Weekly structural research · NYSE · Consumer Defensive

ACI Stage Analysis

Albertsons Companies

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 12.19Tenure NewBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction -57−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 44/100directional strength

Maturity 31/100lifecycle context

Confidence 90/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -32.9%USD 18.17 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	12.19	14.29	-29.48	41359585	Downward Expansion	-57	44
2026-10-02	11.75	14.45	-31.84	32843545	Downward Expansion	-63	49
2026-09-25	11.67	14.65	-33.04	37452329	Deceleration	-66	48
2026-09-18	12.35	14.85	-28.90	49043832	Deceleration	-45	38
2026-09-11	12.08	15.03	-31.11	38223159	Downward Expansion	-52	41
2026-09-04	12.55	15.24	-29.70	34454503	Downward Expansion	-56	44
2026-08-28	12.53	15.42	-30.46	24421706	Downward Expansion	-60	51
2026-08-21	12.38	15.55	-31.71	28821301	Downward Expansion	-63	69
2026-08-14	12.42	15.70	-33.17	30638022	Downward Expansion	-64	78
2026-08-07	12.01	15.85	-35.96	46478378	Downward Expansion	-69	71
2026-07-31	11.58	16.00	-36.83	55319117	Downward Expansion	-80	64
2026-07-24	11.03	16.18	-39.90	85730488	Downward Expansion	-89	63
2026-07-17	14.88	16.38	-20.38	25116199	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2026-07-10	14.54	16.45	-24.11	38693490	Downward Expansion	-65	79
2026-07-03	13.92	16.53	-27.21	30969740	Downward Expansion	-68	83
2026-06-26	13.38	16.63	-29.30	42302226	Downward Expansion	-83	85
2026-06-19	13.25	16.79	-32.46	50071903	Downward Expansion	-88	80
2026-06-12	15.41	16.92	-21.72	40405667	Downward Expansion	-68	51
2026-06-05	16.36	17.00	-17.26	26270755	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2026-05-29	15.61	17.04	-23.73	27472566	Downward Expansion	-68	58
2026-05-22	16.21	17.10	-20.56	35042865	Downward Expansion	-58	46
2026-05-15	16.40	17.17	-19.80	32179919	Downward Expansion	-56	49
2026-05-08	16.02	17.26	-22.26	23340975	Balance	-66	57
2026-05-01	16.62	17.28	-18.42	24308031	Balance	-54	41
2026-04-24	16.62	17.29	-18.47	30181682	Balance	-54	36
2026-04-17	16.53	17.31	-19.32	59463225	Balance	-58	36
2026-04-10	17.11	17.34	-13.71	35173296	Balance	-36	20
2026-04-03	17.27	17.38	-10.51	23209470	Balance	-35	21
2026-03-27	16.90	17.42	-10.38	26334176	Balance	-39	22
2026-03-20	17.11	17.49	-11.89	39336427	Balance	-32	15
2026-03-13	17.10	17.55	-14.13	29379809	Balance	-17	9
2026-03-06	17.59	17.60	-13.55	29811414	Balance	12	19
2026-02-27	17.72	17.65	-15.19	28115365	Balance	13	22
2026-02-20	17.72	17.70	-16.06	21204625	Balance	10	17
2026-02-13	18.38	17.76	-12.35	29979976	Balance	-5	11
2026-02-06	17.91	17.81	-16.04	34557557	Downward Expansion	-22	12
2026-01-30	16.48	17.92	-23.25	35014759	Downward Expansion	-61	41
2026-01-23	16.89	18.08	-21.46	28865410	Downward Expansion	-54	35
2026-01-16	17.00	18.20	-21.59	49048294	Downward Expansion	-56	37
2026-01-09	16.35	18.33	-25.17	80981031	Downward Expansion	-67	41
2026-01-02	16.99	18.47	-21.47	28399049	Downward Expansion	-56	36
2025-12-26	17.08	18.59	-22.18	24685634	Downward Expansion	-57	39
2025-12-19	17.10	18.74	-21.33	54185823	Downward Expansion	-55	36
2025-12-12	17.03	18.88	-21.87	38914779	Downward Expansion	-60	39
2025-12-05	16.90	19.02	-23.23	43775272	Downward Expansion	-64	38
2025-11-28	17.99	19.18	-18.28	54900314	Downward Expansion	-51	32
2025-11-21	17.28	19.29	-18.85	34673883	Downward Expansion	-60	41
2025-11-14	17.87	19.42	-17.95	34586224	Downward Expansion	-42	31
2025-11-07	17.40	19.52	-20.21	43660286	Downward Expansion	-48	26
2025-10-31	17.36	19.62	-21.92	41065814	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2025-10-24	18.30	19.74	-17.39	41033723	Downward Expansion	-47	37
2025-10-17	19.22	19.82	-11.76	61741836	Downward Expansion	-60	53
2025-10-10	16.66	19.86	-22.24	43863794	Downward Expansion	-79	90
2025-10-03	16.92	19.98	-23.19	28770709	Downward Expansion	-80	90
2025-09-26	17.09	20.10	-21.79	27860824	Downward Expansion	-82	87
2025-09-19	17.42	20.20	-20.74	35360301	Downward Expansion	-82	75
2025-09-12	18.23	20.28	-16.29	29100961	Downward Expansion	-73	57
2025-09-05	18.55	20.34	-13.72	20644988	Downward Expansion	-70	66
2025-08-29	18.94	20.39	-11.82	27276504	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2025-08-22	19.00	20.40	-11.78	21939489	Rotation Down	-65	74
2025-08-15	18.68	20.40	-13.33	29807298	Rotation Down	-47	70
2025-08-08	19.19	20.40	-10.47	26866119	Rotation Down	-40	64
2025-08-01	19.09	20.40	-8.97	32722470	Rotation Down	-36	54
2025-07-25	19.47	20.39	-9.67	28541120	Balance	-29	34
2025-07-18	19.78	20.37	-7.13	55096535	Balance	-6	8
2025-07-11	21.40	20.33	0.95	31619464	Balance	50	23
2025-07-04	21.19	20.24	-0.26	20393328	Balance	33	17
2025-06-27	20.47	20.14	-1.99	25205571	Balance	20	16
2025-06-20	20.95	20.09	3.68	26471118	Upward Expansion	30	16
2025-06-13	20.50	20.00	1.38	21024696	Upward Expansion	33	17
2025-06-06	20.71	19.92	1.97	20276418	Upward Expansion	42	27
2025-05-30	21.48	19.84	7.45	16737386	Upward Expansion	58	40
2025-05-23	21.35	19.72	8.67	15865741	Upward Expansion	57	41
2025-05-16	21.35	19.59	5.92	26950279	Upward Expansion	58	47
2025-05-09	21.71	19.47	13.32	26558382	Upward Expansion	70	50
2025-05-02	21.19	19.33	10.16	23986483	Upward Expansion	62	40
2025-04-25	21.17	19.21	13.22	35089734	Upward Expansion	65	43
2025-04-18	20.83	19.09	16.60	46847375	Upward Expansion	60	42
2025-04-11	20.33	18.98	12.24	28825903	Upward Expansion	58	42
2025-04-04	21.08	18.91	22.99	31377060	Upward Expansion	71	53
2025-03-28	20.75	18.79	10.27	20013822	Upward Expansion	68	56
2025-03-21	20.29	18.71	6.14	29245405	Upward Expansion	61	55
2025-03-14	20.23	18.70	6.26	82723299	Upward Expansion	60	57
2025-03-07	20.59	18.68	5.56	47250195	Upward Expansion	71	62
2025-02-28	20.19	18.61	0.15	19554783	Upward Expansion	68	67
2025-02-21	19.72	18.57	-3.31	18249924	Upward Expansion	60	62
2025-02-14	19.99	18.55	-3.95	21205506	Upward Expansion	69	66
2025-02-07	20.05	18.51	-2.69	26879418	Upward Expansion	74	58
2025-01-31	19.24	18.46	-7.11	19103097	Upward Expansion	60	39
2025-01-24	19.11	18.43	-9.15	19985642	Rotation Up	58	35
2025-01-17	18.71	18.42	-10.05	36120494	Rotation Up	27	24
2025-01-10	19.00	18.41	-6.54	32273312	Rotation Up	32	32
2025-01-03	18.86	18.40	-9.65	20224618	Rotation Up	21	24
2024-12-27	18.97	18.40	-10.28	13421352	Balance	25	24
2024-12-20	18.59	18.42	-12.15	41663766	Balance	16	22
2024-12-13	18.57	18.44	-14.47	73427798	Balance	17	20
2024-12-06	18.23	18.46	-17.19	10284582	Balance	-6	16
2024-11-29	18.91	18.51	-14.08	9901799	Balance	7	19
2024-11-22	18.45	18.52	-15.77	10981695	Downward Expansion	-19	16
2024-11-15	17.98	18.54	-17.12	12254874	Downward Expansion	-34	17
2024-11-08	18.34	18.57	-17.77	18214500	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2024-11-01	17.77	18.60	-17.17	17262460	Downward Expansion	-55	34
2024-10-25	17.42	18.66	-20.60	16317514	Downward Expansion	-63	41
2024-10-18	17.98	18.75	-19.63	17496149	Downward Expansion	-59	42
2024-10-11	17.38	18.80	-22.36	11592959	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2024-10-04	17.58	18.87	-21.30	18383870	Downward Expansion	-64	67
2024-09-27	17.50	18.93	-22.19	15567888	Downward Expansion	-67	72
2024-09-20	17.67	18.98	-21.73	18227080	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2024-09-13	18.04	19.06	-19.71	22615445	Downward Expansion	-58	48
2024-09-06	17.48	19.13	-19.76	20717689	Downward Expansion	-66	29
2024-08-30	18.57	19.21	-18.96	15504934	Downward Expansion	-24	15
2024-08-23	19.80	19.26	-13.87	13593457	Downward Expansion	25	22
2024-08-16	19.74	19.28	-13.43	15628858	Downward Expansion	-4	11
2024-08-09	18.46	19.30	-16.24	11614548	Downward Expansion	-45	21
2024-08-02	18.89	19.39	-14.72	13024649	Downward Expansion	-35	17
2024-07-26	19.35	19.47	-14.88	13639285	Downward Expansion	-31	21
2024-07-19	18.81	19.54	-18.26	16080618	Downward Expansion	-60	44
2024-07-12	18.34	19.61	-22.27	13069513	Downward Expansion	-71	71
2024-07-05	18.56	19.70	-21.06	8695602	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2024-06-28	18.58	19.77	-19.94	15086343	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2024-06-21	18.40	19.83	-21.17	11068294	Downward Expansion	-74	67
2024-06-14	18.82	19.89	-19.29	8868396	Downward Expansion	-65	54
2024-06-07	18.88	19.91	-18.10	9324343	Downward Expansion	-64	38
2024-05-31	19.42	19.94	-15.08	10624060	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2024-05-24	19.16	19.97	-16.81	7917207	Downward Expansion	-45	25
2024-05-17	19.40	20.00	-16.11	9352549	Downward Expansion	-51	30
2024-05-10	19.51	20.04	-14.54	7927468	Downward Expansion	-56	40
2024-05-03	19.35	20.08	-13.98	9040273	Downward Expansion	-59	59
2024-04-26	18.94	20.13	-15.65	16751020	Downward Expansion	-68	61
2024-04-19	19.03	20.21	-13.36	10626643	Downward Expansion	-68	43
2024-04-12	19.06	20.29	-16.20	17704384	Downward Expansion	-69	38
2024-04-05	19.66	20.38	-15.13	11226928	Downward Expansion	-44	27
2024-03-29	20.05	20.45	-14.61	19009521	Downward Expansion	-56	36
2024-03-22	19.54	20.47	-16.77	12501670	Downward Expansion	-61	62
2024-03-15	19.45	20.50	-15.68	12233687	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2024-03-08	19.51	20.53	-15.78	18634275	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2024-03-01	18.94	20.55	-18.76	33106622	Downward Expansion	-83	75
2024-02-23	20.05	20.58	-13.47	13270008	Downward Expansion	-59	60
2024-02-16	20.18	20.58	-11.78	16221287	Balance	-57	56
2024-02-09	19.82	20.59	-13.91	14744180	Balance	-30	34
2024-02-02	19.96	20.60	-12.43	17878249	Balance	-23	23
2024-01-26	20.42	20.60	-9.44	11829011	Upward Expansion	14	8
2024-01-19	20.46	20.59	-8.59	15218045	Upward Expansion	43	29
2024-01-12	21.12	20.57	-4.76	14909278	Upward Expansion	60	61
2024-01-05	21.43	20.52	-1.78	20910568	Upward Expansion	69	67
2023-12-29	21.39	20.44	-3.62	9042867	Upward Expansion	70	52
2023-12-22	20.95	20.36	-5.46	20689188	Rotation Down	46	36
2023-12-15	21.07	20.28	-4.30	19278655	Rotation Down	48	30
2023-12-08	20.64	20.19	-4.23	9575317	Rotation Down	22	16
2023-12-01	20.44	20.13	-5.12	15121611	Rotation Down	-20	32
2023-11-24	19.97	20.08	-6.66	6321864	Rotation Down	-23	40
2023-11-17	19.54	20.06	-7.89	11137026	Deceleration	-36	39
2023-11-10	19.70	20.04	-5.17	8268069	Deceleration	-15	27
2023-11-03	20.41	20.01	-0.50	9467550	Deceleration	19	24
2023-10-27	20.10	19.97	3.47	12488207	Deceleration	14	22
2023-10-20	20.60	19.94	3.42	13259325	Deceleration	38	24

Price vs TrendBelow-14.7%

Trend directionFalling-10.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-32.9%

Fair Value directionMoving away-9.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-29.5%

Relative strength directionWeakening-5.4%

Price momentumNegative-28.7%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.79×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-57 / ±100

-4.6 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

44 /100

+2.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

ACI Directional State ↗ ACI Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance24

Rotation Up26

Upward Expansion6

Deceleration54

Rotation Down46

Downward Expansion77

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 17%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 54%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-10-02	2026-10-09	New	+3.7%
Deceleration	2026-09-18	2026-09-25	New	-5.5%
Downward Expansion	2026-05-15	2026-09-11	Established	-26.3%
Balance	2026-02-13	2026-05-08	Established	-12.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-08-29	2026-02-06	Established	-5.5%
Rotation Down	2025-08-01	2025-08-22	New	-0.5%
Balance	2025-06-27	2025-07-25	Developing	-4.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-31	2025-06-20	Established	+8.9%
Rotation Up	2025-01-03	2025-01-24	New	+1.3%
Balance	2024-11-29	2024-12-27	Developing	+0.4%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-23	2024-11-22	Extended	-8.0%
Balance	2024-02-02	2024-02-16	New	+1.1%
Upward Expansion	2023-12-29	2024-01-26	Developing	-4.5%
Rotation Down	2023-11-24	2023-12-22	Developing	+4.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing51

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution19

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 75/100
Current Relative Strength: -29.48
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -28.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -43.6%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 17th percentile36 in cohort

Test ACI trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.05×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.79×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore ACI Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 11.98falling

Slow Activity USD 13.22falling

Trend Reference USD 14.29-14.7% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 18.17-32.9% close margin

Structural low USD 10.85shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +8.6%

Annualized volatility +51.8%

From structural high -37.4%

From structural low +12.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	26	-1.8%-17.4% to +9.3%	+42.3%	+57.7%	-3.7%	+84.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	-4.4%-24.3% to +11.2%	+33.3%	+66.7%	-9.0%	+55.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-2.4%-6.5% to -0.4%	+0.0%	+100.0%	-10.2%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	-1.6%-33.9% to -1.0%	+0.0%	+100.0%	-21.3%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

ACI Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map