Ticker Options Intelligence

VIST options intelligence

Vista Oil Gas ADR options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 18 Aug 2026 Checked 19 Aug 2026 14:01 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

VIST currently carries bullish options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.10.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.6%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.10

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.11

Call-side skew

Trend fit 7

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +3.6%

RS 8.4

Expected move 4.6%
Put-call volume 0.11
Volume / OI 0.10
Reference IV 0.70
Max pain 55.00
Underlying 68.31
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 202

Research Brief

VIST has a bullish chain read with 54/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 65.18–71.44; The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 55.00. The most active strike by current volume is 80.00.

Priced range65.18–71.44
Call concentration70.00
Put concentration55.00
Max pain reference55.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 65.18 to 71.44. Max pain at 55.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
65.1868.31 ± 3.1371.44
Confirmation level

A close beyond 71.44 or below 65.18 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 54/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 87/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure87 × 42%
+36.6

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation42 × 22%
+9.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement7 × 26%
+1.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility67 × 10%
+6.7

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score54.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 70.00; the largest put concentration is 55.00. The most active strike by current volume is 80.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
76
22.50-67.1%
2
11
25.00-63.4%
2
541
30.00-56.1%
14
417
35.00-48.8%
44
340
40.00-41.4%
82
208
45.00-34.1%
51
487
50.00-26.8%
281
955
55.00-19.5%
1184
476
60.00-12.2%
131
185
65.00-4.8%
284
63
70.002.5%
2090
17
75.009.8%
1014
0
80.0017.1%
1392
0
85.0024.4%
585
0
90.0031.8%
66
0
95.0039.1%
24
0
100.0046.4%
23
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 98% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$1.9MDelta change / 1% move
Positive peak70.00+$848,092
Negative peak45.00-$21,288
Nearest balance49.28Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
20.00-70.7%
+$23
22.50-67.1%
-$38
25.00-63.4%
+$3
30.00-56.1%
-$462
35.00-48.8%
+$579
40.00-41.4%
+$1,453
45.00-34.1%
-$21,288
50.00-26.8%
+$3,565
55.00-19.5%
+$82,066
60.00-12.2%
+$47,061
65.00-4.8%
+$7,041
70.002.5%
+$848,092
75.009.8%
+$178,881
80.0017.1%
+$628,610
85.0024.4%
+$37,372
90.0031.8%
+$68,939
95.0039.1%
+$8,641
100.0046.4%
+$1,981
105.0053.7%
+$1,196
110.0061.0%
+$1,046
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.54× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.70 21 Aug 3d
0.46 18 Sep 31d
0.49 20 Nov 94d
0.47 18 Dec 122d
0.47 15 Jan 150d
0.45 19 Mar 213d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

55
60
65
70
75
80
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
18 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
202 / 202
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

70/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $993,510 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · otm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+87
1W price+3.6%
Call premium94%
Put premium6%
Notional split C 94% / P 6% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.10 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 7/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · OTM
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1562 contracts traded, $506,640 estimated gross traded notional, and 51% of visible notional.
$506,640
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 126 contracts traded, $241,230 estimated gross traded notional, and 24% of visible notional.
$241,230
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 30 contracts traded, $92,495 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$92,495
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 66 contracts traded, $61,880 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$61,880
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 145 contracts traded, $19,220 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$19,220

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

100

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Baseline: 12 completed sessions

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close68.31
1W+3.6%
RS8.4
Fair value+43.8%
Options pressure87
Speculation42
Volatility67
Trend fit7

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.6% muted
30d avg 8.6% · 12 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 12/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 12/60 sessions -
IV 0.70 elevated
30d avg 0.46 · 12 sessions 100th
90d avg - · 12/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 12/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.11 muted
30d avg 3.23 · 12 sessions 17th
90d avg - · 12/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 12/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.10 elevated
30d avg 0.01 · 12 sessions 100th
90d avg - · 12/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 12/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:30 Mixed
Pressure -12
Move 11.5%
30 Jul 10:25 Bearish
Pressure -37
Move 9.7%
31 Jul 05:08 Volatility
Pressure 76
Move 10.1%
1 Aug 13:59 Volatility
Pressure 60
Move 9.4%
2 Aug 10:47 Bullish
Pressure 60
Move 9.3%
4 Aug 12:48 Bullish
Pressure 90
Move 9.4%
5 Aug 11:32 Mixed
Pressure -1
Move 10.4%
6 Aug 11:37 Bearish
Pressure -51
Move 9.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 5
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 76
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike30.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 14
Puts · V 0 · OI 541
Strike35.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 44
Puts · V 0 · OI 417
Strike40.00
Calls · V 20 · OI 82
Puts · V 0 · OI 340
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 51
Puts · V 0 · OI 208
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 281
Puts · V 0 · OI 487

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.70
Put-call0.06
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.46
Put-call0.48
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.49
Put-call0.52
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.47
Put-call0.00
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts32
Avg IV0.47
Put-call1.52

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.60
Skew0.24
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.42
Skew-0.04
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.52
Skew0.06
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.44
Skew-0.04
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.44
Skew-0.04

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVIST261218C00085000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike85.00
Volume1388
OI172
IV0.47
ContractVIST260821C00080000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume501
OI1392
IV0.62
ContractVIST270115P00045000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike45.00
Volume95
OI491
IV0.49
ContractVIST270319C00055000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike55.00
Volume72
OI108
IV0.48
ContractVIST261120C00080000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike80.00
Volume59
OI3771
IV0.49
ContractVIST260918C00080000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike80.00
Volume56
OI1667
IV0.45
ContractVIST260918P00070000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume40
OI61
IV0.48
ContractVIST260918C00070000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume36
OI323
IV0.47

Evidence context