Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Communication Services

BATRA Stage Analysis

Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. Series A Common Stock

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 57.57Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Re-acceleration watch

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Re-acceleration watch: Fast Activity is turning upward after a positive-structure recompression.

Direction 54−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 48/100directional strength

Maturity 25/100lifecycle context

Confidence 81/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +26.9%USD 45.37 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	57.57	54.28	1.29	159181	Deceleration	54	48
2026-10-02	57.62	53.95	1.69	274936	Deceleration	53	33
2026-09-25	59.03	53.64	4.95	266875	Deceleration	65	33
2026-09-18	55.84	53.29	2.64	352083	Deceleration	35	15
2026-09-11	54.10	53.02	0.38	274378	Deceleration	37	19
2026-09-04	55.86	52.81	3.00	424630	Deceleration	49	32
2026-08-28	55.72	52.39	3.06	288415	Deceleration	48	29
2026-08-21	56.67	52.00	5.10	457550	Deceleration	57	31
2026-08-14	57.33	51.54	3.55	319103	Deceleration	52	27
2026-08-07	53.46	51.07	-2.43	475663	Deceleration	36	20
2026-07-31	54.41	50.72	4.16	285154	Upward Expansion	44	31
2026-07-24	55.04	50.34	5.80	240118	Upward Expansion	60	47
2026-07-17	56.66	49.93	6.99	351116	Upward Expansion	66	61
2026-07-10	55.74	49.47	0.68	229532	Upward Expansion	64	58
2026-07-03	57.61	49.06	5.62	203428	Upward Expansion	78	63
2026-06-26	56.51	48.56	4.27	475669	Upward Expansion	74	56
2026-06-19	54.50	48.13	-4.24	239444	Upward Expansion	62	49
2026-06-12	54.79	47.74	-1.64	211903	Upward Expansion	66	50
2026-06-05	53.90	47.34	-1.26	226815	Upward Expansion	62	52
2026-05-29	53.60	46.94	-6.38	208762	Upward Expansion	62	57
2026-05-22	53.10	46.60	-4.83	231151	Upward Expansion	65	64
2026-05-15	53.95	46.25	-2.42	199341	Upward Expansion	67	85
2026-05-08	54.87	45.88	-1.32	215818	Upward Expansion	78	90
2026-05-01	54.14	45.49	2.42	330526	Upward Expansion	80	90
2026-04-24	53.66	45.18	2.84	653098	Upward Expansion	84	88
2026-04-17	52.82	44.90	3.19	403798	Upward Expansion	84	67
2026-04-10	49.10	44.66	1.48	266306	Upward Expansion	68	42
2026-04-03	48.65	44.54	4.71	262089	Upward Expansion	68	40
2026-03-27	46.19	44.44	3.00	262260	Upward Expansion	55	37
2026-03-20	46.03	44.48	-0.96	334951	Upward Expansion	62	53
2026-03-13	47.61	44.54	0.18	269434	Rotation Up	65	79
2026-03-06	48.46	44.50	0.75	232336	Rotation Up	47	75
2026-02-27	48.41	44.44	-0.80	364005	Rotation Up	51	72
2026-02-20	47.78	44.38	-2.51	258681	Rotation Up	43	64
2026-02-13	47.65	44.43	-1.77	335158	Rotation Up	42	43
2026-02-06	43.42	44.50	-11.68	621763	Balance	-18	10
2026-01-30	44.02	44.70	-12.48	375017	Balance	-15	9
2026-01-23	42.71	44.88	-15.43	180827	Downward Expansion	-51	26
2026-01-16	43.27	45.12	-14.31	223526	Downward Expansion	-38	23
2026-01-09	43.02	45.31	-15.70	267423	Downward Expansion	-50	31
2026-01-02	42.95	45.39	-14.16	195479	Downward Expansion	-51	31
2025-12-26	42.73	45.41	-16.24	115667	Downward Expansion	-47	31
2025-12-19	42.78	45.44	-15.28	335478	Downward Expansion	-46	30
2025-12-12	43.62	45.46	-13.32	280899	Downward Expansion	-44	31
2025-12-05	42.59	45.50	-17.10	240763	Downward Expansion	-52	40
2025-11-28	43.57	45.53	-14.60	231216	Downward Expansion	-58	45
2025-11-21	42.92	45.53	-11.98	292503	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2025-11-14	42.58	45.54	-15.58	248415	Downward Expansion	-65	70
2025-11-07	42.13	45.54	-16.89	472015	Rotation Down	-74	79
2025-10-31	43.14	45.54	-17.79	311901	Rotation Down	-39	71
2025-10-24	42.64	45.48	-17.54	222433	Rotation Down	-49	71
2025-10-17	42.90	45.52	-15.56	235843	Rotation Down	-43	65
2025-10-10	43.09	45.52	-13.43	261431	Rotation Down	-45	61
2025-10-03	44.86	45.48	-12.16	236629	Deceleration	-29	47
2025-09-26	45.30	45.44	-10.48	330265	Deceleration	-6	24
2025-09-19	45.61	45.40	-10.51	432360	Deceleration	-1	16
2025-09-12	45.62	45.33	-8.86	196426	Deceleration	3	10
2025-09-05	45.58	45.27	-7.57	175301	Deceleration	17	15
2025-08-29	47.50	45.20	-3.11	112473	Deceleration	31	21
2025-08-22	47.63	45.04	-3.41	152790	Deceleration	32	26
2025-08-15	46.48	44.82	-6.90	226182	Deceleration	37	26
2025-08-08	46.71	44.62	-6.28	141404	Upward Expansion	45	33
2025-08-01	46.65	44.37	-3.30	172133	Upward Expansion	61	50
2025-07-25	49.33	44.16	-0.33	179826	Upward Expansion	67	83
2025-07-18	49.72	43.85	1.12	268136	Upward Expansion	71	88
2025-07-11	49.31	43.55	1.42	168972	Upward Expansion	70	89
2025-07-04	49.55	43.28	1.54	189805	Upward Expansion	78	89
2025-06-27	49.81	43.04	3.68	740918	Upward Expansion	84	84
2025-06-20	49.07	42.78	6.48	385083	Upward Expansion	82	70
2025-06-13	45.24	42.54	-1.66	256997	Upward Expansion	62	33
2025-06-06	43.70	42.44	-5.57	218771	Upward Expansion	48	29
2025-05-30	43.45	42.41	-4.33	230417	Upward Expansion	50	38
2025-05-23	43.51	42.39	-2.56	230552	Upward Expansion	51	45
2025-05-16	44.66	42.36	-2.44	296603	Balance	60	50
2025-05-09	43.49	42.30	1.35	194518	Balance	47	32
2025-05-02	43.61	42.24	1.33	171894	Balance	49	22
2025-04-25	43.29	42.19	3.88	213901	Balance	33	17
2025-04-18	42.56	42.17	8.57	257182	Balance	25	13
2025-04-11	42.13	42.20	4.99	593252	Balance	23	13
2025-04-04	41.28	42.25	10.55	298003	Rotation Up	17	13
2025-03-28	44.06	42.33	6.36	449789	Rotation Up	49	25
2025-03-21	42.71	42.38	0.67	241111	Rotation Up	12	13
2025-03-14	42.04	42.50	-0.71	177025	Rotation Up	23	22
2025-03-07	43.57	42.59	0.19	184529	Rotation Up	24	47
2025-02-28	44.13	42.62	-1.92	190421	Rotation Up	32	53
2025-02-21	43.38	42.63	-7.02	182659	Rotation Up	24	36
2025-02-14	43.81	42.70	-8.49	165822	Downward Expansion	30	35
2025-02-07	43.59	42.73	-6.68	273575	Downward Expansion	-3	16
2025-01-31	42.69	42.74	-8.83	532882	Downward Expansion	-27	18
2025-01-24	41.16	42.71	-13.67	237069	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2025-01-17	40.28	42.72	-14.69	172655	Downward Expansion	-62	63
2025-01-10	39.17	42.72	-15.11	212608	Downward Expansion	-74	73
2025-01-03	40.40	42.79	-14.84	133634	Downward Expansion	-64	66
2024-12-27	40.27	42.84	-16.27	123775	Downward Expansion	-69	64
2024-12-20	40.52	42.90	-15.47	391821	Downward Expansion	-69	56
2024-12-13	41.12	42.92	-16.60	179032	Downward Expansion	-64	48
2024-12-06	42.45	42.95	-13.68	198129	Deceleration	-23	23
2024-11-29	42.09	42.92	-12.08	113636	Deceleration	-25	19
2024-11-22	41.97	42.91	-12.05	242985	Deceleration	-26	18
2024-11-15	42.13	42.89	-10.46	219760	Deceleration	-7	9
2024-11-08	42.89	42.83	-12.32	217437	Deceleration	-1	6
2024-11-01	42.67	42.77	-8.27	135331	Deceleration	-15	20
2024-10-25	42.67	42.77	-10.09	138042	Deceleration	-16	30
2024-10-18	42.89	42.75	-9.90	249501	Deceleration	-17	27
2024-10-11	41.69	42.67	-12.61	225697	Balance	-26	30
2024-10-04	42.04	42.65	-11.23	207712	Balance	-1	17
2024-09-27	42.65	42.62	-10.30	306492	Upward Expansion	18	19
2024-09-20	43.52	42.60	-7.93	287519	Upward Expansion	36	20
2024-09-13	43.64	42.54	-6.72	89760	Upward Expansion	43	28
2024-09-06	43.68	42.52	-1.38	83528	Upward Expansion	56	39
2024-08-30	45.60	42.52	-3.22	143840	Upward Expansion	63	50
2024-08-23	46.24	42.43	-2.91	143464	Upward Expansion	73	55
2024-08-16	44.82	42.34	-5.20	97854	Upward Expansion	62	61
2024-08-09	44.53	42.26	-1.14	182158	Upward Expansion	61	69
2024-08-02	44.27	42.19	-1.88	148715	Upward Expansion	62	72
2024-07-26	45.43	42.11	-2.89	117213	Balance	76	76
2024-07-19	44.82	42.02	-7.06	191653	Balance	45	53
2024-07-12	43.94	41.95	-12.85	186388	Balance	28	25
2024-07-05	41.84	41.85	-17.61	75731	Balance	-35	23
2024-06-28	41.33	41.85	-16.14	254628	Balance	-43	30
2024-06-21	40.18	41.82	-18.91	170454	Balance	-55	32
2024-06-14	41.51	41.83	-16.48	126960	Balance	-18	8
2024-06-07	41.82	41.79	-13.33	122886	Balance	-21	11
2024-05-31	42.03	41.62	-10.88	159137	Balance	6	6
2024-05-24	41.20	41.53	-14.25	186669	Balance	-6	6
2024-05-17	42.02	41.42	-11.65	109778	Balance	20	11
2024-05-10	41.62	41.29	-10.92	151666	Balance	2	7
2024-05-03	41.77	41.23	-9.69	108383	Balance	10	12
2024-04-26	41.16	41.20	-10.52	86400	Balance	7	9
2024-04-19	40.29	41.13	-9.39	130146	Balance	-5	6
2024-04-12	41.37	41.13	-12.27	90548	Balance	16	8
2024-04-05	42.62	41.06	-10.40	151710	Balance	21	13
2024-03-29	41.90	40.99	-12.88	116074	Balance	6	17
2024-03-22	40.69	40.98	-16.05	131657	Balance	-3	20
2024-03-15	40.96	40.97	-13.22	176872	Balance	12	19
2024-03-08	41.28	41.02	-13.76	134105	Upward Expansion	26	19
2024-03-01	41.81	41.18	-14.25	111360	Upward Expansion	40	23
2024-02-23	41.98	41.33	-12.52	125263	Upward Expansion	55	34
2024-02-16	43.01	41.45	-9.40	209853	Rotation Up	60	56
2024-02-09	43.59	41.47	-9.78	126586	Rotation Up	40	49
2024-02-02	42.99	41.43	-9.58	133283	Rotation Up	34	37
2024-01-26	43.31	41.34	-8.05	163366	Rotation Up	39	34
2024-01-19	42.56	41.26	-9.34	120001	Rotation Up	25	34
2024-01-12	42.33	41.18	-7.66	156218	Rotation Up	23	41
2024-01-05	42.01	41.14	-5.80	136208	Rotation Up	22	43
2023-12-29	42.78	41.06	-7.43	116624	Rotation Up	30	46
2023-12-22	42.54	40.89	-7.95	491469	Balance	28	31
2023-12-15	41.01	40.73	-10.71	552652	Balance	11	19
2023-12-08	41.72	40.64	-6.42	165128	Balance	10	18
2023-12-01	40.68	40.55	-8.40	199051	Downward Expansion	-29	16
2023-11-24	40.29	40.51	-9.35	91937	Downward Expansion	-39	21
2023-11-17	40.24	40.47	-8.87	301156	Rotation Down	-56	41
2023-11-10	36.99	40.34	-14.75	214991	Rotation Down	-43	56
2023-11-03	39.32	40.32	-6.89	191833	Rotation Down	-30	43
2023-10-27	37.69	40.21	-5.13	161465	Rotation Down	-32	43
2023-10-20	38.18	40.11	-6.51	209607	Deceleration	-30	35

Price vs TrendAbove+6.1%

Trend directionRising+7.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+26.9%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+1.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+0.6%

Price momentumPositive+17.3%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.70×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

54 / ±100

+16.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

48 /100

+28.4 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

BATRA Directional State ↗ BATRA Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance29

Rotation Up60

Upward Expansion82

Deceleration49

Rotation Down16

Downward Expansion11

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 21%Rotation Up 13%Upward Expansion 28%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 15%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-08-07	2026-10-09	Developing	+7.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-20	2026-07-31	Established	+18.2%
Rotation Up	2026-02-13	2026-03-13	Developing	-0.1%
Balance	2026-01-30	2026-02-06	New	-1.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-14	2026-01-23	Developing	+0.3%
Rotation Down	2025-10-10	2025-11-07	Developing	-2.2%
Deceleration	2025-08-15	2025-10-03	Developing	-3.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-23	2025-08-08	Developing	+7.4%
Balance	2025-04-11	2025-05-16	Developing	+6.0%
Rotation Up	2025-02-21	2025-04-04	Developing	-4.8%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-02-14	Developing	+6.5%
Deceleration	2024-10-18	2024-12-06	Developing	-1.0%
Balance	2024-10-04	2024-10-11	New	-0.8%
Upward Expansion	2024-08-02	2024-09-27	Developing	-3.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing16

Stage 2 · Advancing92

Stage 3 · Distribution61

Stage 4 · Declining8

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 48/100
Current Relative Strength: 1.29
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +17.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -5.7%
Communication Services regime cohort: 91th percentile22 in cohort

Test BATRA trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.53×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.70×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore BATRA Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 57.41rising

Slow Activity USD 55.63rising

Trend Reference USD 54.28+6.1% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 45.37+26.9% close margin

Structural low USD 48.84shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +5.3%

Annualized volatility +20.6%

From structural high -4.8%

From structural low +38.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	13	-1.8%-5.5% to +13.3%	+38.5%	+38.5%	-2.2%	+53.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	+1.0%-8.4% to +18.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-6.1%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+3.2%-9.8% to +20.8%	+66.7%	+66.7%	-1.9%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+17.3%+0.0% to +20.0%	+100.0%	+100.0%	-22.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

BATRA Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map