Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Technology

CRSR Stage Analysis

Corsair Gamingย Inc

Week ending 18 Sep 2026Close USD 13.38Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction 69โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 62/100directional strength
Maturity 40/100lifecycle context
Confidence 96/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +45.1%USD 9.22 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-1813.388.8955.185660058Upward Expansion6962
2026-09-1113.548.6359.564278332Upward Expansion7455
2026-09-0412.728.4149.945483957Upward Expansion6858
2026-08-2812.008.1642.487029766Upward Expansion6472
2026-08-2110.937.9330.548500380Upward Expansion6469
2026-08-1412.997.7451.1911888893Upward Expansion7579
2026-08-0714.357.5069.5918151468Upward Expansion9081
2026-07-3110.617.2132.667639558Upward Expansion6952
2026-07-249.857.0623.817409337Upward Expansion6142
2026-07-179.756.9320.186287917Deceleration6241
2026-07-109.666.8113.647112956Deceleration6340
2026-07-038.906.705.906694418Deceleration4532
2026-06-268.616.622.5211369591Upward Expansion5642
2026-06-198.956.550.9210699424Upward Expansion6260
2026-06-128.436.43-3.2010891316Upward Expansion6374
2026-06-059.016.354.9220645598Upward Expansion6580
2026-05-2912.146.2734.0350823941Upward Expansion9695
2026-05-227.706.14-12.615928170Rotation Up7780
2026-05-156.726.17-23.468517604Rotation Up3561
2026-05-087.886.21-11.489205518Rotation Up5365
2026-05-016.966.19-18.073839033Balance2937
2026-04-246.586.23-21.893633464Balance215
2026-04-176.486.29-22.074774267Balance-36
2026-04-105.696.36-27.744181527Downward Expansion-4827
2026-04-035.636.47-25.804205335Downward Expansion-5233
2026-03-275.326.58-27.786502198Downward Expansion-5736
2026-03-205.206.70-32.696661990Downward Expansion-6038
2026-03-135.326.82-33.657371380Downward Expansion-5132
2026-03-065.956.94-27.8810801869Downward Expansion-3721
2026-02-275.497.04-35.466980848Downward Expansion-4930
2026-02-205.627.14-35.3514901151Downward Expansion-4833
2026-02-136.797.26-22.3957577253Downward Expansion-5040
2026-02-065.177.35-42.566061017Downward Expansion-7386
2026-01-305.107.49-45.124071528Downward Expansion-7877
2026-01-235.307.64-43.734776315Downward Expansion-7771
2026-01-165.707.78-40.015429403Downward Expansion-7058
2026-01-095.777.90-40.326931524Downward Expansion-7054
2026-01-026.028.00-36.813024226Downward Expansion-6552
2025-12-266.108.11-37.382779579Downward Expansion-6450
2025-12-196.148.20-36.417462651Downward Expansion-6451
2025-12-126.208.27-35.614554331Downward Expansion-6563
2025-12-056.538.34-33.765225526Downward Expansion-6378
2025-11-286.528.38-33.515262049Downward Expansion-6482
2025-11-215.548.40-40.995781096Downward Expansion-8690
2025-11-146.078.47-37.744534850Rotation Down-8477
2025-11-076.558.46-33.207632211Rotation Down-5450
2025-10-318.158.45-19.643207364Rotation Down-2729
2025-10-248.608.41-13.652427121Rotation Down-3040
2025-10-177.858.42-19.352376564Rotation Down-3452
2025-10-107.498.50-21.214801362Balance-3650
2025-10-038.038.60-17.594950186Balance-2534
2025-09-268.478.70-12.192983509Balance-1418
2025-09-198.578.81-11.584229369Balance-2112
2025-09-128.948.92-5.723292674Balance-117
2025-09-058.849.04-4.842315417Balance-3115
2025-08-298.939.05-2.703355179Balance-2112
2025-08-228.899.06-3.303679726Balance-2216
2025-08-158.749.07-5.663784340Balance-49
2025-08-089.039.05-1.913965114Balance-47
2025-08-018.579.01-3.202100742Rotation Up-58
2025-07-259.328.963.082552883Rotation Up1931
2025-07-189.288.863.402143720Rotation Up3143
2025-07-119.558.767.562088614Rotation Up3548
2025-07-049.608.697.251882836Rotation Up3745
2025-06-279.538.627.642699555Balance3431
2025-06-209.038.545.502104930Balance2425
2025-06-139.058.494.953029274Balance1421
2025-06-069.188.415.162876037Balance1521
2025-05-308.798.321.932698637Balance414
2025-05-238.248.25-3.663171072Deceleration-911
2025-05-168.468.19-4.304201661Deceleration-511
2025-05-097.558.13-9.637046350Rotation Down-2129
2025-05-027.248.11-14.383518281Rotation Down-2555
2025-04-257.448.11-10.186382996Rotation Down-2546
2025-04-186.038.09-23.434946567Deceleration-3847
2025-04-116.198.12-24.207302715Deceleration-3841
2025-04-046.768.12-12.164363805Deceleration-120
2025-03-289.118.095.403439158Upward Expansion4126
2025-03-2110.078.0212.784371546Upward Expansion6048
2025-03-1410.527.9117.365092650Upward Expansion6561
2025-03-0711.227.7821.294888112Upward Expansion6886
2025-02-2811.747.6122.126090176Upward Expansion7690
2025-02-2111.827.4318.005592519Upward Expansion8694
2025-02-1412.427.3120.3411909657Upward Expansion9696
2025-02-079.257.19-8.555346519Upward Expansion7483
2025-01-319.167.22-10.475156999Rotation Up7680
2025-01-249.167.25-12.805330103Rotation Up5366
2025-01-178.327.31-20.644537856Balance4239
2025-01-107.587.41-26.812293247Balance-1110
2025-01-037.097.52-34.182057843Balance-2719
2024-12-276.547.66-40.841504568Balance-3822
2024-12-206.277.83-43.943698869Balance-3215
2024-12-137.267.99-37.832264559Balance-717
2024-12-067.488.13-36.702577528Downward Expansion-214
2024-11-297.358.24-36.901626123Downward Expansion-1813
2024-11-227.388.38-37.172123376Downward Expansion-2822
2024-11-156.708.51-42.773512608Downward Expansion-5645
2024-11-086.548.65-46.943744631Downward Expansion-6050
2024-11-016.718.81-43.481630884Downward Expansion-5849
2024-10-256.308.98-48.681623452Downward Expansion-6848
2024-10-186.679.18-46.581527405Downward Expansion-4838
2024-10-116.949.36-45.262321365Downward Expansion-4536
2024-10-047.219.54-43.412341190Downward Expansion-4845
2024-09-277.029.71-45.822068462Downward Expansion-5253
2024-09-206.669.91-49.032842052Downward Expansion-6362
2024-09-136.2810.12-52.192822684Downward Expansion-6966
2024-09-066.0310.36-52.261972959Downward Expansion-7870
2024-08-306.9710.60-48.982689123Downward Expansion-6780
2024-08-236.7910.79-51.592831326Downward Expansion-6888
2024-08-166.5511.02-53.623450573Downward Expansion-7691
2024-08-096.1611.25-54.835174022Downward Expansion-9297
2024-08-026.4111.49-53.724047286Downward Expansion-9698
2024-07-268.2111.73-43.613289923Downward Expansion-8993
2024-07-198.5711.93-43.633988640Downward Expansion-9185
2024-07-1210.3112.12-35.901963009Downward Expansion-6963
2024-07-0510.0712.27-38.521450973Downward Expansion-7759
2024-06-2811.0412.39-31.293726717Downward Expansion-5638
2024-06-2111.1012.46-31.951674998Downward Expansion-5436
2024-06-1410.8912.51-34.021661512Downward Expansion-6339
2024-06-0711.3212.58-30.021393023Downward Expansion-4230
2024-05-3111.5912.62-27.551504610Downward Expansion-4636
2024-05-2411.3012.67-31.621519343Downward Expansion-5845
2024-05-1711.2612.71-32.121621743Downward Expansion-6150
2024-05-1010.8312.77-34.432722081Downward Expansion-7364
2024-05-0311.6112.86-29.871740205Downward Expansion-6365
2024-04-2611.3012.95-32.031400372Downward Expansion-6673
2024-04-1910.7213.06-33.911609578Downward Expansion-8378
2024-04-1211.5413.19-33.671151466Downward Expansion-7368
2024-04-0511.8413.31-33.231444665Downward Expansion-7068
2024-03-2912.3413.42-31.911199966Downward Expansion-6165
2024-03-2212.0313.54-34.891413522Downward Expansion-7067
2024-03-1512.2213.63-32.741901336Downward Expansion-6861
2024-03-0812.4113.72-33.281436538Balance-6540
2024-03-0113.0513.85-31.761444721Balance-5129
2024-02-2312.8513.96-32.341782997Balance-5940
2024-02-1613.5414.12-28.623684296Balance-4930
2024-02-0913.2414.22-32.111606743Balance-4437
2024-02-0212.7014.37-34.411552755Balance-5639
2024-01-2613.4614.53-30.331978062Balance-3925
2024-01-1913.5114.67-30.281320218Balance-3420
2024-01-1213.5614.79-28.611949722Balance-1912
2024-01-0513.5914.93-26.761382869Balance-1418
2023-12-2914.1015.10-26.961479650Downward Expansion-1121
2023-12-2214.3715.30-25.832120697Downward Expansion-2324
2023-12-1514.6315.48-24.273439765Downward Expansion-3020
2023-12-0813.7315.65-27.091915021Downward Expansion-4840
2023-12-0113.1015.82-30.551881951Downward Expansion-6357
2023-11-2412.7415.98-33.101405037Downward Expansion-6761
2023-11-1713.0716.13-31.452046995Downward Expansion-6774
2023-11-1012.2916.28-34.913799633Downward Expansion-8190
2023-11-0313.1016.46-29.452552841Downward Expansion-6987
2023-10-2712.7116.61-27.702000163Downward Expansion-8189
2023-10-2012.9816.80-28.431710057Downward Expansion-8387
2023-10-1313.5316.93-27.821817877Downward Expansion-8079
2023-10-0614.2317.03-24.171427976Downward Expansion-7268
2023-09-2914.5317.10-21.371371991Downward Expansion-7164
Price vs TrendAbove+50.5%
Trend directionRising+30.5%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+45.1%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+52.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+55.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+54.3%
Price momentumPositive+157.3%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.87ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

69 / ยฑ100

+4.7 points since 2026-08-21

Energy

62 /100

-6.9 points since 2026-08-21

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance11
Rotation Up61
Upward Expansion85
Deceleration52
Rotation Down20
Downward Expansion11

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-09-18 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 22%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 14%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 47%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-07-242026-09-18Developing+35.8%
Deceleration2026-07-032026-07-17New+9.6%
Upward Expansion2026-05-292026-06-26Developing-29.1%
Rotation Up2026-05-082026-05-22New-2.3%
Balance2026-04-172026-05-01New+7.4%
Downward Expansion2025-11-212026-04-10Established+2.7%
Rotation Down2025-10-172025-11-14Developing-22.7%
Balance2025-08-082025-10-10Developing-17.1%
Rotation Up2025-07-042025-08-01Developing-10.7%
Balance2025-05-302025-06-27Developing+8.4%
Deceleration2025-05-162025-05-23New-2.7%
Rotation Down2025-04-252025-05-09New+1.5%
Deceleration2025-04-042025-04-18New-10.9%
Upward Expansion2025-02-072025-03-28Developing-1.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing22
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution48
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2C ยท Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
96/100
Current Relative Strength
55.18
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+157.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+133.3%
Technology regime cohort
80th percentile121 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.50ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.87ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 12.94rising
Slow Activity USD 10.33rising
Trend Reference USD 8.89+50.5% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 9.22+45.1% close margin
Structural low USD 5.17shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +12.8%
Annualized volatility +101.5%
From structural high -10.7%
From structural low +198.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term13-0.6%-39.7% to +22.4%+46.2%+46.2%-0.0%+76.9%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate5-1.2%-18.8% to +14.9%+40.0%+40.0%-8.2%+60.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended3-2.4%-26.8% to +25.0%+33.3%+33.3%-12.5%+33.3%Too little matched history
Full cycle2-26.3%-44.1% to -8.5%+0.0%+0.0%-54.9%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context