Weekly structural research ยท JPX ยท Communication Services

7077 Stage Analysis

ALiNK Internet, Inc.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close JPY 996.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 6โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 10/100directional strength
Maturity 29/100lifecycle context
Confidence 76/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -3.5%JPY 1,032.06 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-02996.00989.93-17.675100Deceleration610
2026-09-25988.00989.00-16.695000Deceleration-1622
2026-09-18994.00989.53-15.203400Deceleration-1528
2026-09-11987.00992.57-15.186000Deceleration-827
2026-09-04985.00995.67-17.378600Deceleration-1825
2026-08-28974.00999.13-20.7314500Rotation Up-2117
2026-08-211,005.001,002.43-18.572600Rotation Up3237
2026-08-141,021.001,004.80-21.432200Rotation Up4463
2026-08-071,013.001,006.43-19.231100Rotation Up3765
2026-07-311,019.001,008.20-18.071800Rotation Up3562
2026-07-241,008.001,011.03-20.131900Rotation Up433
2026-07-171,023.001,012.57-19.212500Downward Expansion2234
2026-07-101,010.001,014.07-26.14300Downward Expansion08
2026-07-03999.001,016.07-29.001800Downward Expansion-4937
2026-06-26976.001,018.37-31.101200Downward Expansion-6170
2026-06-19974.001,021.63-33.86600Downward Expansion-6571
2026-06-12972.001,024.33-29.701200Downward Expansion-6965
2026-06-05973.001,027.83-31.08700Downward Expansion-6946
2026-05-29991.001,030.43-30.384100Downward Expansion-4228
2026-05-22996.001,032.80-27.564400Downward Expansion-3521
2026-05-15994.001,034.43-26.263400Downward Expansion-3521
2026-05-08992.001,035.83-28.633900Downward Expansion-3526
2026-05-011,000.001,037.43-24.914200Downward Expansion-3630
2026-04-241,003.001,039.03-25.647500Downward Expansion-4329
2026-04-171,003.001,040.60-24.829300Downward Expansion-5145
2026-04-10999.001,041.87-23.807200Downward Expansion-6573
2026-04-03956.001,043.50-22.605200Downward Expansion-6887
2026-03-27942.001,046.00-24.7613400Downward Expansion-7590
2026-03-20948.001,049.73-24.887800Downward Expansion-7890
2026-03-13957.001,055.77-25.3619000Downward Expansion-8084
2026-03-06968.001,060.80-27.5024000Rotation Down-7871
2026-02-271,004.001,065.00-29.4836400Rotation Down-3623
2026-02-201,085.001,067.93-21.7113000Balance5335
2026-02-131,080.001,068.23-22.826800Balance2121
2026-02-061,089.001,067.63-18.857700Balance2918
2026-01-301,073.001,066.40-19.107800Balance159
2026-01-231,076.001,066.63-20.095700Balance2021
2026-01-161,070.001,066.73-21.035900Balance1714
2026-01-091,066.001,066.87-18.7110000Balance1112
2026-01-021,104.001,066.93-13.504400Balance3736
2025-12-261,054.001,065.37-18.286400Balance-2613
2025-12-191,068.001,065.40-15.353800Balance1323
2025-12-121,070.001,064.97-17.674200Balance1423
2025-12-051,068.001,063.50-17.522000Balance1317
2025-11-281,074.001,061.77-16.914400Balance1616
2025-11-211,055.001,059.97-15.946300Balance39
2025-11-141,077.001,058.83-17.444800Balance1010
2025-11-071,051.001,055.83-19.494400Balance-77
2025-10-311,062.001,053.13-22.184400Deceleration-79
2025-10-241,045.001,050.10-18.917900Deceleration-2318
2025-10-171,036.001,049.20-16.949800Deceleration-1920
2025-10-101,040.001,048.57-17.804400Deceleration-1724
2025-10-031,048.001,047.63-13.297100Deceleration-1418
2025-09-261,050.001,046.17-12.726300Deceleration-1422
2025-09-191,041.001,044.83-13.025500Deceleration219
2025-09-121,048.001,047.40-12.1110800Deceleration1816
2025-09-051,031.001,048.00-10.1715300Upward Expansion1811
2025-08-291,054.001,048.87-7.6335800Upward Expansion5034
2025-08-221,129.001,049.40-0.9250000Upward Expansion7670
2025-08-151,108.001,046.27-4.4811500Upward Expansion7275
2025-08-081,094.001,043.30-2.266200Upward Expansion6660
2025-08-011,092.001,040.80-0.198100Upward Expansion6752
2025-07-251,094.001,037.67-1.735800Upward Expansion7151
2025-07-181,062.001,034.10-0.7824200Upward Expansion5332
2025-07-111,052.001,031.87-1.0314300Upward Expansion5845
2025-07-041,080.001,030.131.086400Upward Expansion6355
2025-06-271,079.001,026.830.245200Upward Expansion6455
2025-06-201,074.001,023.874.394500Upward Expansion6458
2025-06-131,068.001,021.475.495900Upward Expansion6258
2025-06-061,057.001,018.074.794200Balance5951
2025-05-301,055.001,015.304.086000Balance5944
2025-05-231,055.001,012.676.417000Balance4626
2025-05-161,026.001,009.101.9910600Balance1611
2025-05-091,016.001,009.631.724100Balance86
2025-05-021,020.001,010.903.996700Balance66
2025-04-251,021.001,014.307.42310200Rotation Down-1816
2025-04-18987.001,014.236.8922300Rotation Down-2528
2025-04-11970.001,014.608.6986400Upward Expansion-2325
2025-04-04971.001,013.678.3123900Upward Expansion-2723
2025-03-281,018.001,012.403.528300Upward Expansion1818
2025-03-211,017.001,011.302.013500Upward Expansion1920
2025-03-141,012.001,012.173.3112800Upward Expansion2614
2025-03-071,004.001,012.472.9122800Upward Expansion3019
2025-02-281,010.001,012.672.78120500Upward Expansion5135
2025-02-211,118.001,013.378.82135600Upward Expansion8583
2025-02-141,066.001,010.832.768600Upward Expansion7276
2025-02-071,057.001,009.802.7511800Rotation Up6769
2025-01-311,070.001,009.331.7621000Rotation Up4758
2025-01-241,035.001,008.60-2.7250600Balance2233
2025-01-171,019.001,008.17-0.9224400Balance1115
2025-01-101,019.001,008.17-3.0630800Balance-1910
2025-01-03998.001,008.53-7.014300Balance-3113
2024-12-27987.001,009.47-9.3532100Balance-3213
2024-12-20995.001,010.97-5.3011100Balance-3112
2024-12-131,000.001,012.17-6.9618000Balance-3313
2024-12-06981.001,013.03-8.1719500Balance-4519
2024-11-29990.001,014.83-5.6113500Balance-4522
2024-11-221,002.001,016.27-4.9823300Balance-4629
2024-11-15966.001,016.90-9.5143500Balance-4827
2024-11-08974.001,018.87-11.0828300Balance-4423
2024-11-01976.001,022.20-7.9361600Balance-4218
2024-10-25948.001,023.80-10.59156300Balance-3416
2024-10-181,042.001,026.93-5.01294900Balance914
2024-10-111,054.001,027.33-5.891420900Balance813
2024-10-041,122.001,028.132.161070300Balance119
2024-09-271,019.001,026.80-10.392442400Downward Expansion-4629
2024-09-20998.001,032.20-7.95673200Downward Expansion-5863
2024-09-13942.001,036.73-10.9014200Downward Expansion-7980
2024-09-06933.001,041.80-11.8342500Downward Expansion-8575
2024-08-30985.001,047.50-12.9982500Balance-7250
2024-08-231,043.001,051.67-7.8210700Balance-3021
2024-08-161,021.001,054.27-9.907100Balance-5232
2024-08-091,010.001,056.73-3.9132300Balance-6132
2024-08-021,031.001,058.73-4.8716600Balance-2413
2024-07-261,042.001,059.70-8.9215600Downward Expansion-1918
2024-07-191,035.001,059.17-15.4715000Downward Expansion-3319
2024-07-121,043.001,057.83-17.657800Downward Expansion-3720
2024-07-051,048.001,056.43-17.178800Downward Expansion-4024
2024-06-281,022.001,055.43-17.0114900Downward Expansion-5548
2024-06-211,019.001,055.57-15.657100Downward Expansion-5954
2024-06-141,030.001,055.77-15.666100Downward Expansion-5147
2024-06-071,026.001,055.40-16.094900Downward Expansion-5548
2024-05-311,032.001,055.20-15.486900Balance-2328
2024-05-241,031.001,054.13-16.397500Balance-2114
2024-05-171,026.001,054.90-17.2314600Balance-2114
2024-05-101,035.001,056.03-15.4515200Balance-1213
2024-05-031,033.001,058.50-15.848400Balance-1311
2024-04-261,021.001,060.77-16.3711200Balance-1619
2024-04-191,025.001,064.43-14.3134300Balance-1718
2024-04-121,074.001,067.80-16.0313000Balance-1113
2024-04-051,024.001,071.07-19.1739400Balance-2420
2024-03-291,042.001,076.87-20.9628000Balance-1012
2024-03-221,054.001,081.47-21.4529600Balance-33
2024-03-151,078.001,090.17-15.6264900Balance79
2024-03-081,082.001,095.33-17.76201600Balance2116
2024-03-011,181.001,100.17-11.101837000Downward Expansion3626
2024-02-231,134.001,102.23-13.11309800Downward Expansion2827
2024-02-161,094.001,105.47-15.2011000Downward Expansion439
2024-02-091,104.001,107.20-11.1318300Downward Expansion649
2024-02-021,110.001,107.70-9.1114800Downward Expansion1153
2024-01-261,121.001,108.70-7.428300Downward Expansion1634
2024-01-191,095.001,110.73-10.3310100Downward Expansion-1224
2024-01-121,070.001,112.57-11.7212300Downward Expansion-3720
2024-01-051,060.001,115.20-7.1116000Downward Expansion-4329
2023-12-291,026.001,114.70-10.4940900Downward Expansion-5643
2023-12-22995.001,118.80-12.6521900Downward Expansion-6458
2023-12-151,001.001,115.90-11.8313100Downward Expansion-6355
2023-12-081,018.001,112.97-8.645700Downward Expansion-6057
2023-12-011,026.001,109.57-11.0611100Rotation Down-5848
2023-11-241,025.001,105.80-11.764400Rotation Down-3344
2023-11-171,019.001,101.77-12.275900Rotation Down-3547
2023-11-101,020.001,098.70-9.588600Rotation Down-3746
2023-11-031,000.001,096.87-9.7119700Rotation Down-3444
2023-10-271,054.001,095.60-2.016200Deceleration-2631
2023-10-201,060.001,092.50-2.33177200Deceleration-617
2023-10-131,109.001,089.63-1.2320600Deceleration117
Price vs TrendAbove+0.6%
Trend directionFalling-2.1%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-3.5%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-17.7%
Relative strength directionImproving+11.3%
Price momentumPositive+4.2%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.19ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

6 / ยฑ100

+24.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

10 /100

-15.1 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance58
Rotation Up21
Upward Expansion36
Deceleration84
Rotation Down35
Downward Expansion41

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 37%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 14%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 28%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-09-042026-10-02Developing+1.1%
Rotation Up2026-07-242026-08-28Developing-3.4%
Downward Expansion2026-03-132026-07-17Established+6.9%
Rotation Down2026-02-272026-03-06New-3.6%
Balance2025-11-072026-02-20Established+3.2%
Deceleration2025-09-122025-10-31Developing+1.3%
Upward Expansion2025-06-132025-09-05Established-3.5%
Balance2025-05-022025-06-06Developing+3.6%
Rotation Down2025-04-182025-04-25New+3.4%
Upward Expansion2025-02-142025-04-11Developing-9.0%
Rotation Up2025-01-312025-02-07New-1.2%
Balance2024-10-042025-01-24Established-7.8%
Downward Expansion2024-09-062024-09-27New+9.2%
Balance2024-08-022024-08-30Developing-4.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing70
Stage 2 ยท Advancing29
Stage 3 ยท Distribution41
Stage 4 ยท Declining71

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
24/100
Current Relative Strength
-17.67
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+4.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-24.4%
Communication Services regime cohort
64th percentile33 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.48ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.19ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity JPY 991.53falling
Slow Activity JPY 995.18falling
Trend Reference JPY 989.93+0.6% close margin
Current Fair Value JPY 1,032.06-3.5% close margin
Structural low JPY 951.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +1.7%
Annualized volatility +10.1%
From structural high -10.3%
From structural low +6.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^N225 Regime survived Read
Near term7-1.5%-5.9% to +1.1%+28.6%+28.6%-8.2%+57.1%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3+2.1%-11.6% to +18.1%+66.7%+66.7%-11.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended3-6.4%-8.7% to +15.6%+33.3%+33.3%-28.9%+33.3%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+1.2%-5.8% to +8.2%+50.0%+50.0%-44.9%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context