Weekly structural research · KSC · Basic Materials

014280 Stage Analysis

Kumkang Kind Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close KRW 4,605.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^KS11

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and stable.

Direction -1−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 11/100directional strength

Maturity 8/100lifecycle context

Confidence 48/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatestable separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -5.5%KRW 4,872.72 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	4,605.00	4,605.67	-26.68	493340	Balance	-1	11
2026-10-02	4,630.00	4,621.17	-31.10	11257763	Balance	-0	9
2026-09-25	4,365.00	4,634.83	-36.60	1302103	Balance	-13	10
2026-09-18	4,465.00	4,673.00	-34.40	603016	Balance	-12	12
2026-09-11	4,525.00	4,717.83	-34.71	4896764	Downward Expansion	-13	12
2026-09-04	4,240.00	4,769.33	-37.86	16671	Downward Expansion	-31	23
2026-08-28	4,390.00	4,835.67	-37.44	37048	Downward Expansion	-33	24
2026-08-21	4,330.00	4,895.00	-40.17	95953	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2026-08-14	4,480.00	4,956.33	-39.52	1107796	Downward Expansion	-44	31
2026-08-07	4,150.00	5,002.00	-38.42	21329	Downward Expansion	-59	46
2026-07-31	3,930.00	5,053.33	-45.37	30255	Downward Expansion	-63	49
2026-07-24	4,050.00	5,110.67	-45.26	17031	Downward Expansion	-61	50
2026-07-17	3,900.00	5,211.00	-49.06	322279	Downward Expansion	-69	62
2026-07-10	4,035.00	5,312.73	-52.65	47684	Downward Expansion	-67	69
2026-07-03	4,155.00	5,416.18	-55.64	52625	Downward Expansion	-65	73
2026-06-26	3,795.00	5,484.50	-61.68	92666	Downward Expansion	-82	85
2026-06-19	4,190.00	5,573.01	-61.33	69922	Downward Expansion	-75	80
2026-06-12	4,520.00	5,625.74	-54.26	144429	Downward Expansion	-65	72
2026-06-05	4,250.00	5,658.62	-57.85	67324	Downward Expansion	-78	72
2026-05-29	4,655.00	5,685.10	-56.28	523062	Downward Expansion	-65	35
2026-05-22	5,090.00	5,713.81	-49.23	829956	Downward Expansion	-41	18
2026-05-15	5,220.00	5,738.18	-46.31	1495578	Downward Expansion	-34	19
2026-05-08	5,910.00	5,777.88	-40.13	6637242	Downward Expansion	-14	16
2026-05-01	5,360.00	5,737.22	-39.25	840828	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2026-04-24	5,300.00	5,715.71	-39.64	464356	Downward Expansion	-44	29
2026-04-17	5,410.00	5,696.21	-36.45	543448	Downward Expansion	-57	39
2026-04-10	5,310.00	5,684.35	-34.97	1198763	Rotation Down	-62	61
2026-04-03	4,865.00	5,683.03	-35.87	693864	Rotation Down	-44	67
2026-03-27	4,905.00	5,663.11	-36.86	578145	Rotation Down	-43	62
2026-03-20	5,140.00	5,640.71	-38.58	726744	Rotation Down	-27	53
2026-03-13	5,070.00	5,616.71	-36.67	641643	Rotation Down	-29	49
2026-03-06	5,040.00	5,601.10	-38.65	834870	Deceleration	-29	34
2026-02-27	5,510.00	5,582.56	-40.57	918164	Deceleration	2	7
2026-02-20	5,810.00	5,542.29	-33.22	449848	Deceleration	17	9
2026-02-13	6,070.00	5,505.46	-26.89	788687	Deceleration	33	18
2026-02-06	6,230.00	5,459.63	-19.29	2612071	Deceleration	34	16
2026-01-30	6,170.00	5,409.78	-22.53	1874387	Deceleration	30	18
2026-01-23	6,170.00	5,358.49	-19.30	2470272	Deceleration	30	22
2026-01-16	5,850.00	5,301.63	-21.47	1208889	Deceleration	35	19
2026-01-09	5,690.00	5,255.43	-19.81	1753360	Upward Expansion	41	23
2026-01-02	5,650.00	5,215.22	-15.63	4870636	Upward Expansion	57	39
2025-12-26	7,060.00	5,176.51	9.61	5901420	Upward Expansion	68	69
2025-12-19	6,951.84	5,090.97	11.01	3602934	Upward Expansion	70	72
2025-12-12	7,138.66	5,005.09	10.13	12270478	Upward Expansion	78	71
2025-12-05	6,204.54	4,914.63	-2.58	5919986	Upward Expansion	61	42
2025-11-28	6,450.36	4,867.11	5.66	33761979	Upward Expansion	68	39
2025-11-21	5,771.89	4,805.49	-3.70	10440212	Upward Expansion	58	31
2025-11-14	5,506.41	4,765.66	-12.03	13086080	Upward Expansion	53	33
2025-11-07	5,044.26	4,735.51	-18.74	2385954	Upward Expansion	56	55
2025-10-31	5,516.24	4,713.06	-14.82	8328784	Upward Expansion	57	61
2025-10-24	5,821.06	4,678.32	-6.56	51371857	Upward Expansion	68	64
2025-10-17	6,411.03	4,646.19	8.20	10961112	Upward Expansion	86	72
2025-10-10	4,690.28	4,563.76	-17.65	125396	Upward Expansion	47	37
2025-10-03	4,714.86	4,539.67	-16.10	671129	Upward Expansion	50	42
2025-09-26	4,714.86	4,520.83	-12.35	901262	Upward Expansion	48	43
2025-09-19	5,054.09	4,495.42	-7.83	1507102	Rotation Up	62	51
2025-09-12	5,270.42	4,461.01	-2.60	28067135	Rotation Up	65	29
2025-09-05	4,267.47	4,421.35	-16.45	203218	Balance	-22	33
2025-08-29	4,233.05	4,415.94	-16.82	259728	Balance	-24	26
2025-08-22	4,419.87	4,407.42	-13.04	226691	Upward Expansion	18	16
2025-08-15	4,601.78	4,394.31	-11.41	234612	Upward Expansion	35	17
2025-08-08	4,483.79	4,378.41	-13.54	332748	Upward Expansion	33	14
2025-08-01	4,301.88	4,362.02	-14.99	398131	Upward Expansion	32	21
2025-07-25	4,705.03	4,350.06	-9.65	534834	Upward Expansion	58	58
2025-07-18	4,695.19	4,321.71	-9.95	313640	Upward Expansion	57	54
2025-07-11	4,734.53	4,295.14	-9.07	532648	Balance	60	45
2025-07-04	4,631.28	4,270.44	-7.66	308139	Balance	51	25
2025-06-27	4,464.12	4,244.42	-11.18	572922	Balance	31	15
2025-06-20	4,464.12	4,233.34	-10.42	542715	Balance	30	14
2025-06-13	4,483.79	4,230.06	-6.37	512082	Upward Expansion	32	15
2025-06-06	4,488.70	4,232.01	-3.77	284350	Upward Expansion	34	16
2025-05-30	4,493.62	4,220.76	0.14	238638	Upward Expansion	38	20
2025-05-23	4,375.63	4,201.39	1.29	319551	Upward Expansion	41	24
2025-05-16	4,424.79	4,182.77	0.85	977276	Upward Expansion	53	33
2025-05-09	4,778.77	4,169.82	10.76	526454	Upward Expansion	65	50
2025-05-02	4,601.78	4,149.53	7.30	870705	Upward Expansion	58	38
2025-04-25	4,577.20	4,132.92	7.10	2358290	Upward Expansion	56	45
2025-04-18	4,601.78	4,117.28	10.26	6084695	Upward Expansion	59	61
2025-04-11	4,370.71	4,099.55	6.77	15457873	Upward Expansion	51	53
2025-04-04	4,473.96	4,087.14	7.60	30157110	Upward Expansion	55	55
2025-03-28	4,857.44	4,067.47	12.42	28879815	Upward Expansion	72	56
2025-03-21	3,938.06	4,054.58	-11.87	239567	Balance	-48	25
2025-03-14	3,967.56	4,079.33	-9.13	349332	Balance	-35	15
2025-03-07	4,149.47	4,099.44	-5.51	813346	Balance	-8	4
2025-02-28	3,952.81	4,111.11	-9.42	323115	Balance	-45	17
2025-02-21	4,021.64	4,136.16	-12.80	258004	Balance	-27	11
2025-02-14	4,080.64	4,164.65	-10.08	560062	Balance	-23	10
2025-02-07	4,105.22	4,185.60	-7.75	359360	Balance	-24	12
2025-01-31	3,977.40	4,203.19	-11.08	71828	Downward Expansion	-32	14
2025-01-24	4,026.56	4,228.39	-11.36	345862	Downward Expansion	-32	14
2025-01-17	4,124.89	4,252.26	-9.41	1037933	Downward Expansion	-43	22
2025-01-10	3,992.14	4,276.67	-12.71	205262	Downward Expansion	-51	33
2025-01-03	3,942.98	4,307.09	-11.80	65469	Downward Expansion	-55	46
2024-12-27	3,854.48	4,342.65	-12.91	156403	Downward Expansion	-60	55
2024-12-20	3,898.15	4,374.81	-12.30	166034	Downward Expansion	-57	47
2024-12-13	3,993.58	4,413.45	-13.80	287010	Downward Expansion	-51	29
2024-12-06	3,850.44	4,451.46	-15.05	295930	Downward Expansion	-49	24
2024-11-29	4,131.95	4,497.75	-10.33	320820	Downward Expansion	-29	22
2024-11-22	4,365.74	4,534.33	-7.44	920462	Downward Expansion	-26	19
2024-11-15	4,542.28	4,558.34	-0.74	5797687	Downward Expansion	-24	19
2024-11-08	4,151.03	4,576.15	-14.61	154464	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2024-11-01	3,912.47	4,616.55	-19.35	161460	Downward Expansion	-65	53
2024-10-25	3,817.04	4,662.67	-23.06	169756	Downward Expansion	-75	56
2024-10-18	4,036.52	4,716.11	-19.56	98539	Downward Expansion	-64	48
2024-10-11	4,170.12	4,769.23	-17.44	37672	Downward Expansion	-60	49
2024-10-04	4,103.32	4,821.72	-18.29	47008	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2024-09-27	4,108.09	4,875.16	-21.09	70704	Downward Expansion	-65	80
2024-09-20	4,069.92	4,941.79	-20.57	54668	Downward Expansion	-69	82
2024-09-13	3,998.35	5,006.21	-21.91	157601	Downward Expansion	-80	83
2024-09-06	3,883.84	5,072.37	-23.76	286158	Downward Expansion	-89	78
2024-08-30	4,470.71	5,141.08	-17.09	105022	Downward Expansion	-66	47
2024-08-23	4,680.65	5,192.45	-14.64	106117	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2024-08-16	4,570.91	5,226.00	-16.96	154035	Downward Expansion	-62	44
2024-08-09	4,499.34	5,266.08	-15.30	432282	Downward Expansion	-70	47
2024-08-02	4,704.50	5,306.32	-14.70	314338	Downward Expansion	-62	46
2024-07-26	4,876.27	5,331.45	-13.76	677107	Downward Expansion	-61	49
2024-07-19	4,709.27	5,349.58	-18.86	334221	Downward Expansion	-65	68
2024-07-12	4,632.93	5,370.72	-22.29	203239	Downward Expansion	-75	76
2024-07-05	4,733.13	5,394.72	-21.33	190889	Downward Expansion	-72	74
2024-06-28	4,742.67	5,412.57	-20.08	220674	Downward Expansion	-74	71
2024-06-21	4,857.18	5,435.71	-18.47	158414	Downward Expansion	-69	69
2024-06-14	4,904.90	5,452.54	-17.28	154521	Downward Expansion	-67	67
2024-06-07	5,009.87	5,463.42	-14.62	474456	Downward Expansion	-60	59
2024-05-31	4,819.01	5,468.32	-15.28	271396	Downward Expansion	-78	63
2024-05-24	5,057.58	5,480.50	-12.86	217997	Rotation Down	-67	47
2024-05-17	5,133.92	5,481.62	-12.82	132014	Rotation Down	-37	42
2024-05-10	5,238.89	5,476.46	-11.24	100460	Rotation Down	-35	53
2024-05-03	5,229.35	5,472.48	-9.75	107438	Rotation Down	-37	59
2024-04-26	5,086.21	5,470.68	-11.53	255642	Rotation Down	-36	62
2024-04-19	5,076.66	5,475.20	-9.48	283530	Deceleration	-40	56
2024-04-12	5,362.94	5,490.32	-7.60	117609	Deceleration	-24	33
2024-04-05	5,296.14	5,510.85	-9.82	287401	Upward Expansion	-26	30
2024-03-29	5,420.20	5,525.19	-8.84	242095	Upward Expansion	9	19
2024-03-22	5,630.13	5,546.61	-5.42	167536	Upward Expansion	37	21
2024-03-15	5,744.65	5,553.56	-0.52	474019	Upward Expansion	45	31
2024-03-08	5,706.48	5,553.58	-1.58	644435	Upward Expansion	61	45
2024-03-01	6,107.26	5,552.06	6.87	320674	Upward Expansion	74	74
2024-02-23	6,002.30	5,541.24	4.14	501186	Upward Expansion	70	75
2024-02-16	5,983.21	5,525.19	4.55	593925	Rotation Up	72	78
2024-02-09	5,945.04	5,519.75	4.96	415729	Rotation Up	46	68
2024-02-02	6,011.84	5,533.64	6.32	725452	Rotation Up	56	71
2024-01-26	5,687.39	5,556.20	6.09	511813	Rotation Up	26	54
2024-01-19	5,773.27	5,594.24	7.81	613593	Balance	32	45
2024-01-12	5,706.48	5,595.49	4.18	722314	Balance	9	19
2024-01-05	5,458.37	5,585.25	-2.61	325185	Balance	-11	11
2023-12-29	5,420.20	5,576.13	-6.39	206934	Balance	-19	12
2023-12-22	5,343.45	5,563.92	-6.19	437408	Balance	-29	17
2023-12-15	5,352.80	5,554.58	-5.06	320924	Balance	-29	19
2023-12-08	5,268.72	5,546.17	-5.15	411922	Balance	-31	19
2023-12-01	5,436.87	5,533.09	-2.04	345671	Deceleration	-33	18
2023-11-24	5,362.14	5,512.23	-3.49	417213	Deceleration	-38	23
2023-11-17	5,231.35	5,491.05	-5.47	453880	Deceleration	-25	23
2023-11-10	5,156.62	5,484.51	-4.58	365987	Rotation Down	-29	33
2023-11-03	5,184.65	5,482.33	-2.37	404849	Rotation Down	-32	46
2023-10-27	5,091.23	5,475.48	-1.29	2562204	Rotation Down	-34	55
2023-10-20	4,979.13	5,472.99	-6.31	751020	Rotation Down	-32	57

Price vs TrendBelow-0.0%

Trend directionFalling-8.9%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-5.5%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+13.5%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-26.7%

Relative strength directionImproving+26.0%

Price momentumNegative-13.3%

Volume balanceDemand-led6.05×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-1 / ±100

+11.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

11 /100

-1.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

014280 Directional State ↗ 014280 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance50

Rotation Up37

Upward Expansion37

Deceleration30

Rotation Down18

Downward Expansion41

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 26%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 9%Downward Expansion 37%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-09-18	2026-10-09	New	+3.1%
Downward Expansion	2026-04-17	2026-09-11	Established	-16.4%
Rotation Down	2026-03-13	2026-04-10	Developing	+4.7%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-03-06	Developing	-13.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-26	2026-01-09	Established	+20.7%
Rotation Up	2025-09-12	2025-09-19	New	-4.1%
Balance	2025-08-29	2025-09-05	New	+0.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-18	2025-08-22	Developing	-5.9%
Balance	2025-06-20	2025-07-11	New	+6.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-06-13	Developing	-7.7%
Balance	2025-02-07	2025-03-21	Developing	-4.1%
Downward Expansion	2024-05-31	2025-01-31	Extended	-17.5%
Rotation Down	2024-04-26	2024-05-24	Developing	-0.6%
Deceleration	2024-04-12	2024-04-19	New	-5.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing75

Stage 2 · Advancing12

Stage 3 · Distribution19

Stage 4 · Declining88

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4C · Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KS11

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 1/100
Current Relative Strength: -26.68
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -13.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -26.4%
Basic Materials regime cohort: 14th percentile43 in cohort

Test 014280 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.47×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume6.05×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 014280 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity KRW 4,539.67rising

Slow Activity KRW 4,428.38falling

Trend Reference KRW 4,605.67-0.0% close margin

Current Fair Value KRW 4,872.72-5.5% close margin

Structural low KRW 3,690.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +9.7%

Annualized volatility +43.3%

From structural high -44.7%

From structural low +24.8%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^KS11	Regime survived	Read
Near term	13	+4.7%-10.4% to +12.4%	+76.9%	+76.9%	+3.3%	+53.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	5	+13.2%-13.2% to +17.9%	+80.0%	+80.0%	+1.9%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+9.2%-4.9% to +30.2%	+80.0%	+80.0%	-13.0%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-11.5%-28.9% to +51.8%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-22.2%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

014280 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map