Ticker Options Intelligence

CTXR options intelligence

Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 27 Market data through 17 Sep 2026 Checked 18 Sep 2026 13:48 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

CTXR currently carries mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 342.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 342.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 48

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -1.1%

RS -40.0

Expected move 342.5%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 6.67
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 0.58
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 30

Research Brief

CTXR has a mixed chain read with 27/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.00โ€“2.57; The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range0.00โ€“2.57
Call concentration2.50
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 0.00 to 2.57. Max pain at 2.50 sits inside that range, 330.3% above spot. The theoretical downside extends below zero, so the displayed lower bound is floored at 0.00.

Spot Max pain
0.000.58 ยฑ 1.992.57
Confirmation level

A close beyond 2.57 or below 0.00 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 27/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 ร— 42%
+5.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 ร— 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement48 ร— 26%
+12.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 ร— 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score27.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
5
2.50330.3%
39
0
5.00760.6%
6
0
7.501190.9%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 89% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$100Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak2.50+$99
Negative peak-No negative strike
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50330.3%
+$99
5.00760.6%
+$0
7.501190.9%
+$0
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

3.90ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

6.67 18 Sep 1d
2.91 16 Oct 29d
2.18 20 Nov 64d
1.81 19 Feb 155d
1.71 21 May 246d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

13 matured ยท 3 directional

Across 3 stored directional transitions, the next stored price moved in the labelled direction 0% of the time.

Directional follow-through0%
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move11.7%
19 Aug Bullish ยท 44 -20.6% through expiry 41.7% priced ยท v2.0
18 Aug Bullish ยท 33 -20.6% through expiry 82.7% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Volatility ยท 52 -20.6% through expiry 32.5% priced ยท v2.0
13 Aug Bullish ยท 31 -12.0% through expiry 19.6% priced ยท v2.0
12 Aug Volatility ยท 60 -12.0% through expiry 38.6% priced ยท v2.0
10 Aug Volatility ยท 52 -12.0% through expiry 37.9% priced ยท v2.0
7 Aug Volatility ยท 52 -12.0% through expiry 44.1% priced ยท v2.0
6 Aug Volatility ยท 55 5.3% through expiry 121.1% priced ยท v2.0
5 Aug Volatility ยท 60 5.3% through expiry 56.2% priced ยท v2.0
4 Aug Volatility ยท 52 5.3% through expiry 49.3% priced ยท v2.0
3 Aug Volatility ยท 53 5.3% through expiry 45.6% priced ยท v2.0
31 Jul Volatility ยท 53 5.3% through expiry 46.7% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
17 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
30 / 30
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

27/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+12
1W price-1.1%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 48/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Normal range

44

Activity is broadly in line with recent stored snapshots.

Baseline: 25 completed sessions

Volume rank20th
Volume/OI rank20th
IV rank92th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close0.581
1W-1.1%
RS-40.0
Fair value-92.1%
Options pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit48

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 342.5% elevated
30d avg 282.8% ยท 12 sessions 92th
90d avg - ยท 25/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 25/60 sessions -
IV 6.67 elevated
30d avg 4.95 ยท 12 sessions 83th
90d avg - ยท 25/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 25/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 20/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 20/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 near normal
30d avg 0.03 ยท 12 sessions 33th
90d avg - ยท 25/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 25/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
30 Jul 01:44 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 72.1%
30 Jul 15:06 Volatility
Pressure 84
Move 103.8%
30 Jul 15:40 Volatility
Pressure 87
Move 103.8%
30 Jul 20:45 Volatility
Pressure 97
Move 105.7%
31 Jul 12:59 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 77.7%
31 Jul 19:35 Volatility
Pressure 85
Move 100.9%
2 Aug 11:46 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 46.7%
4 Aug 10:30 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 45.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 39
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 5
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 6
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 2
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV6.67
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV2.91
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV2.18
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.81
Put-call-
Expiry21 May 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.71
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV10.00
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV2.72
Put IV-
Skew-
20 Nov 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV1.83
Put IV-
Skew-
19 Feb 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV1.17
Put IV-
Skew-
21 May 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.92
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractCTXR270219C00002500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI529
IV1.17
ContractCTXR261120C00002500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI487
IV1.83
ContractCTXR260918C00002500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI39
IV10.00
ContractCTXR261120P00002500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI8
IV0.01
ContractCTXR260918C00005000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI6
IV10.00
ContractCTXR260918P00002500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI5
IV10.00
ContractCTXR260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI2
IV10.00
ContractCTXR270219C00007500
SideCall
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI2
IV1.76

Evidence context