Ticker Options Intelligence

MOB options intelligence

Mobilicom Limited American Depositary Shares options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 49 Market data through 11 Aug 2026 Checked 12 Aug 2026 13:06 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

MOB currently carries volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 31.8%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 31.8%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 5.00

Put-side skew

Trend fit 51

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +22.9%

Sharemaestro weekly context

Expected move 31.8%
Put-call volume 5.00
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 1.92
Max pain 5.00
Underlying 5.91
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 40

Research Brief

MOB has a volatility chain read with 49/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 4.03–7.79; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50.

Priced range4.03–7.79
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration5.00
Max pain reference5.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 4.03 to 7.79. Max pain at 5.00 sits inside that range, 15.4% below spot.

Spot Max pain
4.035.91 ± 1.887.79
Confirmation level

A close beyond 7.79 or below 4.03 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 49/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 57/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure57 × 42%
+24.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement51 × 26%
+13.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score48.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 5.00. The most active strike by current volume is 7.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
10
2.50-57.7%
0
123
5.00-15.4%
41
0
7.5026.9%
1
0
10.0069.2%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks · 95% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$2,915Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak7.50+$2,071
Negative peak2.50-$5
Nearest balance2.52Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
2.50-57.7%
-$5
5.00-15.4%
+$579
7.5026.9%
+$2,071
10.0069.2%
+$266
12.50111.5%
+$4
15.00153.8%
+$1
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.92× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.92 21 Aug 10d
1.06 18 Sep 38d
0.84 16 Oct 66d
1.00 15 Jan 157d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

5
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
11 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
40 / 40
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $215 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 22-45 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-57
1W price+22.9%
Call premium7%
Put premium93%
Notional split C 7% / P 93% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 51/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 1 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 22-45 days · OTM
Puts · 22-45 days · OTM puts cluster with 5 contracts traded, $200 estimated gross traded notional, and 93% of visible notional.
$200
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $15 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$15

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

9 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 9 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close5.91
1W+22.9%
RS-
Fair value+0.2%
Options pressure-57
Speculation8
Volatility96
Trend fit51

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 31.8% history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
IV 1.92 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Put-call 5.00 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:46 Mixed
Pressure 9
Move 24.6%
30 Jul 11:24 Volatility
Pressure 81
Move 27.3%
31 Jul 10:55 Mixed
Pressure 9
Move 26.2%
31 Jul 18:01 Volatility
Pressure 86
Move 24.6%
31 Jul 19:13 Volatility
Pressure 86
Move 24.6%
31 Jul 21:14 Volatility
Pressure 84
Move 24.6%
1 Aug 00:01 Volatility
Pressure 84
Move 24.6%
4 Aug 10:13 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 33.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 41
Puts · V 0 · OI 123
Strike7.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV1.92
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts8
Avg IV1.06
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV0.84
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts12
Avg IV1.00
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.80
Put IV0.57
Skew-0.22
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.78
Put IV1.09
Skew-0.69
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.31
Put IV1.55
Skew1.24
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.97
Put IV1.23
Skew0.26

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMOB260918P00005000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike5.00
Volume5
OI29
IV1.09
ContractMOB260821C00007500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume1
OI1
IV0.80
ContractMOB270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI429
IV1.05
ContractMOB261016C00007500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI264
IV0.31
ContractMOB260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI254
IV1.78
ContractMOB260821P00005000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI123
IV0.57
ContractMOB261016P00005000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI69
IV1.55
ContractMOB270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI66
IV0.97

Evidence context