Weekly structural research ยท LSE ยท Technology

MBO Stage Analysis

MobilityOne Limited

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close GBP 0.0675Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^FTSE
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction -50โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 54/100directional strength
Maturity 69/100lifecycle context
Confidence 43/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +58.4%GBP 0.0426 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-020.06750.077714.724058932Downward Expansion-5054
2026-09-250.06750.07814.200Downward Expansion-5583
2026-09-180.06750.077716.710Downward Expansion-5579
2026-09-110.06750.077419.070Downward Expansion-5680
2026-09-040.06750.077219.400Downward Expansion-5881
2026-08-280.06750.076921.730Downward Expansion-6782
2026-08-210.06750.076324.170Downward Expansion-3967
2026-08-140.06750.075927.350Rotation Down-3967
2026-08-070.06750.076228.070Rotation Down-3966
2026-07-310.06750.076331.000Rotation Down-3866
2026-07-240.06750.075235.320Rotation Down-3061
2026-07-170.06750.073240.000Deceleration-2953
2026-07-100.06750.071244.510Deceleration-733
2026-07-030.06750.069245.210Deceleration-18
2026-06-260.08120.067381.43726471Deceleration1710
2026-06-190.080.064986.3058972Deceleration1810
2026-06-120.08120.062692.73352506Deceleration1911
2026-06-050.07880.060294.241528289Deceleration2916
2026-05-290.08620.0579117.793821942Deceleration3116
2026-05-220.07880.0554104.082163786Deceleration3118
2026-05-150.08250.0532125.773134583Deceleration3721
2026-05-080.08750.0508146.381253999Upward Expansion5132
2026-05-010.0850.0483144.911277855Upward Expansion5746
2026-04-240.09750.0459190.512137706Upward Expansion5961
2026-04-170.100.043203.085800892Upward Expansion6166
2026-04-100.1250.04299.7526005003Upward Expansion7968
2026-04-030.08750.0361203.599032754Upward Expansion6242
2026-03-270.0950.0336260.2317582120Upward Expansion6743
2026-03-200.0650.0308161.653155836Upward Expansion5537
2026-03-130.0750.029202.187425081Upward Expansion6241
2026-03-060.0750.0269214.4125062045Upward Expansion6442
2026-02-270.060.0248147.701403386Upward Expansion5640
2026-02-200.05750.0232149.572163429Upward Expansion5642
2026-02-130.06250.0216185.185086863Upward Expansion6449
2026-02-060.05750.0199173.129907736Upward Expansion6256
2026-01-300.050.0184148.1211628468Upward Expansion6380
2026-01-230.0550.0172181.7216144644Upward Expansion6284
2026-01-160.07750.0158305.8521029840Upward Expansion8794
2026-01-090.070.0137291.6575688261Rotation Up8688
2026-01-020.0350.0119109.3441749918Rotation Up5160
2025-12-260.00750.0114-54.1430080Downward Expansion-6866
2025-12-190.007750.0117-53.75368Downward Expansion-6658
2025-12-120.007750.0121-53.551489449Downward Expansion-6857
2025-12-050.00950.0125-44.35103214Downward Expansion-5547
2025-11-280.00950.0128-45.7456153Balance-5545
2025-11-210.00950.0131-45.72219299Balance-5535
2025-11-140.00950.0134-47.563183614Balance-5428
2025-11-070.01050.0136-43.013915959Balance-2713
2025-10-310.0120.0138-36.2019807Balance-1612
2025-10-240.0120.014-36.6869294Downward Expansion-2619
2025-10-170.0120.0143-36.02116332Downward Expansion-3119
2025-10-100.0120.0145-37.71499089Downward Expansion-3722
2025-10-030.0130.0147-34.255308608Downward Expansion-5235
2025-09-260.01010.0149-48.70985535Downward Expansion-6054
2025-09-190.0090.0152-54.96342454Downward Expansion-7270
2025-09-120.0090.0155-56.20137314Downward Expansion-7453
2025-09-050.0110.016-47.1132724Downward Expansion-6143
2025-08-290.0110.0163-48.061771Downward Expansion-6343
2025-08-220.0120.0166-45.3211299Downward Expansion-5844
2025-08-150.0120.0169-45.4536802Downward Expansion-6251
2025-08-080.0120.0172-46.0320578Downward Expansion-6565
2025-08-010.01150.0175-48.9247109Downward Expansion-6879
2025-07-250.0110.0177-52.17130952Downward Expansion-7683
2025-07-180.0110.0181-52.24555258Downward Expansion-8284
2025-07-110.01250.0184-46.26341030Downward Expansion-7782
2025-07-040.0140.0188-39.830Downward Expansion-7078
2025-06-270.0140.0191-40.4189658Downward Expansion-7374
2025-06-200.0140.0194-40.971029935Balance-7462
2025-06-130.01550.0196-36.95280688Balance-6533
2025-06-060.01850.0199-26.7065089Balance-2815
2025-05-300.0190.02-25.9987981Balance-2617
2025-05-230.0190.0201-27.248029Balance-2819
2025-05-160.0190.0204-28.5898504Downward Expansion-3318
2025-05-090.0190.0207-29.03167880Downward Expansion-4025
2025-05-020.0190.021-30.95583546Downward Expansion-5447
2025-04-250.01750.0212-36.40342003Downward Expansion-5647
2025-04-180.0160.0216-42.25276524Downward Expansion-6647
2025-04-110.0160.022-41.47338267Downward Expansion-6944
2025-04-040.0190.0224-33.4419859Downward Expansion-5334
2025-03-280.0190.0228-39.99354711Downward Expansion-5646
2025-03-210.0180.0232-44.5431799Downward Expansion-6257
2025-03-140.01850.0237-44.37130935Downward Expansion-5949
2025-03-070.01850.024-46.19491531Downward Expansion-5939
2025-02-280.0190.0243-46.93241850Downward Expansion-5730
2025-02-210.02050.0245-43.2766492Downward Expansion-3920
2025-02-140.02150.0248-42.8569938Downward Expansion-3820
2025-02-070.02150.0249-44.05288638Downward Expansion-4125
2025-01-310.02150.0251-45.414067639Downward Expansion-5433
2025-01-240.020.0253-49.63117476Downward Expansion-6046
2025-01-170.020.0255-50.96416031Downward Expansion-6252
2025-01-100.02050.0264-49.72331493Downward Expansion-6049
2025-01-030.0190.0273-54.3330003Downward Expansion-6950
2024-12-270.02150.0282-49.230Downward Expansion-5938
2024-12-200.02150.0291-50.245447Downward Expansion-6038
2024-12-130.02250.03-50.7650318Downward Expansion-5738
2024-12-060.02350.0308-49.99219769Downward Expansion-5741
2024-11-290.02250.0317-53.1316306Downward Expansion-6155
2024-11-220.02250.0325-54.04218674Downward Expansion-6459
2024-11-150.02250.0334-54.346205Downward Expansion-6344
2024-11-080.02250.0343-54.98103177Downward Expansion-6745
2024-11-010.02250.0357-56.33474941Downward Expansion-7145
2024-10-250.02750.0371-47.68105389Downward Expansion-5537
2024-10-180.02750.0381-48.85123126Downward Expansion-5739
2024-10-110.02750.0391-48.7971007Downward Expansion-5944
2024-10-040.02750.0402-49.44226867Downward Expansion-6250
2024-09-270.02950.0412-46.55277474Downward Expansion-5850
2024-09-200.02750.0422-50.0633740Downward Expansion-5441
2024-09-130.02750.0437-51.09200712Downward Expansion-5236
2024-09-060.02950.0449-47.6062363Downward Expansion-4739
2024-08-300.03150.0461-45.77152369Downward Expansion-5147
2024-08-230.03360.0474-42.23457252Downward Expansion-5657
2024-08-160.0270.0485-53.870Downward Expansion-6986
2024-08-090.0270.0501-53.440Downward Expansion-6987
2024-08-020.0270.0514-54.010Downward Expansion-6988
2024-07-260.0270.0529-54.920Downward Expansion-6988
2024-07-190.0270.0547-54.510Downward Expansion-7390
2024-07-120.0270.0566-55.350Downward Expansion-7890
2024-07-050.0270.0584-55.450Downward Expansion-8588
2024-06-280.0270.06-55.651792617Downward Expansion-8767
2024-06-210.0450.0615-27.24633992Downward Expansion-6444
2024-06-140.04750.0631-22.5220003Downward Expansion-6047
2024-06-070.04750.0632-23.58173454Downward Expansion-6251
2024-05-310.04750.0638-24.03232133Downward Expansion-6359
2024-05-240.04750.0638-24.57151167Downward Expansion-6360
2024-05-170.04750.0638-25.65165716Downward Expansion-6364
2024-05-100.050.0639-22.12713497Downward Expansion-6064
2024-05-030.04750.0639-24.20530885Downward Expansion-6662
2024-04-260.050.064-20.39163244Rotation Down-6444
2024-04-190.050.064-18.29712452Rotation Down-3826
2024-04-120.06250.06460.34147927Rotation Down-1211
2024-04-050.0650.06455.44395671Rotation Down-2418
2024-03-290.05750.0639-7.40457406Rotation Down-1933
2024-03-220.05750.0636-7.37564484Deceleration-2033
2024-03-150.060.0634-1.57815907Deceleration-1426
2024-03-080.05750.0629-5.7985219Deceleration-1822
2024-03-010.060.0629-2.882748193Deceleration58
2024-02-230.07250.062316.10415213Deceleration2011
2024-02-160.06250.0614-0.46226347Deceleration109
2024-02-090.06750.06088.60244146Deceleration2813
2024-02-020.070.060211.1721264Deceleration2915
2024-01-260.06750.05956.15284254Deceleration3117
2024-01-190.0750.058719.65556307Upward Expansion3619
2024-01-120.0650.05780.90338776Upward Expansion4124
2024-01-050.07250.057310.86344307Upward Expansion5637
2023-12-290.080.056621.73454639Upward Expansion5952
2023-12-220.0850.055630.31658305Upward Expansion6559
2023-12-150.080.054425.18802494Upward Expansion6365
2023-12-080.0750.053518.21146534Upward Expansion5759
2023-12-010.07250.052813.84947986Upward Expansion5457
2023-11-240.09250.05344.961953758Balance7359
2023-11-170.05250.052-18.15344532Balance86
2023-11-100.06250.0525-2.392316044Balance198
2023-11-030.04750.0525-27.7057305Balance-3919
2023-10-270.04750.0533-27.80246312Balance-3718
2023-10-200.05250.0538-23.52104784Balance-2915
2023-10-130.050.0546-29.9028471Balance-2010
Price vs TrendBelow-13.1%
Trend directionRising+3.3%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+58.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-5.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+14.7%
Relative strength directionWeakening-30.5%
Price momentumNegative-22.9%
Volume balanceSupply-ledร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-50 / ยฑ100

+7.7 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

54 /100

-27.0 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance27
Rotation Up28
Upward Expansion18
Deceleration66
Rotation Down40
Downward Expansion63

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 11%Rotation Up 1%Upward Expansion 16%Deceleration 12%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 54%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-08-212026-10-02Developing+0.0%
Rotation Down2026-07-242026-08-14New+0.0%
Deceleration2026-05-152026-07-17Developing-18.2%
Upward Expansion2026-01-162026-05-08Established+12.9%
Rotation Up2026-01-022026-01-09New+100.0%
Downward Expansion2025-12-052025-12-26New-21.1%
Balance2025-10-312025-11-28Developing-20.8%
Downward Expansion2025-06-272025-10-24Established-14.3%
Balance2025-05-232025-06-20Developing-26.3%
Downward Expansion2024-05-032025-05-16Extended-60.0%
Rotation Down2024-03-292024-04-26Developing-13.0%
Deceleration2024-01-262024-03-22Developing-14.8%
Upward Expansion2023-12-012024-01-19Developing+3.4%
Balance2023-09-152023-11-24Developing+54.2%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing32
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution49
Stage 4 ยท Declining44

Legacy result: Stage 3 ยท Stage 3A ยท Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
17/100
Current Relative Strength
14.72
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-22.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-23.1%
Technology regime cohort
13th percentile31 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume6.39ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volumeร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity GBP 0.0675stable
Slow Activity GBP 0.0727falling
Trend Reference GBP 0.0777-13.1% close margin
Current Fair Value GBP 0.0426+58.4% close margin
Structural low GBP 0.065shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +2.8%
Annualized volatility +71.1%
From structural high -57.1%
From structural low +864.3%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^FTSE Regime survived Read
Near term40+0.0%-43.2% to +268.4%+35.0%+45.0%-2.6%+82.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate14-14.1%-43.4% to +689.5%+35.7%+64.3%-12.4%+64.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended8-18.3%-55.3% to +728.9%+25.0%+75.0%-17.6%+37.5%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-17.5%-60.5% to +347.4%+50.0%+50.0%-22.7%+25.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context