Ticker Options Intelligence

MXCT options intelligence

MaxCyte Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 37 Market data through 16 Sep 2026 Checked 17 Sep 2026 12:45 ยท complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

MXCT currently carries mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 55.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 55.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 98

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -9.4%

RS -13.1

Expected move 55.4%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 7.48
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 1.16
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 32

Research Brief

MXCT has a mixed chain read with 37/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.5179โ€“1.80; The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range0.5179โ€“1.80
Call concentration2.50
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction ยท through 18 Sep

Options imply 0.5179 to 1.80. Max pain at 2.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
0.521.16 ยฑ 0.641.80
Confirmation level

A close beyond 1.80 or below 0.5179 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 37/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 5/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure5 ร— 42%
+2.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 ร— 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement98 ร— 26%
+25.4

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 ร— 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 2.50; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50115.5%
0
0
5.00331.0%
0
0
7.50546.6%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Reported Greeks ยท 90% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$48Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak1.50+$98
Negative peak0.50-$120
Nearest balance0.98Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
0.50-56.9%
-$120
1.00-13.8%
+$5
1.5029.3%
+$98
2.0072.4%
+$0
2.50115.5%
+$63
5.00331.0%
+$1
7.50546.6%
+$0
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma ร— open interest ร— 100 shares ร— spotยฒ ร— 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

4.13ร— front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

7.48 18 Sep 2d
1.73 16 Oct 30d
2.51 15 Jan 121d
1.81 16 Apr 212d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

13 matured ยท 0 directional

13 stored transitions are available, but none had a directional bullish or bearish label.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing100%
Average expiry move20.5%
20 Aug Mixed ยท 35 4.5% through expiry 100.4% priced ยท v2.0
19 Aug Volatility ยท 52 4.5% through expiry 104.2% priced ยท v2.0
14 Aug Volatility ยท 53 4.5% through expiry 145.8% priced ยท v2.0
13 Aug Volatility ยท 51 16.9% through expiry 241.5% priced ยท v2.0
11 Aug Mixed ยท 35 16.9% through expiry 122.5% priced ยท v2.0
10 Aug Volatility ยท 52 16.9% through expiry 126.7% priced ยท v2.0
7 Aug Volatility ยท 51 16.9% through expiry 255.9% priced ยท v2.0
6 Aug Mixed ยท 35 31.4% through expiry 84.3% priced ยท v2.0
5 Aug Mixed ยท 35 31.4% through expiry 190.0% priced ยท v2.0
4 Aug Volatility ยท 57 31.4% through expiry 77.4% priced ยท v2.0
3 Aug Volatility ยท 68 31.4% through expiry 86.7% priced ยท v2.0
31 Jul Mixed ยท 36 31.4% through expiry 290.0% priced ยท v2.0

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
16 Sep 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
32 / 32
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

37/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-5
1W price-9.4%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume ร— contract multiplier ร— midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 98/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

65

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Baseline: 21 completed sessions

Volume rank52th
Volume/OI rank52th
IV rank90th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close1.16
1W-9.4%
RS-13.1
Fair value-59.0%
Options pressure-5
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend fit98

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 55.4% history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 21/60 sessions -
IV 7.48 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 21/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - ยท 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 9/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - ยท 8/10 sessions -
90d avg - ยท 21/30 sessions -
180d avg - ยท 21/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:44 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 284.3%
30 Jul 11:22 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 52.9%
31 Jul 07:36 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 87.7%
31 Jul 13:57 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 119.6%
2 Aug 08:47 Mixed
Pressure 12
Move 290.0%
3 Aug 22:18 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 86.7%
4 Aug 19:46 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 112.0%
5 Aug 01:15 Volatility
Pressure -88
Move 77.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls ยท V 0 ยท OI 0
Puts ยท V 0 ยท OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts6
Avg IV7.48
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts14
Avg IV1.73
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV2.51
Put-call-
Expiry16 Apr 2027
Contracts6
Avg IV1.81
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV5.62
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Oct 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.51
Skew-0.11
15 Jan 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV1.19
Put IV-
Skew-
16 Apr 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.89
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractMXCT261016P00000500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike0.50
Volume-
OI800
IV1.91
ContractMXCT270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI174
IV5.60
ContractMXCT261016C00002500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI174
IV1.45
ContractMXCT261016C00001000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike1.00
Volume-
OI114
IV9.66
ContractMXCT261016C00001500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike1.50
Volume-
OI83
IV0.62
ContractMXCT261016C00000500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike0.50
Volume-
OI13
IV0.01
ContractMXCT270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI10
IV1.19
ContractMXCT261016C00002000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.11

Evidence context