Ticker Options Intelligence

CBUS options intelligence

Cibus Global LLC options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 29 Market data through 16 Sep 2026 Checked 17 Sep 2026 13:23 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

CBUS currently carries mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 66.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 66.9%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 57

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +2.5%

RS -18.8

Expected move 66.9%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 4.23
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 1.57
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 24

Research Brief

CBUS has a mixed chain read with 29/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.52โ€“2.62; The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range0.52โ€“2.62
Call concentration2.50
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 0.52 to 2.62. Max pain at 2.50 sits inside that range, 59.2% above spot.

Spot Max pain
0.521.57 ยฑ 1.052.62
Confirmation level

A close beyond 2.62 or below 0.52 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 29/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 ร— 42%
+5.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 ร— 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement57 ร— 26%
+14.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 ร— 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score29.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
20
2.5059.2%
243
6
5.00218.5%
17
0
7.50377.7%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 89% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$1,535Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak2.50+$1,530
Negative peak-No negative strike
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.5059.2%
+$1,530
5.00218.5%
+$5
7.50377.7%
+$0
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

3.66ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

4.23 18 Sep 2d
1.11 16 Oct 30d
1.23 18 Dec 93d
1.16 19 Mar 184d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

21 matured ยท 1 directional

Across 1 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 0% of the time.

Directional follow-through0%
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move5.3%
16 Sep Mixed ยท 29 2.5% through expiry 66.9% priced ยท v2.0
14 Sep Volatility ยท 52 2.5% through expiry 66.9% priced ยท v2.0
10 Sep Volatility ยท 52 1.3% through expiry 59.7% priced ยท v2.0
8 Sep Mixed ยท 29 1.3% through expiry 58.2% priced ยท v2.0
3 Sep Volatility ยท 52 -2.4% through expiry 59.1% priced ยท v2.0
1 Sep Volatility ยท 52 -2.4% through expiry 59.1% priced ยท v2.0
27 Aug Volatility ยท 53 -5.3% through expiry 51.5% priced ยท v2.0
26 Aug Volatility ยท 53 -5.3% through expiry 50.0% priced ยท v2.0
24 Aug Volatility ยท 52 -5.3% through expiry 48.5% priced ยท v2.0
19 Aug Volatility ยท 55 -4.0% through expiry 49.4% priced ยท v2.0
18 Aug Volatility ยท 54 -4.0% through expiry 49.4% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Volatility ยท 52 -4.0% through expiry 148.3% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
16 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
24 / 24
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

29/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+12
1W price+2.5%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 57/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

33

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 22 completed sessions

Volume rank5th
Volume/OI rank5th
IV rank91th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1.61
1W+2.5%
RS-18.8
Fair value-73.8%
Options pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit57

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 66.9% elevated
30d avg 55.2% ยท 10 sessions 100th
90d avg - ยท 22/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 22/60 sessions -
IV 4.23 elevated
30d avg 2.31 ยท 10 sessions 90th
90d avg - ยท 22/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 22/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - ยท 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 21/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 muted
30d avg 0.12 ยท 10 sessions 10th
90d avg - ยท 22/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 22/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:45 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 55.9%
30 Jul 11:23 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 54.1%
31 Jul 10:54 Bearish
Pressure -19
Move 44.1%
2 Aug 06:18 Volatility
Pressure 68
Move 38.9%
2 Aug 21:49 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 52.4%
4 Aug 10:45 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 53.9%
5 Aug 11:14 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 51.8%
6 Aug 11:21 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 53.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 243
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 20
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 17
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 6
Strike7.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV4.23
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.11
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV1.23
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.16
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV3.98
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.02
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Dec 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.57
Put IV-
Skew-
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.80
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCBUS270319C00002500
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI1379
IV1.61
ContractCBUS261218C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI929
IV0.57
ContractCBUS260918C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI243
IV3.98
ContractCBUS260918P00002500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI20
IV4.01
ContractCBUS260918C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI17
IV7.72
ContractCBUS261218C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI7
IV1.13
ContractCBUS260918P00005000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.01
ContractCBUS261016P00002500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI5
IV1.15

Evidence context