Polymarket Energy Open Updated 15s ago

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Energy expectations are steady at 9.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 9.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 62/100.

SignalWatchCurrent classification
Signal score33/100Priority across the tape
Market quality62/100Confidence in the read
Volume999.7KParticipation to date
Liquidity94.6KAvailable market depth
Observed range4.0 pts1028 snapshots
Market angles

The current setup

Trend Stable

+0.0 points over the latest measured period.

Range position 25%

Position between the observed low and high.

Historical percentile 34th

Share of recorded observations at or below todayโ€™s probability.

Rolling movement 0.0 pts

Dispersion across the latest twelve observations.

Liquidity / volume 9.5%

Current liquidity relative to cumulative volume.

Time remaining 116d 16h

Time until the listed market resolution deadline.

Probability history

Probability through time

Implied probability across the selected period.

Period low 8.5% Period high 12.5% Direction Falling Spread 0.0 pts
Repricing episodes

The moves that changed the market

Largest recorded probability changes, with the before-and-after price and elapsed interval.

Probability journey

How the market reached todayโ€™s price

Key checkpoints from the first observation through the period extremes to the current probability.

Market profile

Signal strength versus theme peers

Each component compared with the median and percentile of other active Energy markets.

Current signal

Energy expectation is steady at 9.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 62/100.

Participation

Where participation changed

Volume accumulation and liquidity are separated so their different scales remain meaningful.

Volume999.7KCumulative participation
Liquidity94.6KCurrent available depth
Liquidity / volume9.5%Current depth ratio
Largest volume burst+17457Between recorded observations
Market structure

Depth, open interest and spread

Contract structure can confirm a probability move or expose a fragile one.

Energy context

Current probability and market quality for the strongest related contracts.

View full Energy dashboard โ†’
Important context

A probability is a market price, not a promise.

Prediction markets can be wrong, thin, manipulated, poorly specified, or overtaken by new information. Use probability, participation, contract wording and independent research together.

Evidence context