Ticker Options Intelligence

NPO options intelligence

Enpro Industries options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 48 Market data through 11 Aug 2026 Checked 11 Aug 2026 16:27 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

NPO currently carries bullish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.25.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.9%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.25

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.17

Call-side skew

Trend fit 20

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +6.1%

RS 13.9

Expected move 5.9%
Put-call volume 0.17
Volume / OI 0.25
Reference IV 0.52
Max pain 330.00
Underlying 332.98
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 172

Research Brief

NPO has a bullish chain read with 48/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 313.23–352.73; The largest call open-interest concentration is 350.00; the largest put concentration is 330.00. The most active strike by current volume is 340.00.

Priced range313.23–352.73
Call concentration350.00
Put concentration330.00
Max pain reference330.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • Participation is above the ticker's stored normal, which makes the read more noteworthy.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 313.23 to 352.73. Max pain at 330.00 sits inside that range, 0.9% below spot.

Spot Max pain
313.23332.98 ± 19.75352.73
Confirmation level

A close beyond 352.73 or below 313.23 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 48/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 76/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure76 × 42%
+32.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation22 × 22%
+4.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement20 × 26%
+5.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility60 × 10%
+6.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score48.2Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 350.00; the largest put concentration is 330.00. The most active strike by current volume is 340.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
220.00-33.9%
1
0
240.00-27.9%
1
1
260.00-21.9%
0
3
280.00-15.9%
0
4
290.00-12.9%
2
10
300.00-9.9%
0
6
310.00-6.9%
0
0
320.00-3.9%
3
83
330.00-0.9%
0
2
340.002.1%
6
2
350.005.1%
14
0
360.008.1%
6
0
370.0011.1%
1
0
390.0017.1%
2
0
400.0020.1%
2
0
430.0029.1%
2
0
500.0050.2%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Positive gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 89% coverage

Call-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the put-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile+$383,562Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak340.00+$582,721
Negative peak310.00-$356,758
Nearest balance331.53Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
230.00-30.9%
+$319
240.00-27.9%
+$156
250.00-24.9%
-$3,132
260.00-21.9%
-$3,339
270.00-18.9%
+$7,563
280.00-15.9%
-$380
290.00-12.9%
+$192,433
300.00-9.9%
-$8,947
310.00-6.9%
-$356,758
320.00-3.9%
+$2,135
330.00-0.9%
-$104,907
340.002.1%
+$582,721
350.005.1%
+$21,955
360.008.1%
+$6,976
370.0011.1%
+$2,733
380.0014.1%
+$18,510
390.0017.1%
+$3,942
400.0020.1%
+$5,088
410.0023.1%
+$3,151
420.0026.1%
+$3,104
430.0029.1%
+$9,154
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.94× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.52 21 Aug 10d
0.34 18 Sep 38d
0.58 18 Dec 129d
0.55 19 Mar 220d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

280
290
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
390
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
11 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
172 / 172
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

66/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2.9M of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+76
1W price+6.1%
Call premium93%
Put premium7%
Notional split C 93% / P 7% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.25 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 20/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · ITM
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 411 contracts traded, $2.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 82% of visible notional.
$2.4M
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 20 contracts traded, $271,685 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$271,685
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 12 contracts traded, $87,445 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$87,445
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 7 contracts traded, $75,225 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$75,225
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 37 contracts traded, $15,635 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$15,635

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Above normal

73

Activity is running above the recent historical baseline.

Baseline: 10 completed sessions

Volume rank90th
Volume/OI rank80th
IV rank50th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close332.98
1W+6.1%
RS13.9
Fair value+72.8%
Options pressure76
Speculation22
Volatility60
Trend fit20

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.9% muted
30d avg 10.1% · 10 sessions 0th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
IV 0.52 near normal
30d avg 0.50 · 10 sessions 50th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.17 history building
30d avg - · 9/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 9/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 9/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.25 elevated
30d avg 0.07 · 10 sessions 80th
90d avg - · 10/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 10/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:35 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 11.2%
30 Jul 10:32 Bearish
Pressure -25
Move 13.0%
31 Jul 10:22 Volatility
Pressure 63
Move 10.8%
31 Jul 19:19 Volatility
Pressure 82
Move 41.8%
31 Jul 21:58 Volatility
Pressure 82
Move 42.3%
1 Aug 01:42 Volatility
Pressure 75
Move 10.5%
2 Aug 06:39 Volatility
Pressure 82
Move 45.0%
2 Aug 12:20 Volatility
Pressure 75
Move 9.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike220.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike240.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike260.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike280.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 3
Strike290.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike300.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike310.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 6
Strike320.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.52
Put-call0.36
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts61
Avg IV0.34
Put-call0.06
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts74
Avg IV0.58
Put-call1.56
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts9
Avg IV0.55
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.49
Put IV0.60
Skew0.11
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.45
Put IV0.45
Skew0.00
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.44
Skew-0.03
19 Mar 2027Incomplete skew
Call IV0.47
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractNPO260918C00280000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike280.00
Volume-
OI38
IV0.00
ContractNPO260918C00260000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike260.00
Volume-
OI29
IV0.00
ContractNPO261218C00460000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike460.00
Volume-
OI14
IV0.50
ContractNPO261218P00260000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike260.00
Volume-
OI13
IV0.57
ContractNPO260821P00300000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike300.00
Volume-
OI10
IV0.55
ContractNPO260821P00310000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike310.00
Volume-
OI6
IV0.60
ContractNPO260821P00290000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike290.00
Volume-
OI4
IV0.58
ContractNPO270319C00380000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike380.00
Volume-
OI3
IV0.47

Evidence context