-0.5 points over the latest measured period.
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?
Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 15.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 15.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 35/100.
SignalWatchCurrent classification
Signal score29/100Priority across the tape
Market quality35/100Confidence in the read
Volume948Participation to date
Liquidity760Available market depth
Observed range14.0 pts568 snapshots
Market angles
The current setup
Position between the observed low and high.
Share of recorded observations at or below today’s probability.
Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.
Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.
Time until the listed market resolution deadline.
Probability history
Probability through time
Implied probability across the selected period.
Period low 12.5%
Period high 26.5%
Direction Rising
Spread 0.1 pts
Repricing episodes
The moves that changed the market
Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.
Probability journey
How the market reached today’s price
Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.
Market profile
Signal strength versus theme peers
Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Rates & Inflation markets.
Current signal
Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 15.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 35/100.
Participation
Where participation changed
Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.
Volume948Cumulative participation
Liquidity760Current available depth
Liquidity / volume80.2%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+9Between recorded observations
Volume accumulation
Largest participation bursts
Liquidity checkpoints
How available depth changed
Market structure
Depth, open interest and spread
Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.
Rates & Inflation context
View full Rates & Inflation dashboard →
Compare related probabilities
Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.
Important context
A probability is a market price, not a promise.
Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.