industry intelligence Measured conclusion Latest qualified tape

Industry Sentiment Dossier

Aluminum sentiment intelligence

Company-news tone, narrative breadth, confidence, catalyst concentration and market confirmation examined as separate evidence layers.

Constructive but selective 56/100 narrative breadth 69/100 evidence confidence 63 qualified equities from 95 latest records
Peer rank45 of 157weighted group score
Qualified coverage66%32 records withheld
Direct evidence98%790 company matches
Story dispersion4.9cross-company score spread
Relative to context+1.8versus Basic Materials
Latest refresh13 Aug 2026431 publisher signals

Executive Evidence Brief

A balanced headline masks a selective company tape

Aggregate tone remains near neutral, so breadth, catalysts and company-level outliers carry more information than the headline score alone.

Directional score53.7weighted polarity, separate from reliability
Breadth56constructive minus cautious participation
Confidence69depth, directness, freshness and agreement

Evidence that supports the read

Constructive participation reaches 56/100 across qualified company reads.

Direct company coverage supplies 98% of the measured article set.

Positive one-week price responses appear across 68% of measured equities.

The quality-sampled 13-week tone path is improving.

Conditions that limit conviction

Evidence confidence is 69/100 and should limit conviction in the aggregate read.

Narrative Breadth

How widely tone is shared

63 equities
56Breadth
Constructive812.7%
Balanced5587.3%
Cautious00.0%

Score Distribution

Shape of the company tape

Neutral range 43 to 57
0Strong caution
0Cautious
55Balanced
5Constructive
3Strongly constructive

Evidence Quality

Reliability of the read

Confidence is not polarity
69/100 group confidence
High confidence30
Usable evidence15
Developing18

807 relevant story observations across 431 publisher signals. 98% is direct company evidence.

13-Week Trajectory

Weighted tone and participation

Completed observations only
15 Jun: tone 51.9, breadth 54.8, 62 observations22 Jun: tone 51.7, breadth 52.7, 56 observations29 Jun: tone 51.1, breadth 51.6, 61 observations06 Jul: tone 51.3, breadth 51.6, 62 observations13 Jul: tone 51.7, breadth 53.2, 63 observations20 Jul: tone 52.3, breadth 51.6, 63 observations27 Jul: tone 52.4, breadth 55.6, 63 observations03 Aug: tone 53.0, breadth 56.8, 37 observations10 Aug: tone 56.9, breadth 66.7, 9 observations 100500
18 May29 Jun10 Aug
Weighted toneNarrative breadthNeutral 50

The path uses a fixed quality sample of up to 63 current constituents to keep the historical query reproducible. Earlier observations are not rewritten by later headlines.

Market Confirmation

How price is responding to the news tape

63 securities measured

Price response is a diagnostic cross-check. It does not alter the sentiment score, so agreement and disagreement remain visible.

Confirmed by price23% of qualified equities
News-price disagreement3251% of qualified equities
Cautious news absorbed00% of qualified equities
No decisive price test2946% of qualified equities
Median 1W return+3.00%
Median 4W return+2.70%
Positive 1W response68%
Active trend signal17%
Above Fair Value62%
Median Fair Value gap+17.60%

Internal Leadership

Country map

4 qualified groups

12 thin groups are withheld because they contain fewer than 5 qualified securities.

Peer Comparison

Where this read sits in the ranked tape

Rank 45 of 157

Catalyst Lens

What is moving the narrative

Latest company observations
Market update3555.6% of equities · tone 52.7
Earnings2641.3% of equities · tone 54.6
Analyst action11.6% of equities · tone 66.0
Guidance11.6% of equities · tone 50.0

Publisher Lens

Where the latest observations came from

Not an independence count
TradingView2234.9% of equities · tone 51.3
simplywall.st57.9% of equities · tone 60.8
Kalkine57.9% of equities · tone 50.9
Barron's57.9% of equities · tone 50.9
MarketBeat46.3% of equities · tone 55.4
TipRanks23.2% of equities · tone 60.3
AL Circle23.2% of equities · tone 55.0
Moomoo23.2% of equities · tone 53.3

Positioning Lens

What deserves attention

Score rank#45among 157 measured industries
Parent spread+1.8versus Basic Materials
Cross-company dispersion4.9higher values mean a less uniform tape

Security Evidence

The equities behind the read

Open any ticker for its complete dossier

Constructive leaders

Gränges AB (publ)

Positive news being faded · -1.1% 1W

Earnings · 54/100 confidence · 5 direct stories
Hindalco Industries Limited

News confirmed by price · +8.7% 1W

Earnings · 86/100 confidence · 11 direct stories
UACJ Corporation

Positive news being faded · -1.2% 1W

Analyst action · 60/100 confidence · 3 direct stories
Daiki Aluminium Industry Co., Ltd.

Balanced read · -0.1% 1W

Market update · 60/100 confidence · 5 direct stories
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

News confirmed by price · +15.7% 1W

Earnings · 88/100 confidence · 52 direct stories
Constellium Nv

Balanced read · +3.3% 1W

Earnings · 76/100 confidence · 55 direct stories
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad

Balanced read · +1.3% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 22 direct stories
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd.

Price moving ahead of tone · +5.0% 1W

Market update · 24/100 confidence · 2 direct stories

Cautious laggards

Century Extrusions Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +4.9% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 15 direct stories
AWG46
Ascent Bridge Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · -19.7% 1W

Market update · 70/100 confidence · 8 direct stories
AAI49
Alcoa Corporation

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 34 direct stories
Chongqing Shunbo Aluminum Co.,Ltd.

Price moving ahead of tone · +4.4% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 20 direct stories
Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Balanced read · +1.4% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 32 direct stories
Choil Aluminum Co., Ltd.

Price moving ahead of tone · +16.2% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 22 direct stories
Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio

Balanced read · +1.5% 1W

Market update · 69/100 confidence · 7 direct stories
Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd.

Price moving ahead of tone · +4.8% 1W

Market update · 66/100 confidence · 6 direct stories

Attention leaders

Century Aluminum Company

Balanced read · -3.1% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 60 direct stories
Constellium Nv

Balanced read · +3.3% 1W

Earnings · 76/100 confidence · 55 direct stories
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

News confirmed by price · +15.7% 1W

Earnings · 88/100 confidence · 52 direct stories
AAI49
Alcoa Corporation

Balanced read · +0.0% 1W

Market update · 75/100 confidence · 34 direct stories
Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

Balanced read · +1.4% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 32 direct stories
AA51
Alcoa Corp

Price moving ahead of tone · +10.8% 1W

Market update · 88/100 confidence · 30 direct stories
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited

Price moving ahead of tone · +9.0% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 28 direct stories
JiaoZuo WanFang Aluminum Manufacturing Co., Ltd

Balanced read · +1.2% 1W

Earnings · 75/100 confidence · 23 direct stories

Latest Evidence Ledger

Recent company-level observations

18 displayed

Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd. Share Price Today - Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd. Stock Price Live NSE/BSE

CNBC TV18 · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

86/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Hindalco Standalone June 2026 Net Sales at Rs 30,515.00 crore, up 25.76% Y-o-Y

Moneycontrol.com · Earnings · News confirmed by price

86/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Assenagon Asset Management S.A. Invests $10.66 Million in Kaiser Aluminum Corporation $KALU

MarketBeat · Earnings · News confirmed by price

88/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
NHY55

Norsk Hydro: Alunorte reduces alumina production on natural gas supply disruptions

finance.yahoo.com · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

53/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
CAA50

Capral (ASX:CAA) Builds Shareholder Value Through Cash Generation and Aluminium Strategy

Kalkine · Earnings · Balanced read

49/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

UACJ Corporation Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

simplywall.st · Analyst action · Positive news being faded

60/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence
AA51

Century Aluminum (NASDAQ:CENX) Posts Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By $0.13 EPS

MarketBeat · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

88/100 confidence · 95% direct evidence

Yunnan Aluminium Co. Ltd. Class A Revenue Breakdown – SZSE:000807

TradingView · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

66/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada · Earnings · Price moving ahead of tone

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Sunview sells Winstar Capital equity for RM30mil

KLSE Screener · Market update · Balanced read

72/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Innovation New Material Technology Co., Ltd. Class A Revenue Breakdown – SSE:600361

TradingView · Market update · Balanced read

33/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Century Aluminum Co (CENX) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record EBITDA and Strategic ...

GuruFocus.com · Earnings · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 83% direct evidence

NATIONALUM Outlook for the Week (August 10, 2026 – August 14, 2026)

Equitypandit · Guidance · Price moving ahead of tone

48/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Press Metal to acquire Koon family’s stake in PMB Tech for RM465 mil or 70 sen per share

The Edge Malaysia · Market update · Balanced read

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Daiki Aluminium Raises Earnings Outlook and Hikes Dividend on Strong Aluminium Margins

TipRanks · Market update · Balanced read

60/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

CENTURY ALUMINUM ($CENX) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings, Stock Rises

Quiver Quantitative · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

PT Indal Aluminium Industry Tbk Reports Earnings Results for the Half Year Ended June 30, 2026

marketscreener.com · Earnings · Price moving ahead of tone

42/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

PPG Industries (PPG): New Buy Recommendation for This Basic Materials Giant

The Globe and Mail · Market update · Price moving ahead of tone

75/100 confidence · 100% direct evidence

Reproducible Method

How to read this dossier

Direction

The score measures the polarity of qualified published news after relevance, source quality, event importance and freshness weighting. It is centred at 50.

Breadth

Breadth measures how widely constructive or cautious classifications are shared. A few extreme equities cannot create broad participation.

Confidence

Confidence measures sample depth, direct-company coverage, publisher diversity, freshness and agreement. It is intentionally separate from direction.

Market confirmation

Completed weekly price data tests whether the market confirms, rejects or absorbs the narrative. Price never feeds back into the sentiment score.

Coverage controls

Unqualified ticker records are excluded, and subgroup maps require at least five qualified securities. Thin slices are disclosed instead of ranked.

Interpretation

This is a current evidence classification, not a forecast, target, recommendation or measure of investor positioning.

Evidence context