MOB NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mobilicom Limited American Depositary Shares · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 5.91 USD
22.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.9%, after a 14.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 1d.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 5.91 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 22.9% latest completed week
4W Return 14.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 35 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 22.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 14.8%. Indicator stack 0/43 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 31.8%. News sentiment 54/100 19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 1d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.9%, after a 14.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1212-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.8% over four weeks, 7.3% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W22.9%
4W14.8%
12W7.3%
26W-8.4%
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-4.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 58%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value50/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Quality48/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Momentum50/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Growth50/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
13.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-9.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
55.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-557.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-89.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-9.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-13.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-13.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MOB shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 5.00, expected move of 31.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move31.8%
Put/call volume5.00
Pressure-57
Speculation8
Volatility96
Trend agreement51
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

4 positive · 12 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings1dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move31.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-18.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+22.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol12.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.3% / -8.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis11/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 54 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options49/100

MOB shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 5.00, expected move of 31.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 31.8% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

Mobilicom Ltd (MOB) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings1d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20265.91 USD22.9%5.73 USD5.90 USD-0.38-593.3KOff
31 Jul 20264.81 USD3.0%5.79 USD5.90 USD-0.46-362.6KOff
24 Jul 20264.67 USD-9.1%5.86 USD5.93 USD-0.44-340.6KOff
17 Jul 20265.14 USD-0.2%5.91 USD5.97 USD-0.42-511.3KOff
10 Jul 20265.15 USD3.2%5.96 USD6.00 USD-0.36-381.7KOff
3 Jul 20264.99 USD2.0%6.03 USD6.03 USD-0.29-386.3KOff
26 Jun 20264.89 USD-14.1%-6.06 USD-0.18-628.8KOff
19 Jun 20265.69 USD-8.8%-6.10 USD--342.7KOff
12 Jun 20266.24 USD5.9%-6.12 USD--451.9KOff
5 Jun 20265.89 USD-18.1%-6.11 USD--821.9KOff
29 May 20267.19 USD21.5%-6.12 USD--2.2MOff
22 May 20265.92 USD7.4%-6.08 USD--1.0MOff
15 May 20265.51 USD-13.0%-6.09 USD--968.6KOff
8 May 20266.33 USD-5.4%-6.11 USD--910.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context