Weekly structural research ยท TWO ยท Consumer Defensive

2756 Stage Analysis

Lian Fa International Dining Business Corp.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 61.10Tenure NewBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Rotation Up ยท Emerging rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -1โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 14/100directional strength
Maturity 11/100lifecycle context
Confidence 61/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -22.5%TWD 78.83 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0961.1062.44-39.77164433Rotation Up-114
2026-10-0261.9062.85-39.1735000Rotation Up426
2026-09-2563.0063.26-38.7565170Rotation Up1130
2026-09-1862.3063.76-39.62198141Downward Expansion328
2026-09-1162.0064.31-40.01169021Downward Expansion-124
2026-09-0462.2064.78-41.6619000Downward Expansion-2221
2026-08-2861.9165.13-42.9410050Downward Expansion-4132
2026-08-2160.5565.63-44.1616000Downward Expansion-6253
2026-08-1455.1866.24-50.7915000Downward Expansion-7585
2026-08-0755.6666.92-49.9319000Downward Expansion-7667
2026-07-3155.6667.72-49.9119000Downward Expansion-8163
2026-07-2458.5068.67-49.289000Downward Expansion-6955
2026-07-1759.7069.67-48.5139000Downward Expansion-6253
2026-07-1059.5070.65-52.8246155Downward Expansion-6658
2026-07-0359.6071.59-55.2196010Downward Expansion-6758
2026-06-2659.6072.53-54.08676430Downward Expansion-6962
2026-06-1959.8073.29-56.82139000Downward Expansion-7066
2026-06-1262.0074.18-53.92236002Downward Expansion-6768
2026-06-0559.0075.31-57.90164212Downward Expansion-7990
2026-05-2960.1076.29-57.6264058Downward Expansion-7988
2026-05-2261.4077.42-55.0196763Downward Expansion-7881
2026-05-1560.0078.51-55.58293000Downward Expansion-9082
2026-05-0865.7079.58-52.71116000Downward Expansion-7766
2026-05-0168.1080.45-48.5095244Downward Expansion-6768
2026-04-2467.1081.16-49.96139000Downward Expansion-7786
2026-04-1770.0082.05-45.4489012Downward Expansion-6782
2026-04-1068.8083.08-44.82245035Downward Expansion-7583
2026-04-0367.8284.11-41.35179163Downward Expansion-8280
2026-03-2771.8085.10-39.3891000Downward Expansion-7160
2026-03-2073.3686.05-39.18111000Downward Expansion-6753
2026-03-1373.3686.80-39.2884210Downward Expansion-7052
2026-03-0674.2388.07-39.23145140Downward Expansion-7052
2026-02-2778.0289.17-39.72172072Downward Expansion-6152
2026-02-1378.7090.19-36.21111000Downward Expansion-6466
2026-02-0675.9891.66-35.14124000Downward Expansion-6676
2026-01-3072.8792.69-38.52250021Downward Expansion-8086
2026-01-2376.7693.74-35.27193104Downward Expansion-7079
2026-01-1678.9994.79-32.36340123Downward Expansion-6675
2026-01-0975.4095.75-33.15617610Downward Expansion-7973
2026-01-0279.8696.71-27.03617053Downward Expansion-7251
2025-12-2684.0497.42-21.14478081Downward Expansion-6441
2025-12-1988.6197.79-14.3576055Downward Expansion-5235
2025-12-1288.9098.02-15.58179338Downward Expansion-5652
2025-12-0587.9398.09-15.84174450Downward Expansion-5963
2025-11-2887.6498.29-15.1467000Downward Expansion-5858
2025-11-2182.5998.54-16.48157003Downward Expansion-7568
2025-11-1486.4798.57-15.73301019Rotation Down-6847
2025-11-0795.7098.22-7.62189202Rotation Down-2419
2025-10-3188.5197.42-16.28373337Rotation Down-3836
2025-10-2493.8796.95-9.09218040Rotation Down-2830
2025-10-1794.3596.33-7.82191024Rotation Down-3041
2025-10-1091.9595.51-10.1381049Rotation Down-2243
2025-10-0391.7694.85-8.56145010Deceleration-2236
2025-09-2689.5694.18-6.65360000Deceleration-923
2025-09-1993.5893.64-2.38492104Deceleration-312
2025-09-12101.0592.945.96635012Deceleration1214
2025-09-0599.6291.988.91259208Deceleration1118
2025-08-2997.7090.978.35298470Deceleration2219
2025-08-22100.1090.0413.64459389Deceleration3321
2025-08-1595.7888.876.72841642Upward Expansion3624
2025-08-08111.5987.8426.29307487Upward Expansion6150
2025-08-01107.2886.2425.11408090Upward Expansion6152
2025-07-25108.7284.8927.87649609Upward Expansion6355
2025-07-18122.6083.6044.891124857Upward Expansion8768
2025-07-11106.8081.9430.86796782Upward Expansion6659
2025-07-04104.4180.8029.33247275Upward Expansion6663
2025-06-27108.2479.8034.68135666Upward Expansion7673
2025-06-20107.7678.7238.42314439Upward Expansion8170
2025-06-13104.4177.6934.92667692Upward Expansion8270
2025-06-06101.0576.7333.79299951Upward Expansion8272
2025-05-3095.3175.9228.64254007Upward Expansion7285
2025-05-2395.3175.4127.30238221Upward Expansion7791
2025-05-1691.0074.8420.82286495Upward Expansion6988
2025-05-0993.8774.3930.29307220Upward Expansion8793
2025-05-0295.3173.8633.55788089Rotation Up9489
2025-04-2583.5273.3222.87241577Rotation Up5358
2025-04-1875.7773.0114.30160686Balance2330
2025-04-1171.9372.987.75187354Balance-911
2025-04-0474.3373.071.9631071Balance1923
2025-03-2875.2973.101.57163128Balance610
2025-03-2169.7373.01-8.6515000Balance-1713
2025-03-1472.1873.12-4.7651640Balance-716
2025-03-0771.6173.16-8.4441000Downward Expansion-1722
2025-02-2873.5073.40-8.5023010Downward Expansion-1221
2025-02-2172.5673.56-12.7339055Downward Expansion-2525
2025-02-1472.2773.88-11.4658108Downward Expansion-3923
2025-02-0769.1674.35-16.9338217Downward Expansion-6045
2025-01-2469.8275.45-16.8775000Downward Expansion-6556
2025-01-1765.0275.83-21.8775000Downward Expansion-7084
2025-01-1064.9276.25-22.1661000Downward Expansion-7688
2025-01-0363.6176.76-24.0479000Downward Expansion-9091
2024-12-2766.7177.37-22.27259000Downward Expansion-8785
2024-12-2070.1177.84-16.2152000Downward Expansion-7875
2024-12-1372.6578.23-15.69272000Downward Expansion-6763
2024-12-0672.6578.57-16.8957000Downward Expansion-7263
2024-11-2974.4478.91-11.9721000Balance-5250
2024-11-2275.8679.05-13.3882091Balance-4334
2024-11-1576.7079.17-12.35143000Balance-3418
2024-11-0875.5779.25-17.1455000Balance-3917
2024-11-0176.8979.46-13.5276000Balance-1712
2024-10-2580.1079.54-12.84129000Balance-1514
2024-10-1878.0279.53-16.2868000Balance-2720
2024-10-1177.5579.48-15.3872000Balance-3018
2024-10-0477.9379.40-13.4556000Balance-3115
2024-09-2779.0679.47-14.97142000Balance-3417
2024-09-2074.2579.49-18.5493000Rotation Down-5128
2024-09-1375.1079.65-16.9354000Rotation Down-5131
2024-09-0674.5479.76-17.0463000Rotation Down-5543
2024-08-3075.1079.80-20.2662000Rotation Down-3046
2024-08-2372.6779.82-23.2247000Balance-3547
2024-08-1673.0279.95-24.27120000Balance-2630
2024-08-0973.4080.08-21.57456000Balance-2627
2024-08-0278.8780.21-17.14162000Balance1614
2024-07-2678.1380.18-20.23213000Upward Expansion3530
2024-07-1982.4080.21-19.13388000Upward Expansion5355
2024-07-1286.2080.09-19.662250000Upward Expansion5657
2024-07-05102.0779.86-4.121820000Upward Expansion8878
2024-06-2881.3779.16-22.39316000Balance3618
2024-06-2177.4879.15-27.50215000Balance1412
2024-06-1480.2679.20-23.19153000Upward Expansion5128
2024-06-0782.0279.20-19.91304000Upward Expansion5645
2024-05-3180.9179.14-19.15195000Upward Expansion5553
2024-05-2481.7579.23-20.52110000Balance5652
2024-05-1782.6779.24-19.24275000Balance3739
2024-05-1082.9579.28-17.59204000Balance4028
2024-05-0378.6879.44-21.1712000Balance-711
2024-04-2679.5279.79-20.4337000Balance1220
2024-04-1978.8780.16-19.57148000Balance-717
2024-04-1281.9380.52-22.13184000Balance1015
2024-04-0579.5280.82-23.9151000Balance-1414
2024-03-2979.5281.17-24.52141000Downward Expansion-2818
2024-03-2276.6081.60-27.8199000Downward Expansion-5429
2024-03-1575.3482.08-27.77198000Downward Expansion-5326
2024-03-0880.0282.61-24.40187000Downward Expansion-2725
2024-03-0179.5783.00-21.9176000Downward Expansion-4024
2024-02-2379.1283.23-22.55128000Downward Expansion-4839
2024-02-1678.2283.45-22.6479000Downward Expansion-6455
2024-02-0975.9783.80-23.1222000Downward Expansion-6977
2024-02-0275.6184.33-23.5871000Downward Expansion-7577
2024-01-2676.4285.18-22.6956000Downward Expansion-7375
2024-01-1977.1485.90-20.9050000Downward Expansion-7060
2024-01-1277.3286.64-20.26102000Downward Expansion-6956
2024-01-0577.6887.39-20.2291000Downward Expansion-6954
2023-12-2979.1288.11-21.1263000Downward Expansion-6451
2023-12-2278.9488.85-20.2331000Downward Expansion-6753
2023-12-1579.3089.63-20.6259000Downward Expansion-6856
2023-12-0881.1090.35-17.9846000Downward Expansion-6457
2023-12-0180.8391.03-18.5997000Downward Expansion-6675
2023-11-2479.2191.91-19.59126000Downward Expansion-7685
2023-11-1780.0292.79-18.41148000Downward Expansion-7685
2023-11-1080.2093.64-15.6546000Downward Expansion-8085
2023-11-0383.7294.86-11.0942000Downward Expansion-6776
2023-10-2782.1995.56-10.6065000Downward Expansion-7875
2023-10-2083.8196.38-10.4662000Downward Expansion-7562
2023-10-1387.5997.08-8.2555000Downward Expansion-6340
2023-10-0689.2197.49-4.9859000Downward Expansion-5534
Price vs TrendBelow-2.2%
Trend directionFalling-7.8%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-22.5%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+4.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-39.8%
Relative strength directionImproving+13.1%
Price momentumNegative-11.2%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.84ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-1 / ยฑ100

+0.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

14 /100

-9.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance56
Rotation Up40
Upward Expansion38
Deceleration33
Rotation Down18
Downward Expansion42

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 14%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 53%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Rotation Up2026-09-252026-10-09New-3.0%
Downward Expansion2025-11-212026-09-18Extended-24.6%
Rotation Down2025-10-102025-11-14Developing-6.0%
Deceleration2025-08-222025-10-03Developing-8.3%
Upward Expansion2025-05-092025-08-15Established+2.0%
Rotation Up2025-04-252025-05-02New+14.1%
Balance2025-03-142025-04-18Developing+5.0%
Downward Expansion2024-12-062025-03-07Established-1.4%
Balance2024-09-272024-11-29Developing-5.8%
Rotation Down2024-08-302024-09-20New-1.1%
Balance2024-08-022024-08-23New-7.9%
Upward Expansion2024-07-052024-07-26New-23.5%
Balance2024-06-212024-06-28New+5.0%
Upward Expansion2024-05-312024-06-14New-0.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing74
Stage 2 ยท Advancing1
Stage 3 ยท Distribution13
Stage 4 ยท Declining99

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
23/100
Current Relative Strength
-39.77
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-11.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-50.4%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
22th percentile9 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.50ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.84ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 61.91rising
Slow Activity TWD 60.81falling
Trend Reference TWD 62.44-2.2% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 78.83-22.5% close margin
Structural low TWD 54.30shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +4.2%
Annualized volatility +24.1%
From structural high -37.8%
From structural low +12.5%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term2+2.6%-8.9% to +14.1%+50.0%+50.0%+0.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Intermediate2+32.1%+30.2% to +33.9%+100.0%+100.0%+20.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended2+34.8%+12.4% to +57.2%+100.0%+100.0%+6.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+7.6%-18.5% to +33.7%+50.0%+50.0%-51.9%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context