Weekly structural research · TWO · Industrials

6208 Stage Analysis

Highlight Tech Corp.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close TWD 80.40Tenure NewBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Down · Supply rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction -33−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 50/100directional strength

Maturity 4/100lifecycle context

Confidence 63/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +41.1%TWD 56.99 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	80.40	78.00	-1.57	1024820	Rotation Down	-33	50
2026-09-25	74.30	76.83	-8.38	478385	Deceleration	-31	60
2026-09-18	75.40	75.85	-5.70	685785	Deceleration	-9	45
2026-09-11	74.30	74.81	-5.42	858191	Deceleration	-11	35
2026-09-04	74.20	73.79	-6.70	1756417	Deceleration	-11	25
2026-08-28	82.70	72.76	3.87	212054	Deceleration	14	14
2026-08-21	81.50	71.44	4.52	201076	Deceleration	14	17
2026-08-14	82.00	70.19	3.29	247979	Deceleration	15	19
2026-08-07	81.50	68.94	6.12	196013	Deceleration	28	23
2026-07-31	81.50	67.70	8.87	361100	Deceleration	34	22
2026-07-24	83.20	66.45	9.81	353550	Upward Expansion	41	27
2026-07-17	83.00	65.13	12.09	668295	Upward Expansion	46	36
2026-07-10	90.30	63.90	14.79	1963674	Upward Expansion	59	47
2026-07-03	96.80	62.24	19.40	7399766	Upward Expansion	65	51
2026-06-26	97.30	60.40	26.18	18427412	Upward Expansion	69	51
2026-06-19	97.11	58.51	21.22	11480752	Upward Expansion	73	56
2026-06-12	85.24	56.68	12.07	3333797	Upward Expansion	62	57
2026-06-05	81.91	55.20	5.44	4595891	Upward Expansion	66	65
2026-05-29	93.29	53.90	20.70	7393074	Upward Expansion	72	69
2026-05-22	97.11	52.24	33.14	18154337	Upward Expansion	86	74
2026-05-15	97.90	50.46	38.32	20504267	Upward Expansion	94	88
2026-05-08	71.02	48.70	-0.32	4789983	Upward Expansion	68	89
2026-05-01	78.48	47.88	17.28	2353075	Upward Expansion	88	96
2026-04-24	81.52	46.83	21.78	7418975	Upward Expansion	99	99
2026-04-17	73.57	45.71	16.37	10481101	Upward Expansion	99	99
2026-04-10	53.95	44.89	-11.23	5833540	Upward Expansion	91	90
2026-04-03	51.40	44.72	-8.45	1250195	Rotation Up	90	84
2026-03-27	46.64	44.71	-18.52	339535	Rotation Up	38	56
2026-03-20	47.48	44.81	-18.54	576314	Balance	47	54
2026-03-13	45.03	45.06	-22.84	540938	Balance	-4	17
2026-03-06	45.12	45.14	-23.71	310219	Balance	-5	13
2026-02-27	45.12	45.06	-28.17	377387	Balance	-6	6
2026-02-13	43.95	45.01	-26.87	274623	Balance	-28	15
2026-02-06	43.70	45.02	-23.70	356136	Balance	-29	16
2026-01-30	43.55	45.00	-25.10	455862	Balance	-28	14
2026-01-23	42.87	44.99	-26.55	207022	Balance	-24	12
2026-01-16	44.04	45.00	-23.76	165394	Balance	-13	12
2026-01-09	44.54	44.91	-20.59	262751	Balance	-23	17
2026-01-02	44.24	44.88	-19.07	210843	Downward Expansion	-25	23
2025-12-26	44.04	44.86	-17.65	133660	Downward Expansion	-31	21
2025-12-19	43.80	44.84	-16.03	193621	Downward Expansion	-36	19
2025-12-12	45.96	44.81	-13.98	1503229	Downward Expansion	-32	26
2025-12-05	40.56	44.70	-23.94	141753	Rotation Down	-68	70
2025-11-28	41.45	44.77	-21.93	336680	Rotation Down	-37	64
2025-11-21	40.66	44.80	-20.55	241201	Rotation Down	-48	69
2025-11-14	42.38	44.79	-20.71	335013	Rotation Down	-28	58
2025-11-07	40.61	44.68	-25.29	423108	Rotation Down	-42	60
2025-10-31	43.16	44.57	-23.00	172430	Deceleration	-27	33
2025-10-24	43.46	44.50	-21.24	119565	Deceleration	-25	30
2025-10-17	43.65	44.37	-20.84	280346	Deceleration	4	18
2025-10-10	45.17	44.30	-18.82	246082	Deceleration	19	21
2025-10-03	46.20	44.19	-16.15	173721	Deceleration	34	23
2025-09-26	47.18	44.19	-11.30	136266	Upward Expansion	41	25
2025-09-19	47.77	44.18	-11.03	245213	Upward Expansion	47	37
2025-09-12	48.95	44.19	-9.25	271664	Upward Expansion	61	50
2025-09-05	48.95	44.13	-6.39	432933	Upward Expansion	63	79
2025-08-29	51.11	44.04	-2.02	243949	Upward Expansion	70	84
2025-08-22	49.64	43.91	-3.71	568773	Upward Expansion	66	79
2025-08-15	54.93	43.82	3.79	3118575	Upward Expansion	91	87
2025-08-08	47.53	43.55	-9.20	299322	Balance	50	50
2025-08-01	42.52	43.53	-17.18	111866	Balance	-11	9
2025-07-25	43.60	43.70	-15.38	79352	Balance	-6	16
2025-07-18	44.24	43.80	-14.66	144779	Balance	2	9
2025-07-11	43.21	44.00	-14.74	131999	Balance	-18	11
2025-07-04	43.16	44.27	-14.69	167057	Balance	-20	10
2025-06-27	43.26	44.51	-15.22	191045	Balance	-12	7
2025-06-20	41.40	44.79	-17.46	138877	Balance	-24	14
2025-06-13	43.70	45.15	-13.65	318404	Balance	-8	13
2025-06-06	43.58	45.53	-12.97	175473	Balance	-23	19
2025-05-30	43.49	45.96	-12.64	302256	Downward Expansion	-28	22
2025-05-23	42.73	46.45	-15.98	98067	Downward Expansion	-33	26
2025-05-16	42.69	46.91	-17.46	454397	Downward Expansion	-39	25
2025-05-09	42.64	47.44	-14.64	368559	Downward Expansion	-47	38
2025-05-02	42.36	48.05	-15.57	383783	Downward Expansion	-64	57
2025-04-25	40.53	48.76	-16.38	291539	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2025-04-18	39.02	49.53	-18.42	278148	Downward Expansion	-71	83
2025-04-11	37.29	50.27	-23.44	1135324	Downward Expansion	-90	95
2025-04-04	40.90	51.05	-23.89	451322	Downward Expansion	-72	90
2025-03-28	39.73	51.85	-27.87	472520	Downward Expansion	-89	95
2025-03-21	41.47	52.73	-27.59	301638	Downward Expansion	-85	89
2025-03-14	41.89	53.13	-26.78	960003	Downward Expansion	-86	66
2025-03-07	46.12	53.50	-22.36	258703	Downward Expansion	-66	51
2025-02-28	47.15	53.84	-23.24	233622	Downward Expansion	-47	45
2025-02-21	47.90	54.15	-24.85	527332	Downward Expansion	-50	49
2025-02-14	47.05	54.44	-24.94	317578	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2025-02-07	46.35	54.82	-27.72	299838	Downward Expansion	-69	65
2025-01-24	47.15	55.43	-27.29	165000	Downward Expansion	-65	69
2025-01-17	47.05	55.96	-26.84	289000	Downward Expansion	-67	71
2025-01-10	46.91	56.49	-27.20	337000	Downward Expansion	-71	79
2025-01-03	46.73	57.03	-27.73	270000	Downward Expansion	-76	82
2024-12-27	47.62	57.64	-28.09	338000	Downward Expansion	-74	79
2024-12-20	46.82	58.20	-27.40	1228000	Downward Expansion	-86	90
2024-12-13	50.06	58.75	-24.66	874000	Downward Expansion	-74	86
2024-12-06	51.47	59.16	-23.63	802000	Downward Expansion	-68	82
2024-11-29	50.34	59.55	-22.66	363000	Downward Expansion	-78	83
2024-11-22	51.56	60.13	-23.47	257964	Downward Expansion	-76	76
2024-11-15	52.31	60.67	-22.25	883000	Downward Expansion	-73	65
2024-11-08	55.04	61.18	-21.46	458000	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2024-11-01	56.54	61.73	-17.06	1592000	Balance	-56	46
2024-10-25	58.23	62.17	-17.07	1011000	Balance	-38	28
2024-10-18	56.35	62.45	-20.66	989000	Balance	-46	26
2024-10-11	58.61	62.83	-15.85	1307000	Balance	-33	14
2024-10-04	61.05	62.98	-10.38	1488000	Balance	-9	11
2024-09-27	63.63	63.12	-9.05	0	Balance	-2	11
2024-09-20	63.63	63.38	-6.66	1043200	Balance	-4	15
2024-09-13	61.30	63.25	-8.72	1768000	Balance	-21	24
2024-09-06	60.50	63.17	-8.79	2673600	Downward Expansion	-26	22
2024-08-30	64.94	63.12	-6.05	13186400	Downward Expansion	-19	13
2024-08-23	66.08	62.92	-4.09	18553600	Downward Expansion	-36	31
2024-08-16	53.38	62.62	-23.31	416000	Downward Expansion	-76	86
2024-08-09	52.98	62.70	-21.23	933600	Rotation Down	-82	88
2024-08-02	56.40	62.80	-17.22	462400	Rotation Down	-45	73
2024-07-26	56.57	62.79	-19.22	412000	Rotation Down	-50	70
2024-07-19	56.40	62.75	-22.50	1203200	Rotation Down	-55	63
2024-07-12	58.56	62.74	-23.51	1679200	Deceleration	-37	36
2024-07-05	64.60	62.66	-14.83	855200	Deceleration	7	10
2024-06-28	63.12	62.34	-15.33	435200	Deceleration	4	11
2024-06-21	62.89	62.09	-16.82	856800	Deceleration	2	9
2024-06-14	63.23	61.80	-14.01	351200	Deceleration	3	9
2024-06-07	64.94	61.51	-9.48	645600	Deceleration	10	14
2024-05-31	64.49	61.14	-7.64	664000	Deceleration	9	17
2024-05-24	63.23	60.79	-11.39	687200	Deceleration	20	18
2024-05-17	62.55	60.49	-11.49	1104800	Deceleration	25	18
2024-05-10	63.01	60.20	-8.93	1401600	Upward Expansion	36	21
2024-05-03	67.68	59.92	-0.89	653600	Upward Expansion	57	43
2024-04-26	67.79	59.49	-0.06	1055200	Upward Expansion	61	49
2024-04-19	67.68	59.06	2.46	3113600	Upward Expansion	62	52
2024-04-12	71.44	58.64	1.57	4916800	Upward Expansion	78	64
2024-04-05	69.73	58.10	0.83	2226400	Upward Expansion	78	62
2024-03-29	66.77	57.61	-3.53	415200	Upward Expansion	68	59
2024-03-22	67.68	57.15	-2.22	1537600	Upward Expansion	78	67
2024-03-15	63.23	56.67	-6.37	1575200	Upward Expansion	67	63
2024-03-08	65.06	56.39	-4.51	5715200	Upward Expansion	73	77
2024-03-01	71.67	56.05	9.55	15722400	Upward Expansion	99	98
2024-02-23	59.70	55.63	-8.51	908800	Upward Expansion	78	89
2024-02-16	58.79	55.60	-8.84	295200	Upward Expansion	72	86
2024-02-09	59.02	55.60	-6.20	68800	Rotation Up	83	87
2024-02-02	59.02	55.60	-6.25	485600	Rotation Up	57	66
2024-01-26	56.97	55.64	-9.34	414400	Balance	42	37
2024-01-19	55.83	55.73	-9.82	232800	Balance	24	20
2024-01-12	55.89	55.90	-9.10	348000	Balance	-1	22
2024-01-05	56.11	56.09	-9.05	273600	Balance	5	22
2023-12-29	55.32	56.34	-12.69	410400	Balance	-4	19
2023-12-22	56.17	56.53	-10.00	265600	Balance	5	22
2023-12-15	56.34	56.71	-10.38	460000	Downward Expansion	5	15
2023-12-08	54.92	56.87	-11.42	300800	Downward Expansion	-33	18
2023-12-01	55.49	57.10	-11.00	345600	Downward Expansion	-38	24
2023-11-24	54.29	57.32	-12.34	198400	Downward Expansion	-55	41
2023-11-17	54.40	57.57	-11.96	189600	Downward Expansion	-57	43
2023-11-10	54.06	57.81	-10.02	213600	Downward Expansion	-58	49
2023-11-03	53.78	58.07	-9.83	259200	Downward Expansion	-63	47
2023-10-27	54.23	58.36	-7.21	184800	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2023-10-20	53.83	58.60	-9.82	156800	Downward Expansion	-64	46
2023-10-13	54.69	58.85	-10.53	313600	Downward Expansion	-44	36
2023-10-06	54.80	59.01	-9.17	388800	Downward Expansion	-46	37
2023-09-29	54.80	59.19	-8.48	191200	Downward Expansion	-49	40

Price vs TrendAbove+3.1%

Trend directionRising+17.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+41.1%

Fair Value directionMoving away-34.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-1.6%

Relative strength directionWeakening-21.0%

Price momentumPositive+56.4%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.62×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-33 / ±100

-22.7 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

50 /100

+25.1 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

6208 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance29

Rotation Up20

Upward Expansion23

Deceleration46

Rotation Down60

Downward Expansion54

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 22%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 23%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 31%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Down	2026-10-02	2026-10-02	New	+0.0%
Deceleration	2026-07-31	2026-09-25	Developing	-8.8%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-07-24	Established	+54.2%
Rotation Up	2026-03-27	2026-04-03	New	+10.2%
Balance	2026-01-09	2026-03-20	Developing	+6.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-12-12	2026-01-02	New	-3.7%
Rotation Down	2025-11-07	2025-12-05	Developing	-0.1%
Deceleration	2025-10-03	2025-10-31	Developing	-6.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-09-26	Developing	-14.1%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-08-08	Developing	+9.1%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-08	2025-05-30	Extended	-21.0%
Balance	2024-09-13	2024-11-01	Developing	-7.8%
Downward Expansion	2024-08-16	2024-09-06	New	+13.3%
Rotation Down	2024-07-19	2024-08-09	New	-6.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing10

Stage 2 · Advancing81

Stage 3 · Distribution72

Stage 4 · Declining19

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3B · Distribution. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 66/100
Current Relative Strength: -1.57
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +56.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +7.6%
Industrials regime cohort: 22th percentile23 in cohort

Test 6208 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.26×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.62×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 6208 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 76.55falling

Slow Activity TWD 81.75rising

Trend Reference TWD 78.00+3.1% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 56.99+41.1% close margin

Structural low TWD 51.30shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Complete bearish ordering below the Trend Line confirms Downward Expansion; a repaired fast/slow cross and upside acceptance cancel the failure.

Range context +5.7%

Annualized volatility +75.4%

From structural high -24.5%

From structural low +104.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	5	-5.4%-11.6% to +9.1%	+20.0%	+80.0%	-1.3%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	4	+3.6%-9.1% to +7.6%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-4.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	4	-0.8%-16.6% to +141.1%	+25.0%	+75.0%	+0.3%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	-4.6%-15.7% to +15.7%	+33.3%	+66.7%	-26.7%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

6208 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map