Weekly structural research ยท TAI ยท Healthcare

6645 Stage Analysis

Kim Forest Enterprise Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 13.50Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -34โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 20/100directional strength
Maturity 33/100lifecycle context
Confidence 83/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -46.1%TWD 25.07 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0913.5013.38-39.92365650Downward Expansion-3420
2026-10-0212.8013.40-43.4692350Downward Expansion-5636
2026-09-2512.5013.51-45.7499602Downward Expansion-6457
2026-09-1812.6013.67-45.74216650Downward Expansion-6362
2026-09-1113.0013.83-44.28175009Downward Expansion-6160
2026-09-0412.3513.98-48.7934000Downward Expansion-7268
2026-08-2812.4014.15-49.5751023Balance-7259
2026-08-2113.0514.33-46.696200Balance-5238
2026-08-1413.2514.50-47.475000Balance-4636
2026-08-0713.6014.68-45.082000Balance-3933
2026-07-3113.3514.82-45.5343000Balance-3825
2026-07-2413.8514.99-44.9776000Balance-1214
2026-07-1713.4515.13-46.08106000Rotation Up-725
2026-07-1015.8015.29-41.350Rotation Up3549
2026-07-0315.5515.40-44.90103000Downward Expansion1439
2026-06-2615.5015.51-43.35500517Downward Expansion1232
2026-06-1915.3515.61-47.11616463Downward Expansion-1222
2026-06-1214.1515.76-49.601165826Downward Expansion-5147
2026-06-0512.9515.99-55.72473066Downward Expansion-6765
2026-05-2911.9516.29-59.62270420Downward Expansion-7468
2026-05-2211.9516.76-58.03234445Downward Expansion-7970
2026-05-1511.9517.09-57.67338627Downward Expansion-8572
2026-05-0813.0017.46-55.34236625Downward Expansion-7067
2026-05-0112.9017.80-53.60117820Downward Expansion-7469
2026-04-2413.0018.16-54.19249773Downward Expansion-7680
2026-04-1713.2518.50-51.55323669Downward Expansion-7488
2026-04-1013.5018.86-49.49120051Downward Expansion-7290
2026-04-0313.3019.19-46.71213711Downward Expansion-8193
2026-03-2713.6519.49-47.01162082Downward Expansion-8494
2026-03-2013.9519.68-47.35248349Downward Expansion-9095
2026-03-1314.1519.84-47.14417723Downward Expansion-9392
2026-03-0616.0019.99-41.42211190Downward Expansion-8581
2026-02-2717.3520.04-40.5193628Downward Expansion-6877
2026-02-1317.3520.03-38.04124038Downward Expansion-6977
2026-02-0617.4020.03-35.0693261Downward Expansion-7174
2026-01-3017.7020.06-35.19128055Downward Expansion-6768
2026-01-2317.8020.09-35.26213897Downward Expansion-6552
2026-01-1618.2020.16-33.33173154Rotation Down-5940
2026-01-0918.3520.22-31.00260565Rotation Down-3333
2026-01-0217.9520.28-31.00125231Rotation Down-3938
2025-12-2618.3520.41-28.15128839Rotation Down-3744
2025-12-1918.2020.47-27.30124270Rotation Down-3257
2025-12-1218.2520.51-29.04456271Rotation Down-3461
2025-12-0518.9520.56-26.48113001Rotation Down-2855
2025-11-2818.9020.64-26.60235028Deceleration-2843
2025-11-2118.5020.75-25.73251000Deceleration-3131
2025-11-1419.8020.86-24.07268001Deceleration1310
2025-11-0721.2020.89-20.24345058Deceleration3320
2025-10-3121.8020.81-20.211276083Upward Expansion4330
2025-10-2426.3020.78-1.871089208Upward Expansion8253
2025-10-1721.7020.64-18.65485447Upward Expansion4838
2025-10-1023.1520.68-13.96219630Upward Expansion6359
2025-10-0323.0520.65-13.34157700Rotation Up6677
2025-09-2623.6020.65-7.88454183Rotation Up4172
2025-09-1923.3020.65-9.67227050Rotation Up4170
2025-09-1224.0020.66-7.27845166Rotation Up4364
2025-09-0523.4020.66-6.61388852Downward Expansion4041
2025-08-2922.3020.66-10.68530181Downward Expansion117
2025-08-2219.4020.70-21.42252357Downward Expansion-4124
2025-08-1518.9020.84-25.97296847Downward Expansion-5841
2025-08-0818.6021.00-27.15285331Downward Expansion-6365
2025-08-0117.5021.18-30.79141956Downward Expansion-6677
2025-07-2517.0521.39-33.47539748Downward Expansion-7680
2025-07-1817.3021.68-33.53354444Downward Expansion-7875
2025-07-1118.2521.93-28.85315522Downward Expansion-6957
2025-07-0418.7022.19-27.30241205Downward Expansion-6439
2025-06-2720.0022.49-23.30147127Downward Expansion-5328
2025-06-2020.0022.75-22.28117101Downward Expansion-5530
2025-06-1319.9022.99-23.60177331Downward Expansion-6036
2025-06-0621.9523.28-15.12142275Downward Expansion-5336
2025-05-3020.2023.38-21.56160614Downward Expansion-5744
2025-05-2319.3023.55-26.94217876Downward Expansion-7046
2025-05-1619.9023.80-26.3477752Downward Expansion-6939
2025-05-0921.2024.08-19.1481810Downward Expansion-4632
2025-05-0222.2524.32-15.67275475Downward Expansion-5949
2025-04-2521.7524.54-14.79199000Downward Expansion-6359
2025-04-1820.7524.76-17.59266779Downward Expansion-6678
2025-04-1118.7525.02-26.79603824Downward Expansion-9697
2025-04-0421.0025.32-25.73105559Downward Expansion-9296
2025-03-2821.9525.62-24.34300068Downward Expansion-8187
2025-03-2123.0025.89-23.70163235Downward Expansion-6269
2025-03-1422.3526.13-25.96177609Downward Expansion-7971
2025-03-0723.0526.45-26.77198186Downward Expansion-7056
2025-02-2823.6026.85-27.67112134Downward Expansion-6252
2025-02-2123.6527.30-30.67134721Downward Expansion-6363
2025-02-1423.8027.71-29.78181062Downward Expansion-6465
2025-02-0723.5028.10-32.64115325Downward Expansion-6660
2025-01-2423.4028.49-33.9355311Downward Expansion-6865
2025-01-1723.5528.91-33.25193106Downward Expansion-6965
2025-01-1023.9029.31-32.65425847Downward Expansion-6860
2025-01-0323.9029.70-33.16274706Downward Expansion-7069
2024-12-2723.9030.08-35.05578746Downward Expansion-7463
2024-12-2025.7030.46-28.59289523Downward Expansion-6147
2024-12-1324.8530.79-33.15124835Downward Expansion-7249
2024-12-0626.0031.21-31.66103415Downward Expansion-5536
2024-11-2927.5931.58-25.52120067Downward Expansion-4026
2024-11-2227.8531.89-27.8774990Downward Expansion-4839
2024-11-1527.3032.21-29.78207602Downward Expansion-6355
2024-11-0828.6032.48-29.93251866Downward Expansion-6461
2024-11-0125.0032.75-37.55170272Downward Expansion-7983
2024-10-2525.1033.13-39.73541636Downward Expansion-8571
2024-10-1826.8033.50-37.08265428Downward Expansion-7865
2024-10-1128.3033.80-32.8689709Downward Expansion-6761
2024-10-0428.6034.11-31.4155730Downward Expansion-6563
2024-09-2728.7534.52-33.61117215Downward Expansion-6766
2024-09-2028.3534.90-33.55151511Downward Expansion-7285
2024-09-1328.4035.32-33.11203143Downward Expansion-7590
2024-09-0627.9035.84-34.08321997Downward Expansion-8895
2024-08-3029.8536.22-32.89173312Downward Expansion-7791
2024-08-2330.3036.44-32.41268153Downward Expansion-8189
2024-08-1630.1036.61-34.10254991Downward Expansion-8682
2024-08-0932.0036.76-27.85355617Downward Expansion-7754
2024-08-0235.0036.87-22.44212508Downward Expansion-4420
2024-07-2637.0036.92-20.67191422Downward Expansion-2513
2024-07-1935.9536.85-25.84245424Downward Expansion-3923
2024-07-1235.5236.81-30.40365800Downward Expansion-5130
2024-07-0535.2437.05-30.41304561Downward Expansion-5633
2024-06-2835.8637.24-28.08313782Downward Expansion-5338
2024-06-2135.7137.42-29.47307152Downward Expansion-5652
2024-06-1435.4837.64-27.97207569Downward Expansion-5754
2024-06-0735.3837.85-26.31189922Downward Expansion-5643
2024-05-3135.2438.05-24.41312339Downward Expansion-5836
2024-05-2435.7138.23-24.91265366Downward Expansion-4522
2024-05-1737.4338.45-20.25291040Downward Expansion-3315
2024-05-1036.9538.60-19.20155575Downward Expansion-3720
2024-05-0337.1038.91-17.41210074Downward Expansion-4927
2024-04-2637.4839.17-15.73682654Downward Expansion-5232
2024-04-1935.3839.40-17.98338558Downward Expansion-6256
2024-04-1236.4839.65-20.48325493Downward Expansion-5555
2024-04-0536.6239.86-18.61115079Downward Expansion-4742
2024-03-2936.1940.01-19.38182118Balance-4835
2024-03-2235.7140.29-20.20440823Balance-4927
2024-03-1537.4840.44-13.96615524Rotation Up-2114
2024-03-0840.9540.55-6.55467218Rotation Up1526
2024-03-0140.1040.58-4.28443971Downward Expansion1426
2024-02-2341.0540.83-1.77868242Downward Expansion-1424
2024-02-1644.1040.767.411272657Downward Expansion-315
2024-02-0939.3340.60-1.04334336Downward Expansion-4430
2024-02-0236.5240.61-7.66582047Downward Expansion-6052
2024-01-2635.3840.66-10.07362070Downward Expansion-6368
2024-01-1934.4840.74-10.72173635Downward Expansion-6876
2024-01-1235.1940.80-7.92279040Rotation Down-6773
2024-01-0536.4840.77-4.50390066Rotation Down-3557
2023-12-2935.1440.61-10.071115871Rotation Down-4455
2023-12-2234.6740.48-9.541027095Deceleration-3636
2023-12-1542.7140.3011.121615398Deceleration2711
2023-12-0840.8639.858.681237058Deceleration87
2023-12-0141.2939.4310.101032525Deceleration129
2023-11-2442.3839.0314.60816126Deceleration1613
2023-11-1741.6738.5513.84566858Deceleration1715
2023-11-1041.3338.1917.10447416Deceleration2920
2023-11-0340.8137.7517.25607664Upward Expansion3720
2023-10-2742.2437.3324.69572212Upward Expansion5231
2023-10-2041.8636.8821.811576681Upward Expansion5739
2023-10-1346.2436.4332.51692942Upward Expansion7059
2023-10-0645.0535.9332.11931338Upward Expansion6854
Price vs TrendAbove+0.9%
Trend directionFalling-9.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-46.1%
Fair Value directionMoving away-3.7%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-39.9%
Relative strength directionImproving+1.4%
Price momentumPositive+0.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.27ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-34 / ยฑ100

+27.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

20 /100

-39.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance46
Rotation Up26
Upward Expansion16
Deceleration41
Rotation Down36
Downward Expansion63

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 6%Deceleration 7%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 71%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-09-042026-10-09Developing+9.3%
Balance2026-07-242026-08-28Developing-10.5%
Rotation Up2026-07-102026-07-17New-14.9%
Downward Expansion2026-01-232026-07-03Established-12.6%
Rotation Down2025-12-052026-01-16Developing-4.0%
Deceleration2025-11-072025-11-28New-10.8%
Upward Expansion2025-10-102025-10-31New-5.8%
Rotation Up2025-09-122025-10-03New-4.0%
Downward Expansion2024-04-052025-09-05Extended-36.1%
Balance2024-03-222024-03-29New+1.3%
Rotation Up2024-03-082024-03-15New-8.5%
Downward Expansion2024-01-192024-03-01Developing+16.3%
Rotation Down2023-12-292024-01-12New+0.1%
Deceleration2023-11-102023-12-22Developing-16.1%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing64
Stage 2 ยท Advancing16
Stage 3 ยท Distribution26
Stage 4 ยท Declining84

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
80/100
Current Relative Strength
-39.92
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+0.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-39.2%
Healthcare regime cohort
22th percentile96 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.66ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.27ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 12.96rising
Slow Activity TWD 13.33falling
Trend Reference TWD 13.38+0.9% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 25.07-46.1% close margin
Structural low TWD 11.40shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.5%
Annualized volatility +37.0%
From structural high -49.0%
From structural low +18.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term37+1.0%-22.0% to +28.5%+51.4%+48.6%-3.8%+83.8%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate12-3.0%-27.5% to +54.3%+50.0%+50.0%-9.2%+58.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7+1.9%-34.5% to +12.4%+57.1%+42.9%-28.5%+57.1%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-3.7%-31.7% to +61.4%+50.0%+50.0%-14.5%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context