 0.42 · 10 sessions 30th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:48 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 440.6%
30 Jul 11:25 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 446.0%
30 Jul 14:52 Volatility
Pressure -68
Move 461.9%
30 Jul 15:31 Volatility
Pressure -68
Move 461.9%
31 Jul 02:41 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 461.9%
2 Aug 08:45 Bullish
Pressure 36
Move 496.2%
4 Aug 10:22 Bearish
Pressure -26
Move 496.2%
5 Aug 10:53 Volatility
Pressure -93
Move 496.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 37
Puts · V 0 · OI 14
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 28
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 51

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV5.01
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV4.66
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV8.20
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV7.28
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV10.00
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV9.75
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV7.40
Put IV-
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV4.80
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractRCON270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume4
OI25
IV4.30
ContractRCON261016C00002500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume1
OI11
IV6.64
ContractRCON260821P00007500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI51
IV0.01
ContractRCON260821C00002500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI37
IV10.00
ContractRCON260918P00007500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI32
IV0.01
ContractRCON260821P00005000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI28
IV0.01
ContractRCON260918P00005000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI19
IV0.01
ContractRCON260821P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI14
IV0.01

Evidence context