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Ticker Options Intelligence
Once Upon a Farm, PBC options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
The reading · 2026-09-24
Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend. Stock context: 2026-09-18.
Changed from bullish to bearish pressure.
Compared with 23 Sep 2026.Unavailable through 2026-10-16
Near-money quotes are missing, one-sided or too widely spread to publish a reliable range.
This describes the size of a priced move, not its direction or a guaranteed trading range.Put-side pressure
Near-term move context
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-side skew
Options are not fully confirming trend
Sharemaestro weekly context
The outcome record
Stock-price direction through expiry, using the first available weekly close on or just after expiry. These are not option-trade returns.
New readings are saved before their outcomes. A calculation change starts a separate record.
0 / 0Non-overlapping directional readings followed through.
0 waiting for an outcome · 2 excluded by data or timing checks.
Too few independent outcomes to establish an edge.Non-overlapping directional readings followed through. 3 overlapping readings left out.
Always-up baseline: 0% · Always-down: 100%.
95% interval: 9–91%.
This is a retrospective audit of saved versions, separate from the record collected in advance.
The baselines use the same stocks and observation windows. They ask whether a simple up or down call did as well.
Removing overlapping windows reduces repeated counting. It does not make market observations fully independent.
The interval shows sampling uncertainty. Costs, execution and option selection are not tested here.
Priced Move
Near-money quotes are missing, one-sided or too widely spread to publish a reliable range.
Score Construction
Pressure is 94/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Gamma Profile by Strike
Call- and put-side gamma sensitivity is broadly balanced across the retained chain. Individual strike concentrations may still matter more than the chain-wide net.
Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.
Volatility Curve
Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.
Volatility by Strike
Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.
Historical Replay
Across 5 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 40% of the time.
Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.
Put-side pressure is building while price is rising, a cautionary divergence.
Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1,070 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a bearish flow against rising price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Setup Classification
Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.
Activity Anomaly
Activity is muted versus this ticker's stored history.
Baseline: 23 completed sessions
Market Context
Today Versus Normal
Pressure Trail
Strike Map
Term Structure
Skew
Contract Tape
Research Graph
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
No recent market-watch posts yet.
Plain English Guide
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.
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