🇿🇦 ZA country intelligence Measured conclusion Latest qualified tape

Country Sentiment Dossier

South Africa sentiment intelligence

Company-news tone, narrative breadth, confidence, catalyst concentration and market confirmation examined as separate evidence layers.

Balanced and selective 50/100 narrative breadth 72/100 evidence confidence 151 qualified equities from 237 latest records
Peer rank26 of 36weighted group score
Qualified coverage64%86 records withheld
Direct evidence100%1681 company matches
Story dispersion3.2cross-company score spread
Relative to context-0.8versus Global qualified tape
Latest refresh12 Aug 20261115 publisher signals

Executive Evidence Brief

A balanced headline masks a selective company tape

Aggregate tone remains near neutral, so breadth, catalysts and company-level outliers carry more information than the headline score alone.

Directional score51.6weighted polarity, separate from reliability
Breadth50constructive minus cautious participation
Confidence72depth, directness, freshness and agreement

Evidence that supports the read

Evidence confidence is 72/100 across 151 qualified equities.

Direct company coverage supplies 100% of the measured article set.

Positive one-week price responses appear across 58% of measured equities.

Conditions that limit conviction

No material evidence constraint is currently dominant.

Narrative Breadth

How widely tone is shared

151 equities
50Breadth
Constructive32.0%
Balanced14696.7%
Cautious21.3%

Score Distribution

Shape of the company tape

Neutral range 43 to 57
0Strong caution
2Cautious
146Balanced
3Constructive
0Strongly constructive

Evidence Quality

Reliability of the read

Confidence is not polarity
72/100 group confidence
High confidence97
Usable evidence31
Developing23

1681 relevant story observations across 1115 publisher signals. 100% is direct company evidence.

13-Week Trajectory

Weighted tone and participation

Completed observations only
15 Jun: tone 51.8, breadth 53.0, 150 observations22 Jun: tone 51.6, breadth 52.0, 148 observations29 Jun: tone 52.1, breadth 53.3, 150 observations06 Jul: tone 52.3, breadth 51.7, 143 observations13 Jul: tone 52.0, breadth 52.3, 149 observations20 Jul: tone 52.1, breadth 52.6, 151 observations27 Jul: tone 52.0, breadth 52.3, 151 observations03 Aug: tone 52.2, breadth 50.6, 87 observations10 Aug: tone 49.4, breadth 45.8, 24 observations 100500
18 May29 Jun10 Aug
Weighted toneNarrative breadthNeutral 50

The path uses a fixed quality sample of up to 151 current constituents to keep the historical query reproducible. Earlier observations are not rewritten by later headlines.

Market Confirmation

How price is responding to the news tape

151 securities measured

Price response is a diagnostic cross-check. It does not alter the sentiment score, so agreement and disagreement remain visible.

Confirmed by price32% of qualified equities
News-price disagreement5536% of qualified equities
Cautious news absorbed11% of qualified equities
No decisive price test9261% of qualified equities
Median 1W return+0.70%
Median 4W return+0.50%
Positive 1W response58%
Active trend signal3%
Above Fair Value3%
Median Fair Value gap-98.70%

Internal Leadership

Sector map

8 qualified groups

2 thin groups are withheld because they contain fewer than 5 qualified securities.

Narrative Dispersion

Industry map

8 qualified groups

53 thin groups are withheld because they contain fewer than 5 qualified securities.

Peer Comparison

Where this read sits in the ranked tape

Rank 26 of 36

Catalyst Lens

What is moving the narrative

Latest company observations
Market update12180.1% of equities · tone 51.8
Earnings2214.6% of equities · tone 50.6
Deals and strategy42.6% of equities · tone 50.8
Analyst action32.0% of equities · tone 49.3
Capital return10.7% of equities · tone 56.0

Publisher Lens

Where the latest observations came from

Not an independence count
TradingView6945.7% of equities · tone 51.9
Market source106.6% of equities · tone 48.1
Moneyweb106.6% of equities · tone 50.9
simplywall.st85.3% of equities · tone 52.0
Stock Titan53.3% of equities · tone 52.0
businesstech.co.za32.0% of equities · tone 53.2
Revelio Labs32.0% of equities · tone 52.0
IOL32.0% of equities · tone 50.7

Positioning Lens

What deserves attention

Score rank#26among 36 measured countries
Parent spread-0.8versus Global qualified tape
Cross-company dispersion3.2higher values mean a less uniform tape

Security Evidence

The equities behind the read

Open any ticker for its complete dossier

Constructive leaders

HLM59
Hulamin Limited

News confirmed by price · +13.2% 1W

Analyst action · 63/100 confidence · 4 direct stories
HYP58
Hyprop Investments Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +4.4% 1W

Market update · 72/100 confidence · 9 direct stories
CML58
Coronation Fund Managers Limited

News confirmed by price · +3.0% 1W

Earnings · 41/100 confidence · 2 direct stories
CPR57
Copper 360 Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +20.5% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 34 direct stories
BOX57
Boxer Retail Ltd

Balanced read · +3.4% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 22 direct stories
VKE57
Vukile Property Fund Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +5.7% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 21 direct stories
PAN57
Pan African Resources PLC

Balanced read · -3.6% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 18 direct stories
IMP57
Impala Platinum Holdings Limited

Balanced read · +1.5% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 17 direct stories

Cautious laggards

ANH39
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV

Caution confirmed by price · -4.1% 1W

Earnings · 66/100 confidence · 6 direct stories
SSW42
Sibanye Stillwater Limited

Bad news being absorbed · +21.0% 1W

Analyst action · 48/100 confidence · 3 direct stories
PWR43
PowerFleet Inc

Price moving ahead of tone · +11.9% 1W

Earnings · 57/100 confidence · 2 direct stories
OMU43
Old Mutual Limited

Balanced read · -1.9% 1W

Market update · 52/100 confidence · 3 direct stories
ACL44
ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · -8.0% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 16 direct stories
SAC44
SA Corporate Real Estate Limited

Balanced read · -0.6% 1W

Market update · 60/100 confidence · 4 direct stories
RTN45
Rex Trueform Group Limited

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Earnings · 36/100 confidence · 3 direct stories
TGA46
Thungela Resources Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · -5.8% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 19 direct stories

Attention leaders

CPR57
Copper 360 Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +20.5% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 34 direct stories
SCD52
Schroder European Real Estate Investment Trust Plc

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 27 direct stories
HAR51
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

Balanced read · -2.9% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 26 direct stories
SSK55
Stefanutti Stocks Holdings Limited

Balanced read · -0.3% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 25 direct stories
RCL52
RCL Foods Limited

Balanced read · +1.2% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 25 direct stories
N9152
Ninety One Group

Balanced read · +0.7% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 24 direct stories
QLT53
Quilter plc

Balanced read · +0.2% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 24 direct stories
MRP55
Mr Price Group Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +5.7% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 23 direct stories

Latest Evidence Ledger

Recent company-level observations

18 displayed
ANH39

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (ABI.BR) stock price, news, quote and history

Market source · Earnings · Caution confirmed by price

66/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
BTI50

NewEdge Advisors LLC Has $5.40 Million Position in British American Tobacco p.l.c. $BTI

MarketBeat · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

88/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
GND50

GRINDROD LIMITED – Trading Statement for the six months ended 30 June 2026

Moneyweb · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

49/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
EPE55

Dow Jones Futures: 3 Nvidia Partners Lead Earnings Movers; CPI Inflation Data Due

Investor's Business Daily · Earnings · Balanced read

67/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
GFI50

Gold Fields (NYSE: GFI) sees H1 2026 earnings jump and keeps 2026 gold output guidance

Stock Titan · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

78/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
LHC50

S&P 500 Companies' Quarterly Earnings Growth Eases Amid Healthcare Drop, Oppenheimer Says

Market source · Earnings · Balanced read

78/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
PWR43

Earnings call transcript: PowerFleet Q1 2026 revenue miss sparks 25% stock drop

Investing.com · Earnings · Price moving ahead of tone

57/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
SAC44

Q2 Earnings Outperformers: Opendoor (NASDAQ:OPEN) And The Rest Of The Consumer Discretionary - Real Estate Services Stocks

StockStory · Market update · Balanced read

60/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
KST50

PSG Financial Services Limited Revenue Breakdown – JSE:KST

TradingView · Earnings · Balanced read

56/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
SSW42

Sibanye Stillwater (JSE:SSW) Stock Fair Value Falls After Mixed Analyst Revisions

Market source · Analyst action · Bad news being absorbed

48/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
WVR56

Weaver Fintech Ltd. Revenue Breakdown – JSE:WVR

TradingView · Market update · Balanced read

77/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
ADR52

Adcorp Holdings Limited Revenue Breakdown – JSE:ADR

TradingView · Earnings · Balanced read

66/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
QFH52

Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
CSB50

Cashbuild Limited Revenue Breakdown – JSE:CSB

TradingView · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
SSK55

Leadership Shifts Toward Quality Stocks? Sector ETFs to Play

TradingView · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
WBO47

Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited Revenue Breakdown – JSE:WBO

TradingView · Market update · Balanced read

60/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
N9152

REG - Ninety One PLC - TR-1 Notification & PDMR Shareholding

TradingView · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
RCL52

Maple Leaf Foods Inc. (MFI.TO) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Reproducible Method

How to read this dossier

Direction

The score measures the polarity of qualified published news after relevance, source quality, event importance and freshness weighting. It is centred at 50.

Breadth

Breadth measures how widely constructive or cautious classifications are shared. A few extreme equities cannot create broad participation.

Confidence

Confidence measures sample depth, direct-company coverage, publisher diversity, freshness and agreement. It is intentionally separate from direction.

Market confirmation

Completed weekly price data tests whether the market confirms, rejects or absorbs the narrative. Price never feeds back into the sentiment score.

Coverage controls

Unqualified ticker records are excluded, and subgroup maps require at least five qualified securities. Thin slices are disclosed instead of ranked.

Interpretation

This is a current evidence classification, not a forecast, target, recommendation or measure of investor positioning.

Evidence context